Angle 1
John Mateer Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns
John Mateer has gone over 0.5 passing touchdowns in 13 of 16 games across this season and last and 100% of his last 5.
- -165 at bet365 is the best of 6 books quoting it; the next best is -170 at theScore Bet.
- Texas Longhorns rank 45th of 141 for passing yards allowed, at 237.6 a game over 12 games.
The case against
A hit rate over 16 games is a small sample, and a line that has held for a handful of games can stop holding without warning.
Texas Longhorns rank 90th of 141 for passing TDs allowed, at 1.3 a game over 12 games.