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Nathan Lukes
TORbats L2nd in the order · projectedToronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals8:10 PMKauffman Stadium
facingDaniel Lynch IV3.06 ERA · 6.71 K/9 · 1.05 WHIP · 61.2 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 2.0% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.6% (league avg 7.4%)
Lukes at the plateHR/PA 2.6%barrel rate 2.4%hard-hit% 27.6%
Home Runs
102 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowedthin2.0%1.0%
26th percentileleague avg 2.9%250 batters facedvs LHB · 6th pctseason 2.0% (26th)thin sample: 103 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.7%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs LHB · 39th pctseason 6.6% (36th)75 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.9%29.3%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 37.9% (48th)75 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed26.2%21.3%
47th percentileleague avg 26.7%250 batters facedvs LHB · 16th pctseason 26.2% (47th)75 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG against.397.349
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason .397 (59th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 1 | 1.0% |
| vs RHB | 147 | 4 | 2.7% |
| at home ● | 137 | 0 | 0.0% |
| on the road | 113 | 5 | 4.4% |
| season | 250 | 5 | 2.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
HR/PAthin2.6%1.5%
44th percentileleague avg 3.0%378 PAvs LHP · 14th pctseason 2.6% (44th)thin sample: 69 PAneutralsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin2.4%0.0%
7th percentileleague avg 7.8%378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 2.4% (7th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin27.6%8.3%
6th percentileleague avg 39.0%378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 27.6% (6th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%thin19.7%10.4%
9th percentileleague avg 26.7%378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 19.7% (9th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.340.229
25th percentileleague avg .386378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .340 (25th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.088.043
13th percentileleague avg .146378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .088 (13th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velothin84.9 mph79.8 mph
14th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph378 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason 84.9 mph (14th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Lukes: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 77 | 2 | 2.6% | .380 | 8% (2/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 301 | 8 | 2.7% | .393 | 11% (8/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 203 | 6 | 3.0% | .430 | 12% (6/52) |
| at home | 50 | 175 | 4 | 2.3% | .344 | 8% (4/50) |
| season | 102 | 378 | 10 | 2.6% | .391 | 10% (10/102) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Lukes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 69 | 1.4% | 48 | 0.0% | .229 | .043 | 79.8 |
| vs RHP | 309 | 2.9% | 246 | 2.9% | .355 | .096 | 86.0 |
| on the road ● | 203 | 3.0% | 162 | 1.8% | .339 | .086 | 85.8 |
| at home | 175 | 2.3% | 132 | 3.0% | .324 | .086 | 83.9 |
| season | 378 | 2.6% | 294 | 2.4% | .332 | .086 | 84.9 |
0.5line
OVER+1400Fanaticspooled fair +1043
30% boost+1820pooled fair50% boost+2100pooled fair
UNDER-2500bet365fair -1043 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost-1923-4% vs market · -5.1% vs season50% boost-1667-3.2% vs market · -4.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+14000Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+18200no market fair50% boost+21000no market fair
Total Bases
102 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.397.349
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason .397 (59th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xBA against.244.228
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason .244 (54th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVG againstthin.202.175
league avg .244-0.042 vs league5 startsvs LHBseason .202thin sample: 103 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.9%29.3%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 37.9% (48th)75 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.7%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs LHB · 39th pctseason 6.6% (36th)75 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 24 | 0.23 | .247 |
| vs RHB | 147 | 52 | 0.35 | .397 |
| at home ● | 137 | 28 | 0.20 | .230 |
| on the road | 113 | 48 | 0.42 | .453 |
| season | 250 | 76 | 0.30 | .333 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
xSLGthin.340.229
25th percentileleague avg .386378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .340 (25th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLGthin.391.246
38th percentileleague avg .400378 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason .391 (38th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBAthin.252.186
67th percentileleague avg .240378 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason .252 (67th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
AVGthin.265.164
70th percentileleague avg .244378 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason .265 (70th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.088.043
13th percentileleague avg .146378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .088 (13th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin27.6%8.3%
6th percentileleague avg 39.0%378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 27.6% (6th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin2.4%0.0%
7th percentileleague avg 7.8%378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 2.4% (7th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin22.1%22.9%
34th percentileleague avg 23.6%378 PAvs LHP · 42nd pctseason 22.1% (34th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupNathan Lukes: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 77 | 27 | 1.04 | .380 | 23% (6/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 301 | 107 | 1.41 | .393 | 38% (29/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 203 | 80 | 1.54 | .430 | 40% (21/52) |
| at home | 50 | 175 | 54 | 1.08 | .344 | 28% (14/50) |
| season | 102 | 378 | 134 | 1.31 | .391 | 34% (35/102) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Lukes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 69 | 21.7% | 48 | .229 | .043 | 0.0% | 79.8 |
| vs RHP | 309 | 38.5% | 246 | .355 | .096 | 2.9% | 86.0 |
| on the road ● | 203 | 39.4% | 162 | .339 | .086 | 1.8% | 85.8 |
| at home | 175 | 30.9% | 132 | .324 | .086 | 3.0% | 83.9 |
| season | 378 | 35.4% | 294 | .332 | .086 | 2.4% | 84.9 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 80%L20 65%SZN 61%over rate
OVER-185BetMGMpooled fair -156
30% boost-142pooled fair50% boost-123pooled fair
UNDER+150theScore Betpooled fair +156
30% boost+195pooled fair50% boost+225pooled fair
1.5line
OVER+172ProphetXfair +178 · -2% vs fair
30% boost+224+16.5% vs market · +11% vs season50% boost+258+28.9% vs market · +22.8% vs season
UNDER-200theScore Betfair -179 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-154+5.8% vs market · +8.4% vs season50% boost-133+12.2% vs market · +15% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+450FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 25%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+850FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1105no market fair50% boost+1275no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1800FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2340no market fair50% boost+2700no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+2500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
Hits
102 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.228
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason .244 (54th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVG againstthin.202.175
league avg .244-0.042 vs league5 startsvs LHBseason .202thin sample: 103 batters facedneutralneutral
K%thin18.4%20.4%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)thin sample: 103 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%25.1%26.1%
51st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%250 batters facedvs LHB · 59th pctseason 25.1% (51st)180 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 17 | 16.5% | .175 |
| vs RHB | 147 | 29 | 19.7% | .221 |
| at home ● | 137 | 21 | 15.3% | .172 |
| on the road | 113 | 25 | 22.1% | .236 |
| season | 250 | 46 | 18.4% | .202 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.252.186
67th percentileleague avg .240378 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason .252 (67th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
AVGthin.265.164
70th percentileleague avg .244378 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason .265 (70th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin85.2%83.6%
56th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%378 PAvs LHP · 46th pctseason 85.2% (56th)thin sample: 67 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%thin17.5%21.1%
12th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%378 PAvs LHP · 26th pctseason 17.5% (12th)thin sample: 114 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%thin15.1%21.7%
12th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%378 PAvs LHP · 47th pctseason 15.1% (12th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports OVERneutral
line-drive%thin22.1%22.9%
34th percentileleague avg 23.6%378 PAvs LHP · 42nd pctseason 22.1% (34th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupNathan Lukes: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 71 | 19 | .268 | 62% (16/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 272 | 72 | .265 | 61% (46/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 186 | 52 | .280 | 65% (34/52) |
| at home | 50 | 157 | 39 | .248 | 56% (28/50) |
| season | 102 | 343 | 91 | .265 | 61% (62/102) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Lukes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 69 | 14.5% | 48 | .186 | 22.9% | 29.2% |
| vs RHP | 309 | 26.2% | 246 | .259 | 21.9% | 32.5% |
| on the road ● | 203 | 25.6% | 162 | .253 | 21.6% | 32.7% |
| at home | 175 | 22.3% | 132 | .238 | 22.7% | 31.1% |
| season | 378 | 24.1% | 294 | — | 22.1% | 32.0% |
0.5line
OVER-180ProphetXfair -166 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost-138+7.5% vs market · +4.7% vs season50% boost-120+14.4% vs market · +11.4% vs season
UNDER+170bet365fair +166 · +1.5% vs fair
30% boost+221+20.7% vs market · +25.9% vs season50% boost+255+33.5% vs market · +39.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 20%SZN 24%over rate
OVER+290Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+377no market fair50% boost+435no market fair
UNDER-400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-308no market fair50% boost-267no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1500Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5100DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6630no market fair50% boost+7650no market fair
H+R+RBI
102 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.228
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason .244 (54th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
xERA4.01—
no split for this stat46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.397.349
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason .397 (59th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%thin7.6%3.9%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 7.6% (40th)thin sample: 103 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%thin18.4%20.4%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)thin sample: 103 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 17 | 24 | .223 |
| vs RHB | 147 | 29 | 52 | .299 |
| at home ● | 137 | 21 | 28 | .255 |
| on the road | 113 | 25 | 48 | .283 |
| season | 250 | 46 | 76 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.611.31
34th percentileleague avg 1.75102 gamesvs LHP · 13th pctseason 1.61 (34th)26 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.287—
no split for this stat26th percentileleague avg .310378 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthin.252.186
67th percentileleague avg .240378 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason .252 (67th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
SLGthin.391.246
38th percentileleague avg .400378 PAvs LHP · 1st pctseason .391 (38th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Lukes: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 77 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 1.31 | 35% (9/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 301 | 72 | 30 | 28 | 1.71 | 43% (33/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 203 | 52 | 25 | 21 | 1.88 | 46% (24/52) |
| at home | 50 | 175 | 39 | 13 | 14 | 1.32 | 36% (18/50) |
| season | 102 | 378 | 91 | 38 | 35 | 1.61 | 41% (42/102) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Lukes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 69 | 14.5% | 48 | .186 | .229 | 0.0% | 79.8 |
| vs RHP | 309 | 26.2% | 246 | .259 | .355 | 2.9% | 86.0 |
| on the road ● | 203 | 25.6% | 162 | .253 | .339 | 1.8% | 85.8 |
| at home | 175 | 22.3% | 132 | .238 | .324 | 3.0% | 83.9 |
| season | 378 | 24.1% | 294 | — | .332 | 2.4% | 84.9 |
1.5line
OVER-102ProphetXfair +104 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost+127+11.2% vs market · -6.3% vs season50% boost+147+20.8% vs market · +1.7% vs season
UNDER-110bet365fair -105 · -2.3% vs fair
30% boost+118+11.7% vs market · +28.3% vs season50% boost+136+21% vs market · +39% vs season
RBIs
102 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.01—
no split for this stat46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.397.349
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason .397 (59th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.7%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs LHB · 39th pctseason 6.6% (36th)75 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%thin7.6%3.9%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 7.6% (40th)thin sample: 103 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 17 | 1 | .247 |
| vs RHB | 147 | 29 | 4 | .397 |
| at home ● | 137 | 21 | 0 | .230 |
| on the road | 113 | 25 | 5 | .453 |
| season | 250 | 46 | 5 | .333 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.340.27
20th percentileleague avg 0.45102 gamesvs LHP · 8th pctseason 0.34 (20th)26 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.340.229
25th percentileleague avg .386378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .340 (25th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%thin27.6%8.3%
6th percentileleague avg 39.0%378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 27.6% (6th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel ratethin2.4%0.0%
7th percentileleague avg 7.8%378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason 2.4% (7th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Lukes: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 77 | 7 | 0.27 | .380 | 19% (5/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 301 | 28 | 0.37 | .393 | 26% (20/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 203 | 21 | 0.40 | .430 | 29% (15/52) |
| at home | 50 | 175 | 14 | 0.28 | .344 | 20% (10/50) |
| season | 102 | 378 | 35 | 0.34 | .391 | 25% (25/102) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Lukes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 69 | 2.9% | 48 | .229 | 0.0% | 8.3% | 79.8 |
| vs RHP | 309 | 10.7% | 246 | .355 | 2.9% | 31.3% | 86.0 |
| on the road ● | 203 | 10.3% | 162 | .339 | 1.8% | 30.9% | 85.8 |
| at home | 175 | 8.0% | 132 | .324 | 3.0% | 23.5% | 83.9 |
| season | 378 | — | 294 | .332 | 2.4% | 27.5% | 84.9 |
0.5line
OVER+230ProphetXfair +237 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost+299+18.5% vs market · -2.2% vs season50% boost+345+32.2% vs market · +9.1% vs season
UNDER-245bet365fair -240 · -0.6% vs fair
30% boost-188+8.1% vs market · +15.5% vs season50% boost-163+13.8% vs market · +21.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 40%L20 20%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+750DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+975no market fair50% boost+1125no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2400Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3120no market fair50% boost+3600no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
102 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.01—
no split for this stat46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA against.244.228
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason .244 (54th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%thin7.6%3.9%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 7.6% (40th)thin sample: 103 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 17 | 4 | .223 |
| vs RHB | 147 | 29 | 15 | .299 |
| at home ● | 137 | 21 | 12 | .255 |
| on the road | 113 | 25 | 7 | .283 |
| season | 250 | 46 | 19 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.370.31
23rd percentileleague avg 0.46102 gamesvs LHP · 11th pctseason 0.37 (23rd)26 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.287—
no split for this stat26th percentileleague avg .310378 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed27.0—
no split for this stat38th percentileleague avg 27.4378 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBAthin.252.186
67th percentileleague avg .240378 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason .252 (67th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%thin5.6%4.3%
15th percentileleague avg 8.7%378 PAvs LHP · 8th pctseason 5.6% (15th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Lukes: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 77 | 8 | 0.31 | .316 | 31% (8/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 301 | 30 | 0.39 | .318 | 33% (25/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 203 | 25 | 0.48 | .323 | 40% (21/52) |
| at home | 50 | 175 | 13 | 0.26 | .310 | 24% (12/50) |
| season | 102 | 378 | 38 | 0.37 | .317 | 32% (33/102) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Lukes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 69 | — | 48 | .186 | 22.9% | 29.2% | 79.8 |
| vs RHP | 309 | — | 246 | .259 | 21.9% | 32.5% | 86.0 |
| on the road ● | 203 | 12.3% | 162 | .253 | 21.6% | 32.7% | 85.8 |
| at home | 175 | 8.0% | 132 | .238 | 22.7% | 31.1% | 83.9 |
| season | 378 | — | 294 | — | 22.1% | 32.0% | 84.9 |
0.5line
OVER+155BetMGMfair +163 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+201+14.9% vs market · -2.5% vs season50% boost+232+26.7% vs market · +7.6% vs season
UNDER-190theScore Betfair -164 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost-146+4.8% vs market · +13.9% vs season50% boost-127+11.3% vs market · +21.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Doubles
102 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.397.349
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs LHB · 26th pctseason .397 (59th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.9%29.3%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs LHB · 5th pctseason 37.9% (48th)75 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.7%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs LHB · 39th pctseason 6.6% (36th)75 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed19.2%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 2 | 1.9% | .247 |
| vs RHB | 147 | 11 | 7.5% | .397 |
| at home ● | 137 | 5 | 3.6% | .230 |
| on the road | 113 | 8 | 7.1% | .453 |
| season | 250 | 13 | 5.2% | .333 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
2B/PAthin3.4%2.9%
29th percentileleague avg 4.1%378 PAvs LHP · 17th pctseason 3.4% (29th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLGthin.340.229
25th percentileleague avg .386378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .340 (25th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISOthin.088.043
13th percentileleague avg .146378 PAvs LHP · 0th pctseason .088 (13th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%thin22.1%22.9%
34th percentileleague avg 23.6%378 PAvs LHP · 42nd pctseason 22.1% (34th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
sweet-spot%thin32.0%29.2%
20th percentileleague avg 35.3%378 PAvs LHP · 8th pctseason 32.0% (20th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed27.0—
no split for this stat38th percentileleague avg 27.4378 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupNathan Lukes: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 77 | 2 | 2.6% | .380 | 8% (2/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 301 | 11 | 3.7% | .393 | 11% (8/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 203 | 10 | 4.9% | .430 | 13% (7/52) |
| at home | 50 | 175 | 3 | 1.7% | .344 | 6% (3/50) |
| season | 102 | 378 | 13 | 3.4% | .391 | 10% (10/102) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Lukes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 69 | 2.9% | 48 | .229 | 22.9% | 29.2% |
| vs RHP | 309 | 3.6% | 246 | .355 | 21.9% | 32.5% |
| on the road ● | 203 | 4.9% | 162 | .339 | 21.6% | 32.7% |
| at home | 175 | 1.7% | 132 | .324 | 22.7% | 31.1% |
| season | 378 | 3.4% | 294 | .332 | 22.1% | 32.0% |
0.5line
OVER+475theScore Betfair +484 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost+618+22.7% vs market · -29.7% vs season50% boost+712+38.9% vs market · -20.3% vs season
UNDER-700BetMGMfair -501 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-538-1.1% vs market · +6.9% vs season50% boost-467+1.3% vs market · +9.5% vs season
Singles
102 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.228
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs LHB · 34th pctseason .244 (54th)96 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
K%thin18.4%20.4%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs LHB · 36th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)thin sample: 103 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%25.1%26.1%
51st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%250 batters facedvs LHB · 59th pctseason 25.1% (51st)180 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 13 | 12.6% |
| vs RHB | 147 | 14 | 9.5% |
| at home ● | 137 | 15 | 10.9% |
| on the road | 113 | 12 | 10.6% |
| season | 250 | 27 | 10.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
xBAthin.252.186
67th percentileleague avg .240378 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason .252 (67th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
zone contact%thin85.2%83.6%
56th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%378 PAvs LHP · 46th pctseason 85.2% (56th)thin sample: 67 in-zone swingsneutralneutral
whiff%thin17.5%21.1%
12th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%378 PAvs LHP · 26th pctseason 17.5% (12th)thin sample: 114 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%thin22.1%22.9%
34th percentileleague avg 23.6%378 PAvs LHP · 42nd pctseason 22.1% (34th)thin sample: 48 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
sprint speed27.0—
no split for this stat38th percentileleague avg 27.4378 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupNathan Lukes: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 71 | 15 | .268 | 50% (13/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 272 | 53 | .265 | 47% (36/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 186 | 36 | .280 | 50% (26/52) |
| at home | 50 | 157 | 32 | .248 | 46% (23/50) |
| season | 102 | 343 | 68 | .265 | 48% (49/102) |
● tonight's split
The BatNathan Lukes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 69 | 10.1% | 48 | .186 | 22.9% | 29.2% |
| vs RHP | 309 | 19.7% | 246 | .259 | 21.9% | 32.5% |
| on the road ● | 203 | 17.7% | 162 | .253 | 21.6% | 32.7% |
| at home | 175 | 18.3% | 132 | .238 | 22.7% | 31.1% |
| season | 378 | 18.0% | 294 | — | 22.1% | 32.0% |
0.5line
OVER-115BetMGMfair -114 · -0.3% vs fair
30% boost+113+13.6% vs market · +2.3% vs season50% boost+130+22.8% vs market · +10.7% vs season
UNDER+105bet365fair +112 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost+136+11.6% vs market · +22.9% vs season50% boost+157+21.5% vs market · +33.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+475theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+618no market fair50% boost+712no market fair
UNDER-800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-615no market fair50% boost-533no market fair
Walks
102 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%thin7.6%3.9%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 7.6% (40th)thin sample: 103 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%56.8%52.4%
8th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%250 batters facedvs LHB · 0th pctseason 56.8% (8th)103 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/9thin2.81.4
league avg 3.4-0.7 vs league5 startsvs LHBseason 2.8thin sample: 103 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 103 | 4 | 3.9% |
| vs RHB | 147 | 15 | 10.2% |
| at home ● | 137 | 12 | 8.8% |
| on the road | 113 | 7 | 6.2% |
| season | 250 | 19 | 7.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadNathan Lukes vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
BB%thin5.6%4.3%
15th percentileleague avg 8.7%378 PAvs LHP · 8th pctseason 5.6% (15th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase ratethin34.2%37.3%
72nd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%378 PAvs LHP · 85th pctseason 34.2% (72nd)thin sample: 126 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%thin65.9%56.8%
league avg 66.8%-0.9% vs league378 PAvs LHPseason 65.9%thin sample: 118 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupNathan Lukes: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 77 | 4 | 5.2% | .316 | 15% (4/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 301 | 17 | 5.6% | .318 | 18% (14/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 203 | 10 | 4.9% | .323 | 13% (7/52) |
| at home | 50 | 175 | 11 | 6.3% | .310 | 22% (11/50) |
| season | 102 | 378 | 21 | 5.6% | .317 | 18% (18/102) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+265bet365fair +266 · -0.3% vs fair
30% boost+344+21.3% vs market · -21.6% vs season50% boost+397+35.8% vs market · -12.2% vs season
UNDER-343DraftKingsfair -268 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-264+0.5% vs market · +13.6% vs season50% boost-229+4.8% vs market · +18.4% vs season
Stolen Bases
102 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.7%—
no split for this stat41st percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%2 of 288 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners test him0.7%—
no split for this stat28th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%2 of 288 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Nathan Lukes Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.0—
no split for this stat38th percentileleague avg 27.4378 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.010.00
18th percentileleague avg 0.07102 gamesvs LHP · 7th pctseason 0.01 (18th)26 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBAthin.252.186
67th percentileleague avg .240378 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason .252 (67th)thin sample: 63 at-batssupports OVERsupports UNDER
BB%thin5.6%4.3%
15th percentileleague avg 8.7%378 PAvs LHP · 8th pctseason 5.6% (15th)thin sample: 69 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupNathan Lukes: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 26 | 77 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/26) |
| vs RHP | 76 | 301 | 1 | 0.01 | 1% (1/76) |
| on the road ● | 52 | 203 | 1 | 0.02 | 2% (1/52) |
| at home | 50 | 175 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/50) |
| season | 102 | 378 | 1 | 0.01 | 1% (1/102) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+2500Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardToronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royalssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing