← Toronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TORbats R3rd in the order · projectedToronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals8:10 PMKauffman Stadium

facingDaniel Lynch IV3.06 ERA · 6.71 K/9 · 1.05 WHIP · 61.2 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 2.0% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.6% (league avg 7.4%)
Jr. at the plateHR/PA 1.5%barrel rate 6.8%hard-hit% 43.2%

Home Runs

126 games logged
line0.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.0%2.7%
26th percentileleague avg 2.9%250 batters facedvs RHB · 47th pctseason 2.0% (26th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowed6.6%6.5%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 6.6% (36th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.9%43.9%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason 37.9% (48th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed26.2%29.9%
47th percentileleague avg 26.7%250 batters facedvs RHB · 75th pctseason 26.2% (47th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHRHR/BF
vs RHB ●14742.7%
vs LHB10311.0%
at home ●13700.0%
on the road11354.4%
season25052.0%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career1 home runs in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA1.5%2.2%
15th percentileleague avg 3.0%534 PAvs LHP · 34th pctseason 1.5% (15th)135 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate6.8%8.3%
46th percentileleague avg 7.8%534 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason 6.8% (46th)96 batted ballsneutralneutral
hard-hit%43.2%41.7%
71st percentileleague avg 39.0%534 PAvs LHP · 64th pctseason 43.2% (71st)96 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%19.2%27.1%
7th percentileleague avg 26.7%534 PAvs LHP · 54th pctseason 19.2% (7th)96 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
xSLG.401.448
63rd percentileleague avg .386533 PAvs LHP · 84th pctseason .401 (63rd)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.119.166
32nd percentileleague avg .146533 PAvs LHP · 67th pctseason .119 (32nd)114 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
avg exit velo90.2 mph91.6 mph
79th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph534 PAvs LHP · 90th pctseason 90.2 mph (79th)96 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: Home Runs by split
GPAHRHR/PASLGover 0.5
vs LHP ●3716121.2%.3405% (2/37)
vs RHP8937261.6%.3647% (6/89)
on the road ●6125783.1%.41813% (8/61)
at home6527600.0%.2990% (0/65)
season12653381.5%.3576% (8/126)

● tonight's split

The BatVladimir Guerrero Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAHR/PABBEbarrelxSLGxISOEV
vs LHP ●1342.2%968.3%.448.16691.6
vs RHP3991.3%3166.3%.379.10289.7
on the road ●2573.1%2017.0%.392.12189.3
at home2760.0%2116.6%.400.11491.0
season5331.5%4126.8%.396.11790.2
0.5line
OVER+575BetMGMpooled fair +517

30% boost+748pooled fair50% boost+862pooled fair

UNDER-641NoVigfair -499 · -3.7% vs fair

30% boost-493+0.2% vs market · +12.6% vs season50% boost-427+2.8% vs market · +15.6% vs season

Total Bases

126 games logged
line1.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG against.202.221
league avg .244-0.042 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason .202147 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.9%43.9%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason 37.9% (48th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.5%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 6.6% (36th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFTBTB/BFSLG
vs RHB ●147520.35.397
vs LHB103240.23.247
at home ●137280.20.230
on the road113480.42.453
season250760.30.333

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career7 total bases in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.401.448
63rd percentileleague avg .386533 PAvs LHP · 84th pctseason .401 (63rd)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.357.398
20th percentileleague avg .400533 PAvs LHP · 44th pctseason .357 (20th)134 PAsupports UNDERneutral
xBA.282.282
95th percentileleague avg .240533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason .282 (95th)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.260.274
65th percentileleague avg .244533 PAvs LHP · 80th pctseason .260 (65th)134 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.119.166
32nd percentileleague avg .146533 PAvs LHP · 67th pctseason .119 (32nd)114 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
hard-hit%43.2%41.7%
71st percentileleague avg 39.0%534 PAvs LHP · 64th pctseason 43.2% (71st)96 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate6.8%8.3%
46th percentileleague avg 7.8%534 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason 6.8% (46th)96 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: Total Bases by split
GPATBTB/GSLGover 1.5
vs LHP ●37161481.30.34032% (12/37)
vs RHP893721211.36.36438% (34/89)
on the road ●61257971.59.41838% (23/61)
at home65276721.11.29935% (23/65)
season1265331691.34.35737% (46/126)

● tonight's split

The BatVladimir Guerrero Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PATB/PABBExSLGxISObarrelEV
vs LHP ●13433.6%96.448.1668.3%91.6
vs RHP39931.1%316.379.1026.3%89.7
on the road ●25737.7%201.392.1217.0%89.3
at home27626.1%211.400.1146.6%91.0
season53331.7%412.396.1176.8%90.2
1.5line
OVER+111ProphetXfair +118 · -3.2% vs fair

30% boost+144+12.1% vs market · -10.8% vs season50% boost+167+22.3% vs market · -2.7% vs season

UNDER-110betPARXfair -113 · +1.1% vs fair

30% boost+118+15.6% vs market · +38.5% vs season50% boost+136+25.3% vs market · +50.1% vs season

Hits

126 games logged
line1.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG against.202.221
league avg .244-0.042 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason .202147 batters facedneutralneutral
K%18.4%17.0%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)147 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%25.1%24.4%
51st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%250 batters facedvs RHB · 47th pctseason 25.1% (51st)250 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHH/BFAVG
vs RHB ●1472919.7%.221
vs LHB1031716.5%.175
at home ●1372115.3%.172
on the road1132522.1%.236
season2504618.4%.202

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career4 hits in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
xBA.282.282
95th percentileleague avg .240533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason .282 (95th)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.260.274
65th percentileleague avg .244533 PAvs LHP · 80th pctseason .260 (65th)134 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%87.0%88.1%
70th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%533 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 87.0% (70th)151 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%19.1%17.9%
17th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%533 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason 19.1% (17th)234 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%12.6%13.3%
5th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%533 PAvs LHP · 7th pctseason 12.6% (5th)135 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: Hits by split
GABHAVGover 1.5
vs LHP ●3714136.25527% (10/37)
vs RHP8933287.26226% (23/89)
on the road ●6123263.27226% (16/61)
at home6524160.24926% (17/65)
season126473123.26026% (33/126)

● tonight's split

The BatVladimir Guerrero Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs LHP ●13423.1%96.28222.9%28.1%
vs RHP39923.1%316.27725.9%29.8%
on the road ●25724.5%201.27023.9%27.4%
at home27621.7%211.28626.5%31.3%
season53323.1%41225.2%29.4%
1.5line
OVER+182ProphetXfair +180 · +0.6% vs fair

30% boost+237+20.2% vs market · -11.8% vs season50% boost+273+33.2% vs market · -2.3% vs season

UNDER-198DraftKingsfair -184 · -2.4% vs fair

30% boost-152+7.3% vs market · +22.3% vs season50% boost-132+13.9% vs market · +29.7% vs season

H+R+RBI

126 games logged
line2.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
xERA4.01
no split for this stat
46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%7.6%10.2%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.6% (40th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
K%18.4%17.0%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)147 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHTBOBP
vs RHB ●1472952.299
vs LHB1031724.223
at home ●1372128.255
on the road1132548.283
season2504676

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career5 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 8 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375

H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.922.03
66th percentileleague avg 1.75126 gamesvs LHP · 77th pctseason 1.92 (66th)37 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.332
no split for this stat
76th percentileleague avg .310533 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.282.282
95th percentileleague avg .240533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason .282 (95th)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.357.398
20th percentileleague avg .400533 PAvs LHP · 44th pctseason .357 (20th)134 PAsupports UNDERneutral
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: H+R+RBI by split
GPAHRRBIH+R+RBI/Gover 2.5
vs LHP ●371613621182.0338% (14/37)
vs RHP893728744361.8829% (26/89)
on the road ●612576337362.2334% (21/61)
at home652766028181.6329% (19/65)
season12653312365541.9232% (40/126)

● tonight's split

The BatVladimir Guerrero Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBAxSLGbarrelEV
vs LHP ●13423.1%96.282.4488.3%91.6
vs RHP39923.1%316.277.3796.3%89.7
on the road ●25724.5%201.270.3927.0%89.3
at home27621.7%211.286.4006.6%91.0
season53323.1%412.3966.8%90.2
2.5line
OVER+136ProphetXfair +134 · +1% vs fair

30% boost+177+18.5% vs market · -12.1% vs season50% boost+204+30.1% vs market · -3.5% vs season

UNDER-150bet365fair -136 · -3.9% vs fair

30% boost-115+7.7% vs market · +27.4% vs season50% boost-100+15.4% vs market · +36.5% vs season

RBIs

126 games logged
line0.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.01
no split for this stat
46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.5%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 6.6% (36th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%7.6%10.2%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.6% (40th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHHRSLG
vs RHB ●147294.397
vs LHB103171.247
at home ●137210.230
on the road113255.453
season250465.333

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career1 RBI in 8 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.430.49
45th percentileleague avg 0.45126 gamesvs LHP · 65th pctseason 0.43 (45th)37 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xSLG.401.448
63rd percentileleague avg .386533 PAvs LHP · 84th pctseason .401 (63rd)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%43.2%41.7%
71st percentileleague avg 39.0%534 PAvs LHP · 64th pctseason 43.2% (71st)96 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate6.8%8.3%
46th percentileleague avg 7.8%534 PAvs LHP · 59th pctseason 6.8% (46th)96 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: RBIs by split
GPARBIRBI/GSLGover 0.5
vs LHP ●37161180.49.34027% (10/37)
vs RHP89372360.40.36430% (27/89)
on the road ●61257360.59.41834% (21/61)
at home65276180.28.29925% (16/65)
season126533540.43.35729% (37/126)

● tonight's split

The BatVladimir Guerrero Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PARBI/PABBExSLGbarrelhard hitEV
vs LHP ●1349.7%96.4488.3%41.7%91.6
vs RHP39910.3%316.3796.3%43.7%89.7
on the road ●25714.0%201.3927.0%43.3%89.3
at home2766.5%211.4006.6%43.1%91.0
season533412.3966.8%43.2%90.2
0.5line
OVER+148ProphetXfair +153 · -2.1% vs fair

30% boost+192+15.5% vs market · -14.1% vs season50% boost+222+27.2% vs market · -5.4% vs season

UNDER-159betPARXfair -156 · -0.8% vs fair

30% boost-122+10.7% vs market · +28.4% vs season50% boost-106+18.4% vs market · +37.3% vs season

Runs

126 games logged
line0.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.01
no split for this stat
46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%7.6%10.2%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.6% (40th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHBBOBP
vs RHB ●1472915.299
vs LHB103174.223
at home ●1372112.255
on the road113257.283
season2504619

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career8 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375

This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.520.57
69th percentileleague avg 0.46126 gamesvs LHP · 80th pctseason 0.52 (69th)37 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.332
no split for this stat
76th percentileleague avg .310533 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed26.4
no split for this stat
24th percentileleague avg 27.4533 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.282.282
95th percentileleague avg .240533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason .282 (95th)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%9.4%14.1%
58th percentileleague avg 8.7%533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 9.4% (58th)135 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: Runs by split
GPARR/GOBPover 0.5
vs LHP ●37161210.57.34249% (18/37)
vs RHP89372440.49.32839% (35/89)
on the road ●61257370.61.33146% (28/61)
at home65276280.43.33338% (25/65)
season126533650.52.33242% (53/126)

● tonight's split

The BatVladimir Guerrero Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAR/PABBExBALD%SS%EV
vs LHP ●13496.28222.9%28.1%91.6
vs RHP399316.27725.9%29.8%89.7
on the road ●25714.4%201.27023.9%27.4%89.3
at home27610.1%211.28626.5%31.3%91.0
season53341225.2%29.4%90.2
0.5line
OVER+105BetMGMfair +103 · +1.1% vs fair

30% boost+136+16.6% vs market · -0.5% vs season50% boost+157+26.9% vs market · +8.3% vs season

UNDER-117ProphetXfair -107 · -4% vs fair

30% boost+111+9.4% vs market · +22.3% vs season50% boost+128+18.2% vs market · +32.2% vs season

Doubles

126 games logged
line0.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.9%43.9%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason 37.9% (48th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.5%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 6.6% (36th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed19.2%
no comparison availableno split for this stat
250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BF2B2B/BFSLG
vs RHB ●147117.5%.397
vs LHB10321.9%.247
at home ●13753.6%.230
on the road11387.1%.453
season250135.2%.333

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career0 doubles in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.401.448
63rd percentileleague avg .386533 PAvs LHP · 84th pctseason .401 (63rd)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.119.166
32nd percentileleague avg .146533 PAvs LHP · 67th pctseason .119 (32nd)114 at-batssupports UNDERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%29.4%28.1%
8th percentileleague avg 35.3%534 PAvs LHP · 6th pctseason 29.4% (8th)96 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed26.4
no split for this stat
24th percentileleague avg 27.4533 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: Doubles by split
GPA2B2B/PASLGover 0.5
vs LHP ●3716163.7%.34016% (6/37)
vs RHP89372164.3%.36417% (15/89)
on the road ●61257103.9%.41816% (10/61)
at home65276124.3%.29917% (11/65)
season126533224.1%.35717% (21/126)

● tonight's split

The BatVladimir Guerrero Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PA2B/PABBExSLGLD%SS%
vs LHP ●1343.7%96.44822.9%28.1%
vs RHP3994.3%316.37925.9%29.8%
on the road ●2573.9%201.39223.9%27.4%
at home2764.3%211.40026.5%31.3%
season5334.1%412.39625.2%29.4%
0.5line
OVER+320BetMGMfair +322 · -0.4% vs fair

30% boost+416+22.3% vs market · -14% vs season50% boost+480+37.5% vs market · -3.3% vs season

UNDER-425bet365fair -329 · -5.3% vs fair

30% boost-327+0.2% vs market · +8.8% vs season50% boost-283+3.8% vs market · +12.7% vs season

Singles

126 games logged
line0.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
K%18.4%17.0%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)147 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%25.1%24.4%
51st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%250 batters facedvs RHB · 47th pctseason 25.1% (51st)250 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BF1B1B/BF
vs RHB ●147149.5%
vs LHB1031312.6%
at home ●1371510.9%
on the road1131210.6%
season2502710.8%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career3 singles in 8 AB (.500), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
xBA.282.282
95th percentileleague avg .240533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason .282 (95th)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%87.0%88.1%
70th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%533 PAvs LHP · 78th pctseason 87.0% (70th)151 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%19.1%17.9%
17th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%533 PAvs LHP · 13th pctseason 19.1% (17th)234 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed26.4
no split for this stat
24th percentileleague avg 27.4533 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: Singles by split
GAB1BAVGover 0.5
vs LHP ●3714128.25557% (21/37)
vs RHP8933265.26252% (46/89)
on the road ●6123245.27254% (33/61)
at home6524148.24952% (34/65)
season12647393.26053% (67/126)

● tonight's split

The BatVladimir Guerrero Jr.: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PA1B/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs LHP ●13417.2%96.28222.9%28.1%
vs RHP39917.5%316.27725.9%29.8%
on the road ●25717.5%201.27023.9%27.4%
at home27617.4%211.28626.5%31.3%
season53317.4%41225.2%29.4%
0.5line
OVER-150BetMGMfair -134 · -4.4% vs fair

30% boost-115+7% vs market · -0.7% vs season50% boost-100+14.6% vs market · +6.3% vs season

UNDER+132bet365fair +133 · -0.4% vs fair

30% boost+172+16.5% vs market · +27.2% vs season50% boost+198+27.8% vs market · +39.5% vs season

Walks

126 games logged
line0.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%7.6%10.2%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.6% (40th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%56.8%59.9%
8th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%250 batters facedvs RHB · 29th pctseason 56.8% (8th)147 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/92.83.8
league avg 3.4-0.7 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason 2.8147 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFBBBB/BF
vs RHB ●1471510.2%
vs LHB10343.9%
at home ●137128.8%
on the road11376.2%
season250197.6%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadVladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Daniel Lynch IV, career0 walks in 8 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20213311001001.333.666
20225532016100.6001.800
career8843017101.5001.375
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
BB%9.4%14.1%
58th percentileleague avg 8.7%533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 9.4% (58th)135 PAneutralsupports OVER
chase rate30.5%26.8%
52nd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%533 PAvs LHP · 29th pctseason 30.5% (52nd)310 pitches outside the zoneneutralsupports OVER
zone swing%68.2%68.6%
league avg 66.8%+1.4% vs league533 PAvs LHPseason 68.2%220 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: Walks by split
GPABBBB%OBPover 0.5
vs LHP ●371611710.6%.34232% (12/37)
vs RHP89372338.9%.32831% (28/89)
on the road ●61257218.2%.33133% (20/61)
at home652762910.5%.33331% (20/65)
season126533509.4%.33232% (40/126)

● tonight's split

0.5line
OVER+141Caesarsfair +153 · -4.9% vs fair

30% boost+183+11.9% vs market · -10.1% vs season50% boost+212+23% vs market · -1.1% vs season

UNDER-185theScore Betfair -155 · -6.3% vs fair

30% boost-142+3.5% vs market · +16.2% vs season50% boost-123+10.1% vs market · +23.6% vs season

Stolen Bases

126 games logged
line0.5

Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.7%
no split for this stat
41st percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%2 of 288 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners test him0.7%
no split for this stat
28th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%2 of 288 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed2
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught0
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed26.4
no split for this stat
24th percentileleague avg 27.4533 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.060.08
56th percentileleague avg 0.07126 gamesvs LHP · 65th pctseason 0.06 (56th)37 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xBA.282.282
95th percentileleague avg .240533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason .282 (95th)114 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%9.4%14.1%
58th percentileleague avg 8.7%533 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 9.4% (58th)135 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupVladimir Guerrero Jr.: Stolen Bases by split
GPASBSB/Gover 0.5
vs LHP ●3716130.088% (3/37)
vs RHP8937240.044% (4/89)
on the road ●6125720.033% (2/61)
at home6527650.088% (5/65)
season12653370.066% (7/126)

● tonight's split

0.5line
OVER+2000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair

UNDER-8000bet365market fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)

30% boost-6154no market fair50% boost-5333no market fair

Hitters on the prop boardToronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royalssorted by the focused market, not batting order

odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing