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Kazuma Okamoto
TORbats R6th in the order · projectedToronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royals8:10 PMKauffman Stadium
facingDaniel Lynch IV3.06 ERA · 6.71 K/9 · 1.05 WHIP · 61.2 IPLHP · HR/PA allowed 2.0% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 6.6% (league avg 7.4%)
Okamoto at the plateHR/PA 5.1%barrel rate 13.3%hard-hit% 43.8%
Home Runs
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed2.0%2.7%
26th percentileleague avg 2.9%250 batters facedvs RHB · 47th pctseason 2.0% (26th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
barrel% allowed6.6%6.5%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 6.6% (36th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit% allowed37.9%43.9%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason 37.9% (48th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed26.2%29.9%
47th percentileleague avg 26.7%250 batters facedvs RHB · 75th pctseason 26.2% (47th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 4 | 2.7% |
| vs LHB | 103 | 1 | 1.0% |
| at home ● | 137 | 0 | 0.0% |
| on the road | 113 | 5 | 4.4% |
| season | 250 | 5 | 2.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA5.1%5.6%
91st percentileleague avg 3.0%550 PAvs LHP · 96th pctseason 5.1% (91st)144 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.3%16.9%
90th percentileleague avg 7.8%550 PAvs LHP · 98th pctseason 13.3% (90th)89 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%43.8%49.4%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%550 PAvs LHP · 92nd pctseason 43.8% (74th)89 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%33.5%39.3%
90th percentileleague avg 26.7%550 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason 33.5% (90th)89 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.430.512
76th percentileleague avg .386550 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason .430 (76th)128 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.214.293
89th percentileleague avg .146550 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .214 (89th)128 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo90.5 mph91.6 mph
82nd percentileleague avg 88.0 mph550 PAvs LHP · 90th pctseason 90.5 mph (82nd)89 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 166 | 8 | 4.8% | .438 | 21% (8/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 384 | 20 | 5.2% | .441 | 20% (19/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 282 | 16 | 5.7% | .453 | 22% (15/67) |
| at home | 67 | 268 | 12 | 4.5% | .426 | 18% (12/67) |
| season | 134 | 550 | 28 | 5.1% | .440 | 20% (27/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatKazuma Okamoto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 144 | 5.6% | 89 | 16.9% | .512 | .293 | 91.6 |
| vs RHP | 406 | 4.9% | 242 | 12.0% | .398 | .184 | 90.1 |
| on the road ● | 282 | 5.7% | 168 | 13.1% | .449 | .231 | 91.3 |
| at home | 268 | 4.5% | 163 | 13.5% | .405 | .192 | 89.6 |
| season | 550 | 5.1% | 331 | 13.3% | .428 | .212 | 90.5 |
0.5line
OVER+425bet365fair +382 · +8.9% vs fair
30% boost+552+35.1% vs market · +31.5% vs season50% boost+638+52.7% vs market · +48.6% vs season
UNDER-388NoVigfair -394 · +0.3% vs fair
30% boost-298+6.5% vs market · +6.6% vs season50% boost-259+10.7% vs market · +10.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+5000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+6500no market fair50% boost+7500no market fair
Total Bases
134 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG against.202.221
league avg .244-0.042 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason .202147 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed37.9%43.9%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason 37.9% (48th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.5%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 6.6% (36th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 52 | 0.35 | .397 |
| vs LHB | 103 | 24 | 0.23 | .247 |
| at home ● | 137 | 28 | 0.20 | .230 |
| on the road | 113 | 48 | 0.42 | .453 |
| season | 250 | 76 | 0.30 | .333 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.430.512
76th percentileleague avg .386550 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason .430 (76th)128 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.440.508
72nd percentileleague avg .400550 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason .440 (72nd)144 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.217.219
20th percentileleague avg .240550 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .217 (20th)128 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.227.250
23rd percentileleague avg .244550 PAvs LHP · 53rd pctseason .227 (23rd)144 PAsupports UNDERneutral
xISO.214.293
89th percentileleague avg .146550 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .214 (89th)128 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%43.8%49.4%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%550 PAvs LHP · 92nd pctseason 43.8% (74th)89 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.3%16.9%
90th percentileleague avg 7.8%550 PAvs LHP · 98th pctseason 13.3% (90th)89 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.5%18.0%
17th percentileleague avg 23.6%550 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason 20.5% (17th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 166 | 64 | 1.64 | .438 | 41% (16/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 384 | 153 | 1.61 | .441 | 40% (38/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 282 | 116 | 1.73 | .453 | 40% (27/67) |
| at home | 67 | 268 | 101 | 1.51 | .426 | 40% (27/67) |
| season | 134 | 550 | 217 | 1.62 | .440 | 40% (54/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatKazuma Okamoto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 144 | 45.1% | 89 | .512 | .293 | 16.9% | 91.6 |
| vs RHP | 406 | 37.4% | 242 | .398 | .184 | 12.0% | 90.1 |
| on the road ● | 282 | 41.1% | 168 | .449 | .231 | 13.1% | 91.3 |
| at home | 268 | 37.7% | 163 | .405 | .192 | 13.5% | 89.6 |
| season | 550 | 39.5% | 331 | .428 | .212 | 13.3% | 90.5 |
0.5lineL5 60%L10 60%L20 75%SZN 62%over rate
OVER-205Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-158no market fair50% boost-137no market fair
UNDER+170theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+221no market fair50% boost+255no market fair
1.5line
OVER+128BetOnlinefair +137 · -4% vs fair
30% boost+166+12.2% vs market · +7.4% vs season50% boost+192+22.9% vs market · +17.7% vs season
UNDER-140theScore Betfair -134 · -1.9% vs fair
30% boost-108+10.3% vs market · +15.1% vs season50% boost+107+18.5% vs market · +23.7% vs season
2.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 24%over rate
OVER+230Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+299no market fair50% boost+345no market fair
3.5lineL5 40%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 21%over rate
OVER+310Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+403no market fair50% boost+465no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+650Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+845no market fair50% boost+975no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1900Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2470no market fair50% boost+2850no market fair
Hits
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
AVG against.202.221
league avg .244-0.042 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason .202147 batters facedneutralneutral
K%18.4%17.0%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)147 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%25.1%24.4%
51st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%250 batters facedvs RHB · 47th pctseason 25.1% (51st)250 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 29 | 19.7% | .221 |
| vs LHB | 103 | 17 | 16.5% | .175 |
| at home ● | 137 | 21 | 15.3% | .172 |
| on the road | 113 | 25 | 22.1% | .236 |
| season | 250 | 46 | 18.4% | .202 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
xBA.217.219
20th percentileleague avg .240550 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .217 (20th)128 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.227.250
23rd percentileleague avg .244550 PAvs LHP · 53rd pctseason .227 (23rd)144 PAsupports UNDERneutral
zone contact%76.9%79.2%
10th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%550 PAvs LHP · 18th pctseason 76.9% (10th)212 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%33.7%30.5%
91st percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%550 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 33.7% (91st)282 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%30.0%27.1%
87th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%550 PAvs LHP · 77th pctseason 30.0% (87th)144 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.5%18.0%
17th percentileleague avg 23.6%550 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason 20.5% (17th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 146 | 32 | .219 | 62% (24/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 347 | 80 | .231 | 62% (59/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 256 | 57 | .223 | 63% (42/67) |
| at home | 67 | 237 | 55 | .232 | 61% (41/67) |
| season | 134 | 493 | 112 | .227 | 62% (83/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatKazuma Okamoto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 144 | 22.2% | 89 | .219 | 18.0% | 38.2% |
| vs RHP | 406 | 19.7% | 242 | .214 | 21.5% | 33.5% |
| on the road ● | 282 | 20.2% | 168 | .217 | 19.1% | 33.9% |
| at home | 268 | 20.5% | 163 | .214 | 22.1% | 35.6% |
| season | 550 | 20.4% | 331 | — | 20.5% | 34.7% |
0.5line
OVER-196BetOnlinefair -182 · -2.5% vs fair
30% boost-151+7.3% vs market · +3% vs season50% boost-131+13.9% vs market · +9.3% vs season
UNDER+172DraftKingsfair +182 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost+224+14.9% vs market · +23.2% vs season50% boost+258+27.1% vs market · +36.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 20%over rate
OVER+285Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+370no market fair50% boost+428no market fair
UNDER-350theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-269no market fair50% boost-233no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+1400Bally Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1820no market fair50% boost+2100no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
H+R+RBI
134 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
xERA4.01—
no split for this stat46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%7.6%10.2%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.6% (40th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
K%18.4%17.0%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)147 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 29 | 52 | .299 |
| vs LHB | 103 | 17 | 24 | .223 |
| at home ● | 137 | 21 | 28 | .255 |
| on the road | 113 | 25 | 48 | .283 |
| season | 250 | 46 | 76 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.961.92
71st percentileleague avg 1.75134 gamesvs LHP · 66th pctseason 1.96 (71st)39 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.318—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg .310550 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.217.219
20th percentileleague avg .240550 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .217 (20th)128 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.440.508
72nd percentileleague avg .400550 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason .440 (72nd)144 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 166 | 32 | 21 | 22 | 1.92 | 46% (18/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 384 | 80 | 52 | 56 | 1.98 | 52% (49/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 282 | 57 | 43 | 40 | 2.09 | 52% (35/67) |
| at home | 67 | 268 | 55 | 30 | 38 | 1.84 | 48% (32/67) |
| season | 134 | 550 | 112 | 73 | 78 | 1.96 | 50% (67/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatKazuma Okamoto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 144 | 22.2% | 89 | .219 | .512 | 16.9% | 91.6 |
| vs RHP | 406 | 19.7% | 242 | .214 | .398 | 12.0% | 90.1 |
| on the road ● | 282 | 20.2% | 168 | .217 | .449 | 13.1% | 91.3 |
| at home | 268 | 20.5% | 163 | .214 | .405 | 13.5% | 89.6 |
| season | 550 | 20.4% | 331 | — | .428 | 13.3% | 90.5 |
1.5line
OVER-120NoVigfair -113 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+108+10.4% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost+125+19.3% vs market · +12.5% vs season
UNDER+106NoVigfair +113 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost+138+11.8% vs market · +18.9% vs season50% boost+159+21.7% vs market · +29.5% vs season
RBIs
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.01—
no split for this stat46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.5%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 6.6% (36th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%7.6%10.2%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.6% (40th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 29 | 4 | .397 |
| vs LHB | 103 | 17 | 1 | .247 |
| at home ● | 137 | 21 | 0 | .230 |
| on the road | 113 | 25 | 5 | .453 |
| season | 250 | 46 | 5 | .333 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.580.56
84th percentileleague avg 0.45134 gamesvs LHP · 80th pctseason 0.58 (84th)39 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.430.512
76th percentileleague avg .386550 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason .430 (76th)128 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%43.8%49.4%
74th percentileleague avg 39.0%550 PAvs LHP · 92nd pctseason 43.8% (74th)89 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate13.3%16.9%
90th percentileleague avg 7.8%550 PAvs LHP · 98th pctseason 13.3% (90th)89 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 166 | 22 | 0.56 | .438 | 31% (12/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 384 | 56 | 0.59 | .441 | 39% (37/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 282 | 40 | 0.60 | .453 | 31% (21/67) |
| at home | 67 | 268 | 38 | 0.57 | .426 | 42% (28/67) |
| season | 134 | 550 | 78 | 0.58 | .440 | 37% (49/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatKazuma Okamoto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 144 | 11.1% | 89 | .512 | 16.9% | 49.4% | 91.6 |
| vs RHP | 406 | 15.3% | 242 | .398 | 12.0% | 41.7% | 90.1 |
| on the road ● | 282 | 14.2% | 168 | .449 | 13.1% | 46.4% | 91.3 |
| at home | 268 | 14.2% | 163 | .405 | 13.5% | 41.1% | 89.6 |
| season | 550 | — | 331 | .428 | 13.3% | 43.8% | 90.5 |
0.5line
OVER+148ProphetXfair +148 · -0.1% vs fair
30% boost+192+17.8% vs market · +6.9% vs season50% boost+222+29.8% vs market · +17.7% vs season
UNDER-160theScore Betfair -152 · -2.1% vs fair
30% boost-123+9.3% vs market · +15% vs season50% boost-107+16.8% vs market · +22.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 15%over rate
OVER+390Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+507no market fair50% boost+585no market fair
UNDER-650theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-500no market fair50% boost-433no market fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+2250Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2925no market fair50% boost+3375no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4550no market fair50% boost+5250no market fair
Runs
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.01—
no split for this stat46th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
BB%7.6%10.2%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.6% (40th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 29 | 15 | .299 |
| vs LHB | 103 | 17 | 4 | .223 |
| at home ● | 137 | 21 | 12 | .255 |
| on the road | 113 | 25 | 7 | .283 |
| season | 250 | 46 | 19 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.540.54
74th percentileleague avg 0.46134 gamesvs LHP · 74th pctseason 0.54 (74th)39 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.318—
no split for this stat62nd percentileleague avg .310550 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed26.3—
no split for this stat22nd percentileleague avg 27.4550 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.217.219
20th percentileleague avg .240550 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .217 (20th)128 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.7%9.7%
51st percentileleague avg 8.7%550 PAvs LHP · 62nd pctseason 8.7% (51st)144 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 166 | 21 | 0.54 | .307 | 41% (16/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 384 | 52 | 0.55 | .299 | 44% (42/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 282 | 43 | 0.64 | .294 | 52% (35/67) |
| at home | 67 | 268 | 30 | 0.45 | .310 | 34% (23/67) |
| season | 134 | 550 | 73 | 0.54 | .302 | 43% (58/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatKazuma Okamoto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 144 | — | 89 | .219 | 18.0% | 38.2% | 91.6 |
| vs RHP | 406 | — | 242 | .214 | 21.5% | 33.5% | 90.1 |
| on the road ● | 282 | 15.2% | 168 | .217 | 19.1% | 33.9% | 91.3 |
| at home | 268 | 11.2% | 163 | .214 | 22.1% | 35.6% | 89.6 |
| season | 550 | — | 331 | — | 20.5% | 34.7% | 90.5 |
0.5line
OVER+110bet365fair +112 · -0.7% vs fair
30% boost+143+14.9% vs market · +5.2% vs season50% boost+165+25.3% vs market · +14.7% vs season
UNDER-120theScore Betfair -113 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+108+10.2% vs market · +18.2% vs season50% boost+125+19% vs market · +27.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
Doubles
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.397.429
59th percentileleague avg .386250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason .397 (59th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed37.9%43.9%
48th percentileleague avg 38.2%250 batters facedvs RHB · 87th pctseason 37.9% (48th)107 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
barrel% allowed6.6%6.5%
36th percentileleague avg 7.4%250 batters facedvs RHB · 36th pctseason 6.6% (36th)107 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive% allowed19.2%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat250 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 11 | 7.5% | .397 |
| vs LHB | 103 | 2 | 1.9% | .247 |
| at home ● | 137 | 5 | 3.6% | .230 |
| on the road | 113 | 8 | 7.1% | .453 |
| season | 250 | 13 | 5.2% | .333 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.8%6.3%
39th percentileleague avg 4.1%550 PAvs LHP · 95th pctseason 3.8% (39th)144 PAsupports UNDERsupports OVER
xSLG.430.512
76th percentileleague avg .386550 PAvs LHP · 97th pctseason .430 (76th)128 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.214.293
89th percentileleague avg .146550 PAvs LHP · 99th pctseason .214 (89th)128 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.5%18.0%
17th percentileleague avg 23.6%550 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason 20.5% (17th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%34.7%38.2%
43rd percentileleague avg 35.3%550 PAvs LHP · 76th pctseason 34.7% (43rd)89 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sprint speed26.3—
no split for this stat22nd percentileleague avg 27.4550 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 166 | 8 | 4.8% | .438 | 21% (8/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 384 | 13 | 3.4% | .441 | 14% (13/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 282 | 11 | 3.9% | .453 | 16% (11/67) |
| at home | 67 | 268 | 10 | 3.7% | .426 | 15% (10/67) |
| season | 134 | 550 | 21 | 3.8% | .440 | 16% (21/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatKazuma Okamoto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 144 | 6.3% | 89 | .512 | 18.0% | 38.2% |
| vs RHP | 406 | 3.0% | 242 | .398 | 21.5% | 33.5% |
| on the road ● | 282 | 3.9% | 168 | .449 | 19.1% | 33.9% |
| at home | 268 | 3.7% | 163 | .405 | 22.1% | 35.6% |
| season | 550 | 3.8% | 331 | .428 | 20.5% | 34.7% |
0.5line
OVER+395ProphetXpooled fair +406
30% boost+514pooled fair50% boost+593pooled fair
UNDER-500bet365fair -406 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost-385+1.2% vs market · +6.3% vs season50% boost-333+4.4% vs market · +9.6% vs season
Singles
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.244.254
54th percentileleague avg .239250 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .244 (54th)132 at-batsneutralsupports OVER
K%18.4%17.0%
23rd percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%250 batters facedvs RHB · 12th pctseason 18.4% (23rd)147 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%25.1%24.4%
51st percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%250 batters facedvs RHB · 47th pctseason 25.1% (51st)250 swingsneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 14 | 9.5% |
| vs LHB | 103 | 13 | 12.6% |
| at home ● | 137 | 15 | 10.9% |
| on the road | 113 | 12 | 10.6% |
| season | 250 | 27 | 10.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
xBA.217.219
20th percentileleague avg .240550 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .217 (20th)128 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%76.9%79.2%
10th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%550 PAvs LHP · 18th pctseason 76.9% (10th)212 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%33.7%30.5%
91st percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%550 PAvs LHP · 79th pctseason 33.7% (91st)282 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.5%18.0%
17th percentileleague avg 23.6%550 PAvs LHP · 4th pctseason 20.5% (17th)89 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed26.3—
no split for this stat22nd percentileleague avg 27.4550 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 146 | 16 | .219 | 36% (14/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 347 | 47 | .231 | 39% (37/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 256 | 30 | .223 | 37% (25/67) |
| at home | 67 | 237 | 33 | .232 | 39% (26/67) |
| season | 134 | 493 | 63 | .227 | 38% (51/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatKazuma Okamoto: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 144 | 10.4% | 89 | .219 | 18.0% | 38.2% |
| vs RHP | 406 | 11.8% | 242 | .214 | 21.5% | 33.5% |
| on the road ● | 282 | 10.6% | 168 | .217 | 19.1% | 33.9% |
| at home | 268 | 12.3% | 163 | .214 | 22.1% | 35.6% |
| season | 550 | 11.5% | 331 | — | 20.5% | 34.7% |
0.5line
OVER+115ProphetXfair +125 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost+150+11% vs market · -5% vs season50% boost+172+21.3% vs market · +3.7% vs season
UNDER-140bet365fair -127 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-108+7.8% vs market · +19.5% vs season50% boost+107+15.8% vs market · +28.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1077no market fair50% boost-933no market fair
Walks
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%7.6%10.2%
40th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%250 batters facedvs RHB · 76th pctseason 7.6% (40th)147 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%56.8%59.9%
8th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%250 batters facedvs RHB · 29th pctseason 56.8% (8th)147 first pitchessupports OVERsupports OVER
BB/92.83.8
league avg 3.4-0.7 vs league5 startsvs RHBseason 2.8147 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmDaniel Lynch IV: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 147 | 15 | 10.2% |
| vs LHB | 103 | 4 | 3.9% |
| at home ● | 137 | 12 | 8.8% |
| on the road | 113 | 7 | 6.2% |
| season | 250 | 19 | 7.6% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadKazuma Okamoto vs Daniel Lynch IVfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
BB%8.7%9.7%
51st percentileleague avg 8.7%550 PAvs LHP · 62nd pctseason 8.7% (51st)144 PAneutralsupports OVER
chase rate28.2%23.5%
35th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%550 PAvs LHP · 12th pctseason 28.2% (35th)298 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%68.2%70.0%
league avg 66.8%+1.4% vs league550 PAvs LHPseason 68.2%303 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 166 | 17 | 10.2% | .307 | 38% (15/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 384 | 31 | 8.1% | .299 | 29% (28/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 282 | 24 | 8.5% | .294 | 33% (22/67) |
| at home | 67 | 268 | 24 | 9.0% | .310 | 31% (21/67) |
| season | 134 | 550 | 48 | 8.7% | .302 | 32% (43/134) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+160bet365fair +168 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+208+14.9% vs market · -1.2% vs season50% boost+240+26.8% vs market · +9.1% vs season
UNDER-200Hard Rockfair -168 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost-154+3.5% vs market · +12.1% vs season50% boost-133+9.7% vs market · +18.8% vs season
Stolen Bases
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Daniel Lynch IV Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.7%—
no split for this stat41st percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%2 of 288 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners test him0.7%—
no split for this stat28th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%2 of 288 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB allowed2—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs0—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Kazuma Okamoto Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed26.3—
no split for this stat22nd percentileleague avg 27.4550 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
SB per game0.010.00
18th percentileleague avg 0.07134 gamesvs LHP · 7th pctseason 0.01 (18th)39 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.217.219
20th percentileleague avg .240550 PAvs LHP · 21st pctseason .217 (20th)128 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.7%9.7%
51st percentileleague avg 8.7%550 PAvs LHP · 62nd pctseason 8.7% (51st)144 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupKazuma Okamoto: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHP ● | 39 | 166 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/39) |
| vs RHP | 95 | 384 | 1 | 0.01 | 1% (1/95) |
| on the road ● | 67 | 282 | 1 | 0.01 | 1% (1/67) |
| at home | 67 | 268 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/67) |
| season | 134 | 550 | 1 | 0.01 | 1% (1/134) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardToronto Blue Jays @ Kansas City Royalssorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing