Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:50 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Colton Joseph
WISMichigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin BadgersSat 12:30 PM
Joseph on the fieldcarries per game 13.17
Anytime TD
16 games loggedline0.5
touches
MSU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to QBs0.50.50.5
69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.411 games (2025) · 5 totalseason 0.5no per-play form for this stat64th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.44 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports OVERT-39/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-41/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
carries faced33.533.532.5
28th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 368 totalseason 33.5no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 35.44 games (2026) · 130 totalsupports UNDERT-102/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-84/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.73.72.8
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 41 totalseason 3.7no per-play form for this stat38th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVER34/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-76/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Colton Joseph Breakdown · his own data
carries per game13.1711.40
SZN96th percentile for mostleague avg 6.6212 games (2025)vs last 5 · 87th pctseason 13.17 (96th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-150bet365at 0.5
Passing Touchdowns
16 games loggedline1.5
pass attempts
MSU · what this defence allows
passing TDs allowed1.96.3%1.0
80th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.511 games (2025) · 21 totalvs per attempt · 79th pct · T-29 of 141season 1.9 (80th)11 games25th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.64 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-26/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-83/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
passing yards allowed230.47.6190.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2534 totalvs per attempt · 67th pct · 47 of 141season 230.4 (58th)11 games25th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.44 games (2026) · 760 totalneutral60/141 FBS defencessupports OVER93/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Colton Joseph Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game24.1729.00
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 19.6312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 24.17 (53rd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
completions per game14.4216.20
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 12.2712 games (2025)vs last 5 · 61st pctseason 14.42 (53rd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER-600bet365at 0.5
1.5line
OVER-106BetOnline.agat 1.5
UNDER-115bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+350bet365at 2.5
3.5line
OVER+950bet365at 3.5
Passing Yards
16 games loggedline231.5
completions
MSU · what this defence allows
passing yards allowed230.47.6190.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2534 totalvs per attempt · 67th pct · 47 of 141season 230.4 (58th)11 games25th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.44 games (2026) · 760 totalneutral60/141 FBS defencessupports OVER93/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Colton Joseph Breakdown · his own data
pass attempts per game24.1729.00
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 19.6312 games (2025)vs last 5 · 80th pctseason 24.17 (53rd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
completions per game14.4216.20
SZN53rd percentile for mostleague avg 12.2712 games (2025)vs last 5 · 61st pctseason 14.42 (53rd)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
149.5line
OVER-1499bet365at 149.5
174.5line
OVER-550bet365at 174.5
199.5line
OVER-260bet365at 199.5
224.5line
OVER-135bet365at 224.5
231.5line
OVER-112BetOnline.agat 231.5
UNDER-115bet365at 231.5
249.5line
OVER+140bet365at 249.5
274.5line
OVER+250bet365at 274.5
299.5line
OVER+450bet365at 299.5
324.5line
OVER+750bet365at 324.5
349.5line
OVER+1100bet365at 349.5
374.5line
OVER+1700bet365at 374.5
Rushing Yards
16 games loggedline38.5
carries
MSU · what this defence allows
rushing yards allowed151.94.5124.0
46th percentile for most allowedleague avg 156.511 games (2025) · 1671 totalvs per carry · 57th pct · 61 of 141season 151.9 (46th)11 games36th percentile for most allowedleague avg 150.04 games (2026) · 496 totalneutral77/141 FBS defencesneutral79/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Colton Joseph Breakdown · his own data
carries per game13.1711.40
SZN96th percentile for mostleague avg 6.6212 games (2025)vs last 5 · 87th pctseason 13.17 (96th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per carry6.584.46
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9112 games (2025)vs last 5 · 77th pctseason 6.58 (94th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-340bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-170bet365at 29.5
36.5line
OVER-115bet365at 36.5
UNDER-115bet365at 36.5
38.5line
OVER-112BetOnline.agat 38.5
UNDER-115BetOnline.agat 38.5
39.5line
OVER-105bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+160bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+255bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+375bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+575bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+800bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+1300bet365at 109.5
119.5line
OVER+1700bet365at 119.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing