Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:50 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Nate Palmer
WISMichigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin BadgersSat 12:30 PM
Palmer on the fieldcarries per game 5.00receptions per game 0.17
Anytime TD
9 games loggedline0.5
touches
MSU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.70.71.5
55th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.711 games (2025) · 8 totalseason 0.7no per-play form for this stat70th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.24 games (2026) · 6 totalneutralT-61/141 FBS defencesseason onlyT-37/123 FBS defencessupports OVER
carries faced33.533.532.5
28th percentile for most facedleague avg 36.011 games (2025) · 368 totalseason 33.5no per-play form for this stat32nd percentile for most facedleague avg 35.44 games (2026) · 130 totalsupports UNDERT-102/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-84/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.73.72.8
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 41 totalseason 3.7no per-play form for this stat38th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVER34/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-76/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Nate Palmer Breakdown · his own data
carries per game5.004.20
SZN28th percentile for mostleague avg 7.936 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 5.00 (28th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game0.170.00
SZN9th percentile for mostleague avg 1.096 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.17 (9th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+255Bovadaat 0.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing