Base market snapshot from 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 2:50 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Jacob Harris
WISMichigan State Spartans @ Wisconsin BadgersSat 12:30 PM
Harris on the fieldreceptions per game 1.88
Anytime TD
12 games loggedline0.5
touches
MSU · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to TEs0.10.10.0
35th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.211 games (2025) · 1 totalseason 0.1no per-play form for this stat23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.34 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-82/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-67/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed to TEs1.01.01.3
16th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.611 games (2025) · 11 totalseason 1.0no per-play form for this stat6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.24 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-116/141 FBS defencessupports UNDERT-115/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
touchdowns allowed3.73.72.8
76th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.111 games (2025) · 41 totalseason 3.7no per-play form for this stat38th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.14 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVER34/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-76/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Jacob Harris Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.882.60
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 2.228 games (2025)vs last 5 · 68th pctseason 1.88 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+350Bovadaat 0.5
Receiving Yards
12 games loggedline30.5
receptions
MSU · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed230.411.6190.0
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 223.111 games (2025) · 2534 totalvs per reception · 48th pct · 74 of 141season 230.4 (58th)11 games25th percentile for most allowedleague avg 226.54 games (2026) · 760 totalneutral60/141 FBS defencesneutral93/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
receptions allowed19.819.815.3
64th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 218 totalseason 19.8no per-play form for this stat14th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 61 totalsupports OVERT-50/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-106/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Jacob Harris Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.882.60
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 2.228 games (2025)vs last 5 · 68th pctseason 1.88 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-250bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER-120bet365at 29.5
30.5line
OVER-114BetOnline.agat 30.5
UNDER-114BetOnline.agat 30.5
39.5line
OVER+145bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+235bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+375bet365at 59.5
69.5line
OVER+575bet365at 69.5
79.5line
OVER+800bet365at 79.5
89.5line
OVER+1050bet365at 89.5
99.5line
OVER+1300bet365at 99.5
109.5line
OVER+1700bet365at 109.5
Receptions
12 games loggedline2.5
receiving yards
MSU · what this defence allows
completions allowed19.865.7%15.3
64th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.011 games (2025) · 218 totalvs per attempt · 80th pct · T-28 of 141season 19.8 (64th)11 games14th percentile for most allowedleague avg 19.24 games (2026) · 61 totalsupports OVERT-50/141 FBS defencessupports OVERT-106/123 FBS defencessupports UNDER
Jacob Harris Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game1.882.60
SZN39th percentile for mostleague avg 2.228 games (2025)vs last 5 · 68th pctseason 1.88 (39th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
2.5line
OVER-140bet365at 2.5
UNDER+110bet365at 2.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing