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Drake Baldwin
ATLbats L1st in the orderPhiladelphia Phillies @ Atlanta BravesThu 8:11 PMTruist Park
facingAaron Nola4.67 ERA · 9.09 K/9 · 1.35 WHIP · 175.1 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 5.0% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 9.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Baldwin at the plateHR/PA 4.0%barrel rate 12.9%hard-hit% 50.6%
Home Runs
140 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed5.0%4.8%
94th percentileleague avg 2.9%745 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 5.0% (94th)458 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%8.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 9.3% (81st)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed40.3%44.4%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 40.3% (66th)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed27.9%30.1%
60th percentileleague avg 26.7%745 batters facedvs LHB · 76th pctseason 27.9% (60th)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 22 | 4.8% |
| vs RHB | 286 | 15 | 5.2% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 17 | 4.4% |
| at home | 356 | 20 | 5.6% |
| season | 744 | 37 | 5.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career0 home runs in 11 AB (.455), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA4.0%4.6%
77th percentileleague avg 2.9%624 PAvs RHP · 87th pctseason 4.0% (77th)391 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.9%15.9%
89th percentileleague avg 7.7%624 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 12.9% (89th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%50.6%51.5%
95th percentileleague avg 38.5%624 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 50.6% (95th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%26.4%31.1%
47th percentileleague avg 26.7%624 PAvs RHP · 79th pctseason 26.4% (47th)264 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG.505.541
97th percentileleague avg .384615 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .505 (97th)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.226.259
92nd percentileleague avg .145615 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .226 (92nd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo91.5 mph92.2 mph
91st percentileleague avg 87.8 mph624 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason 91.5 mph (91st)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 414 | 16 | 3.9% | .475 | 16% (15/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 210 | 9 | 4.3% | .423 | 19% (9/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 330 | 14 | 4.2% | .485 | 18% (13/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 294 | 11 | 3.7% | .426 | 17% (11/66) |
| season | 140 | 624 | 25 | 4.0% | .457 | 17% (24/140) |
● tonight's split
The BatDrake Baldwin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 391 | 4.6% | 264 | 15.9% | .541 | .259 | 92.2 |
| vs LHP | 224 | 3.1% | 155 | 7.7% | .438 | .168 | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 321 | 4.4% | 226 | 14.6% | .528 | .243 | 91.9 |
| on the road | 294 | 3.7% | 193 | 10.9% | .476 | .207 | 91.0 |
| season | 615 | 4.1% | 419 | 12.9% | .503 | .226 | 91.5 |
0.5line
OVER+750betPARXat 0.5
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UNDER-641NoVigat 0.5
30% boost-49350% boost-427
1.5line
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Total Bases
140 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG against.262.251
league avg .244+.018 vs league33 startsvs LHBseason .262458 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed40.3%44.4%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 40.3% (66th)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%8.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 9.3% (81st)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 187 | 0.41 | .464 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 139 | 0.49 | .509 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 148 | 0.38 | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 178 | 0.50 | .543 |
| season | 744 | 326 | 0.44 | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career5 total bases in 11 AB (.455), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.505.541
97th percentileleague avg .384615 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .505 (97th)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.459.504
league avg .400+.059 vs league615 PAvs RHPseason .459391 PAneutralneutral
xBA.279.282
93rd percentileleague avg .238615 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason .279 (93rd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.284.307
league avg .244+.040 vs league615 PAvs RHPseason .284391 PAneutralneutral
xISO.226.259
92nd percentileleague avg .145615 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .226 (92nd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%50.6%51.5%
95th percentileleague avg 38.5%624 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 50.6% (95th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.9%15.9%
89th percentileleague avg 7.7%624 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 12.9% (89th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.7%26.1%
64th percentileleague avg 23.5%624 PAvs RHP · 77th pctseason 24.7% (64th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 414 | 173 | 1.88 | .475 | 47% (43/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 210 | 82 | 1.71 | .423 | 46% (22/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 330 | 143 | 1.93 | .485 | 50% (37/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 294 | 112 | 1.70 | .426 | 42% (28/66) |
| season | 140 | 624 | 255 | 1.82 | .457 | 46% (65/140) |
● tonight's split
The BatDrake Baldwin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 391 | 44.5% | 264 | .541 | .259 | 15.9% | 92.2 |
| vs LHP | 224 | 34.8% | 155 | .438 | .168 | 7.7% | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 321 | 43.6% | 226 | .528 | .243 | 14.6% | 91.9 |
| on the road | 294 | 38.1% | 193 | .476 | .207 | 10.9% | 91.0 |
| season | 615 | 41.0% | 419 | .503 | .226 | 12.9% | 91.5 |
0.5line
OVER-220Fanaticsat 0.5
30% boost-16950% boost-147
UNDER+180theScore Betat 0.5
30% boost+23450% boost+270
1.5line
OVER+140Fanaticsat 1.5
30% boost+18250% boost+210
UNDER-141NoVigat 1.5
30% boost-10850% boost+106
2.5line
OVER+310Fanaticsat 2.5
30% boost+40350% boost+465
UNDER-317NoVigat 2.5
30% boost-24450% boost-211
3.5line
OVER+500Fanaticsat 3.5
30% boost+65050% boost+750
4.5line
OVER+950Fanaticsat 4.5
30% boost+123550% boost+1425
5.5line
OVER+1900Fanaticsat 5.5
30% boost+247050% boost+2850
6.5line
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7.5line
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Hits
140 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG against.262.251
league avg .244+.018 vs league33 startsvs LHBseason .262458 batters facedneutralneutral
K%23.8%22.1%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 23.8% (60th)458 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%27.1%26.8%
65th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.5%744 batters facedvs LHB · 62nd pctseason 27.1% (65th)866 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 101 | 22.1% | .251 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 76 | 26.6% | .278 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 21.4% | .239 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 26.4% | .287 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 23.8% | .262 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career5 hits in 11 AB (.455), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
xBA.279.282
93rd percentileleague avg .238615 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason .279 (93rd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.284.307
league avg .244+.040 vs league615 PAvs RHPseason .284391 PAneutralneutral
zone contact%83.7%82.6%
48th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.8%615 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason 83.7% (48th)529 in-zone swingsneutralsupports UNDER
whiff%24.4%24.9%
45th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.3%615 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 24.4% (45th)827 swingsneutralneutral
K%21.5%21.2%
42nd percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.8%615 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 21.5% (42nd)391 PAneutralneutral
line-drive%24.7%26.1%
64th percentileleague avg 23.5%624 PAvs RHP · 77th pctseason 24.7% (64th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 364 | 109 | .299 | 71% (65/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 194 | 49 | .253 | 71% (34/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 295 | 88 | .298 | 74% (55/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 263 | 70 | .266 | 67% (44/66) |
| season | 140 | 558 | 158 | .283 | 71% (99/140) |
● tonight's split
The BatDrake Baldwin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 391 | 27.1% | 264 | .282 | 26.1% | 38.6% |
| vs LHP | 224 | 22.3% | 155 | .270 | 22.6% | 38.7% |
| at home ● | 321 | 26.8% | 226 | .285 | 23.4% | 39.8% |
| on the road | 294 | 23.8% | 193 | .270 | 26.4% | 37.3% |
| season | 615 | 25.4% | 419 | — | 24.8% | 38.7% |
0.5line
OVER-200ProphetXat 0.5
30% boost-15450% boost-133
UNDER+198ProphetXat 0.5
30% boost+25750% boost+297
1.5line
OVER+260ProphetXat 1.5
30% boost+33850% boost+390
UNDER-320theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-24650% boost-213
2.5line
OVER+1300FanDuelat 2.5
30% boost+169050% boost+1950
3.5line
OVER+8000FanDuelat 3.5
30% boost+1040050% boost+12000
H+R+RBI
140 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%10.9%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 7.9% (42nd)458 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
K%23.8%22.1%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 23.8% (60th)458 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
The ArmAaron Nola: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 101 | 187 | .332 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 76 | 139 | .303 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 148 | .310 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 178 | .332 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 326 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career6 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 12 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.312.50
league avg 1.74+0.57 vs league140 gamesvs RHPseason 2.3192 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.370.370
96th percentileleague avg .308615 PAseason .370no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.279.282
93rd percentileleague avg .238615 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason .279 (93rd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.459.504
league avg .400+.059 vs league615 PAvs RHPseason .459391 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 414 | 109 | 62 | 59 | 2.50 | 63% (58/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 210 | 49 | 23 | 21 | 1.94 | 56% (27/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 330 | 88 | 50 | 51 | 2.55 | 68% (50/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 294 | 70 | 35 | 29 | 2.03 | 53% (35/66) |
| season | 140 | 624 | 158 | 85 | 80 | 2.31 | 61% (85/140) |
● tonight's split
The BatDrake Baldwin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 391 | 27.1% | 264 | .282 | .541 | 15.9% | 92.2 |
| vs LHP | 224 | 22.3% | 155 | .270 | .438 | 7.7% | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 321 | 26.8% | 226 | .285 | .528 | 14.6% | 91.9 |
| on the road | 294 | 23.8% | 193 | .270 | .476 | 10.9% | 91.0 |
| season | 615 | 25.4% | 419 | — | .503 | 12.9% | 91.5 |
0.5line
OVER-290bet365at 0.5
30% boost-22350% boost-193
1.5line
OVER-111NoVigat 1.5
30% boost+11750% boost+135
UNDER+106NoVigat 1.5
30% boost+13850% boost+159
2.5line
OVER+185bet365at 2.5
30% boost+24150% boost+278
3.5line
OVER+375bet365at 3.5
30% boost+48850% boost+562
4.5line
OVER+650bet365at 4.5
30% boost+84550% boost+975
5.5line
OVER+1300bet365at 5.5
30% boost+169050% boost+1950
6.5line
OVER+2200bet365at 6.5
30% boost+286050% boost+3300
7.5line
OVER+4000bet365at 7.5
30% boost+520050% boost+6000
RBIs
140 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%8.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 9.3% (81st)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%10.9%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 7.9% (42nd)458 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 101 | 22 | .464 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 76 | 15 | .509 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 17 | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 20 | .543 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 37 | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career1 RBI in 12 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.570.64
league avg 0.45+0.12 vs league140 gamesvs RHPseason 0.5792 gamesneutralneutral
xSLG.505.541
97th percentileleague avg .384615 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .505 (97th)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%50.6%51.5%
95th percentileleague avg 38.5%624 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 50.6% (95th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate12.9%15.9%
89th percentileleague avg 7.7%624 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 12.9% (89th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 414 | 59 | 0.64 | .475 | 42% (39/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 210 | 21 | 0.44 | .423 | 33% (16/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 330 | 51 | 0.69 | .485 | 47% (35/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 294 | 29 | 0.44 | .426 | 30% (20/66) |
| season | 140 | 624 | 80 | 0.57 | .457 | 39% (55/140) |
● tonight's split
The BatDrake Baldwin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 391 | 15.3% | 264 | .541 | 15.9% | 51.5% | 92.2 |
| vs LHP | 224 | 8.5% | 155 | .438 | 7.7% | 49.0% | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 321 | 15.6% | 226 | .528 | 14.6% | 49.6% | 91.9 |
| on the road | 294 | 9.9% | 193 | .476 | 10.9% | 51.8% | 91.0 |
| season | 615 | — | 419 | .503 | 12.9% | 50.6% | 91.5 |
0.5line
OVER+240theScore Betat 0.5
30% boost+31250% boost+360
UNDER-235betPARXat 0.5
30% boost-18150% boost-157
1.5line
OVER+800Fanaticsat 1.5
30% boost+104050% boost+1200
UNDER-1400theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-107750% boost-933
2.5line
OVER+2500FanDuelat 2.5
30% boost+325050% boost+3750
3.5line
OVER+8000FanDuelat 3.5
30% boost+1040050% boost+12000
4.5line
OVER+8000bet365at 4.5
30% boost+1040050% boost+12000
Runs
140 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%7.9%10.9%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 7.9% (42nd)458 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 101 | 50 | .332 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 76 | 9 | .303 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 35 | .310 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 24 | .332 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 59 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career12 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.610.67
league avg 0.46+0.15 vs league140 gamesvs RHPseason 0.6192 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.370.370
96th percentileleague avg .308615 PAseason .370no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed26.026.0
16th percentileleague avg 27.4615 PAseason 26.0no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.279.282
93rd percentileleague avg .238615 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason .279 (93rd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%8.9%9.7%
53rd percentileleague avg 8.6%615 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 8.9% (53rd)391 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 414 | 62 | 0.67 | .379 | 52% (48/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 210 | 23 | 0.48 | .310 | 46% (22/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 330 | 50 | 0.68 | .367 | 55% (41/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 294 | 35 | 0.53 | .344 | 44% (29/66) |
| season | 140 | 624 | 85 | 0.61 | .356 | 50% (70/140) |
● tonight's split
The BatDrake Baldwin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 391 | — | 264 | .282 | 26.1% | 38.6% | 92.2 |
| vs LHP | 224 | — | 155 | .270 | 22.6% | 38.7% | 90.3 |
| at home ● | 321 | 15.6% | 226 | .285 | 23.4% | 39.8% | 91.9 |
| on the road | 294 | 11.9% | 193 | .270 | 26.4% | 37.3% | 91.0 |
| season | 615 | — | 419 | — | 24.8% | 38.7% | 91.5 |
0.5line
OVER+122NoVigat 0.5
30% boost+15950% boost+183
UNDER-140theScore Betat 0.5
30% boost-10850% boost+107
1.5line
OVER+800theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost+104050% boost+1200
UNDER-1800theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-138550% boost-1200
2.5line
OVER+4000bet365at 2.5
30% boost+520050% boost+6000
Doubles
140 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed40.3%44.4%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 40.3% (66th)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%8.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 9.3% (81st)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.5%24.5%
no comparison availableno comparison available744 batters facedseason 24.5%no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
The ArmAaron Nola: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 18 | 3.9% | .464 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 14 | 4.9% | .509 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 10 | 2.6% | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 22 | 6.2% | .543 |
| season | 744 | 32 | 4.3% | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career0 doubles in 11 AB (.455), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.5%3.6%
34th percentileleague avg 4.0%624 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason 3.5% (34th)391 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.505.541
97th percentileleague avg .384615 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .505 (97th)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.226.259
92nd percentileleague avg .145615 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .226 (92nd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%24.7%26.1%
64th percentileleague avg 23.5%624 PAvs RHP · 77th pctseason 24.7% (64th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%38.7%38.6%
80th percentileleague avg 35.2%624 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 38.7% (80th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed26.026.0
16th percentileleague avg 27.4615 PAseason 26.0no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 414 | 16 | 3.9% | .475 | 16% (15/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 210 | 6 | 2.9% | .423 | 13% (6/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 330 | 13 | 3.9% | .485 | 16% (12/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 294 | 9 | 3.1% | .426 | 14% (9/66) |
| season | 140 | 624 | 22 | 3.5% | .457 | 15% (21/140) |
● tonight's split
The BatDrake Baldwin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 391 | 3.6% | 264 | .541 | 26.1% | 38.6% |
| vs LHP | 224 | 3.1% | 155 | .438 | 22.6% | 38.7% |
| at home ● | 321 | 3.7% | 226 | .528 | 23.4% | 39.8% |
| on the road | 294 | 3.1% | 193 | .476 | 26.4% | 37.3% |
| season | 615 | 3.4% | 419 | .503 | 24.8% | 38.7% |
0.5line
OVER+425theScore Betat 0.5
30% boost+55250% boost+638
UNDER-525BetMGMat 0.5
30% boost-40450% boost-350
Singles
140 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
K%23.8%22.1%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 23.8% (60th)458 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%27.1%26.8%
65th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.5%744 batters facedvs LHB · 62nd pctseason 27.1% (65th)866 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 60 | 13.1% |
| vs RHB | 286 | 45 | 15.7% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 54 | 13.9% |
| at home | 356 | 51 | 14.3% |
| season | 744 | 105 | 14.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career5 singles in 11 AB (.455), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
xBA.279.282
93rd percentileleague avg .238615 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason .279 (93rd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%83.7%82.6%
48th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.8%615 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason 83.7% (48th)529 in-zone swingsneutralsupports UNDER
whiff%24.4%24.9%
45th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.3%615 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 24.4% (45th)827 swingsneutralneutral
line-drive%24.7%26.1%
64th percentileleague avg 23.5%624 PAvs RHP · 77th pctseason 24.7% (64th)264 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed26.026.0
16th percentileleague avg 27.4615 PAseason 26.0no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 364 | 77 | .299 | 63% (58/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 194 | 34 | .253 | 52% (25/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 295 | 61 | .298 | 61% (45/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 263 | 50 | .266 | 58% (38/66) |
| season | 140 | 558 | 111 | .283 | 59% (83/140) |
● tonight's split
The BatDrake Baldwin: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 391 | 18.9% | 264 | .282 | 26.1% | 38.6% |
| vs LHP | 224 | 16.1% | 155 | .270 | 22.6% | 38.7% |
| at home ● | 321 | 18.7% | 226 | .285 | 23.4% | 39.8% |
| on the road | 294 | 17.0% | 193 | .270 | 26.4% | 37.3% |
| season | 615 | 17.9% | 419 | — | 24.8% | 38.7% |
0.5line
OVER-115bet365at 0.5
30% boost+11350% boost+130
UNDER-105BetMGMat 0.5
30% boost+12450% boost+143
1.5line
OVER+550theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost+71550% boost+825
UNDER-1000theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-76950% boost-667
Walks
140 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%7.9%10.9%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 7.9% (42nd)458 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%64.1%58.5%
70th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.8%744 batters facedvs LHB · 20th pctseason 64.1% (70th)458 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB/93.04.3
league avg 3.4-0.4 vs league33 startsvs LHBseason 3.0458 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmAaron Nola: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 50 | 10.9% |
| vs RHB | 286 | 9 | 3.1% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 35 | 9.0% |
| at home | 356 | 24 | 6.7% |
| season | 744 | 59 | 7.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDrake Baldwin vs Aaron Nola, career1 walks in 12 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.056 |
| career | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | .455 | .955 |
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
BB%8.9%9.7%
53rd percentileleague avg 8.6%615 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 8.9% (53rd)391 PAneutralsupports OVER
chase rate34.4%34.7%
73rd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.8%615 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 34.4% (73rd)858 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%70.5%73.0%
league avg 66.9%+3.6% vs league615 PAvs RHPseason 70.5%725 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 414 | 43 | 10.4% | .379 | 37% (34/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 210 | 12 | 5.7% | .310 | 23% (11/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 330 | 28 | 8.5% | .367 | 32% (24/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 294 | 27 | 9.2% | .344 | 32% (21/66) |
| season | 140 | 624 | 55 | 8.8% | .356 | 32% (45/140) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+220Caesarsat 0.5
30% boost+28650% boost+330
UNDER-300theScore Betat 0.5
30% boost-23150% boost-200
Stolen Bases
140 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.9%0.9%
54th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%9 of 958 opportunitiesseason 0.9%no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
runners test him1.5%1.5%
64th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%14 of 958 opportunitiesseason 1.5%no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports OVERsupports OVER
SB allowed99
no comparison availableseason totalseason 9no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
runners caught55
no comparison availableseason totalseason 5no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
pickoffs22
no comparison availableseason totalseason 2no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
Drake Baldwin Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed26.026.0
16th percentileleague avg 27.4615 PAseason 26.0no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SB per game0.020.03
league avg 0.06-0.04 vs league140 gamesvs RHPseason 0.0292 gamesneutralneutral
xBA.279.282
93rd percentileleague avg .238615 PAvs RHP · 95th pctseason .279 (93rd)347 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%8.9%9.7%
53rd percentileleague avg 8.6%615 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 8.9% (53rd)391 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupDrake Baldwin: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 92 | 414 | 3 | 0.03 | 3% (3/92) |
| vs LHP | 48 | 210 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/48) |
| at home ● | 74 | 330 | 2 | 0.03 | 3% (2/74) |
| on the road | 66 | 294 | 1 | 0.02 | 2% (1/66) |
| season | 140 | 624 | 3 | 0.02 | 2% (3/140) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+2250Hard Rockat 0.5
30% boost+292550% boost+3375
Hitters on the prop boardPhiladelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Bravessorted by the focused market, not batting order
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