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Matt Olson
ATLbats L3rd in the orderPhiladelphia Phillies @ Atlanta BravesThu 8:11 PMTruist Park
facingAaron Nola4.67 ERA · 9.09 K/9 · 1.35 WHIP · 175.1 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 5.0% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 9.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Olson at the plateHR/PA 5.8%barrel rate 14.2%hard-hit% 52.1%
Home Runs
164 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed5.0%4.8%
94th percentileleague avg 2.9%745 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 5.0% (94th)458 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%8.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 9.3% (81st)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed40.3%44.4%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 40.3% (66th)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed27.9%30.1%
60th percentileleague avg 26.7%745 batters facedvs LHB · 76th pctseason 27.9% (60th)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 22 | 4.8% |
| vs RHB | 286 | 15 | 5.2% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 17 | 4.4% |
| at home | 356 | 20 | 5.6% |
| season | 744 | 37 | 5.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career5 home runs in 40 AB (.250), across 5 seasons
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA5.8%6.0%
96th percentileleague avg 2.9%707 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 5.8% (96th)418 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.2%15.4%
94th percentileleague avg 7.7%707 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 14.2% (94th)272 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%52.1%53.7%
96th percentileleague avg 38.5%707 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 52.1% (96th)272 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%35.0%34.9%
94th percentileleague avg 26.7%707 PAvs RHP · 94th pctseason 35.0% (94th)272 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.503.522
96th percentileleague avg .384698 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .503 (96th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.256.281
98th percentileleague avg .145698 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .256 (98th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo92.5 mph93.3 mph
96th percentileleague avg 87.8 mph707 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason 92.5 mph (96th)272 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt Olson: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 449 | 27 | 6.0% | .511 | 24% (25/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 258 | 14 | 5.4% | .475 | 22% (13/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 355 | 20 | 5.6% | .506 | 22% (18/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 352 | 21 | 6.0% | .489 | 25% (20/81) |
| season | 164 | 707 | 41 | 5.8% | .498 | 23% (38/164) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Olson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 418 | 6.0% | 272 | 15.4% | .522 | .281 | 93.3 |
| vs LHP | 280 | 5.7% | 187 | 12.3% | .463 | .214 | 91.4 |
| at home ● | 346 | 5.8% | 244 | 13.5% | .516 | .254 | 92.4 |
| on the road | 352 | 6.0% | 215 | 14.9% | .480 | .254 | 92.7 |
| season | 698 | 5.9% | 459 | 14.2% | .498 | .254 | 92.5 |
0.5line
OVER+525Polymarketat 0.5
30% boost+68250% boost+788
UNDER-430ProphetXat 0.5
30% boost-33150% boost-287
1.5line
OVER+5500betPARXat 1.5
30% boost+715050% boost+8250
UNDER-8991NoVigat 1.5
30% boost-691650% boost-5994
Total Bases
164 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG against.262.251
league avg .244+.018 vs league33 startsvs LHBseason .262458 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed40.3%44.4%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 40.3% (66th)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%8.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 9.3% (81st)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 187 | 0.41 | .464 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 139 | 0.49 | .509 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 148 | 0.38 | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 178 | 0.50 | .543 |
| season | 744 | 326 | 0.44 | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career28 total bases in 40 AB (.250), across 5 seasons
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.503.522
96th percentileleague avg .384698 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .503 (96th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.502.500
league avg .400+.102 vs league698 PAvs RHPseason .502418 PAneutralneutral
xBA.247.241
61st percentileleague avg .238698 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .247 (61st)372 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG.251.245
league avg .244+.007 vs league698 PAvs RHPseason .251418 PAneutralneutral
xISO.256.281
98th percentileleague avg .145698 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .256 (98th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%52.1%53.7%
96th percentileleague avg 38.5%707 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 52.1% (96th)272 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.2%15.4%
94th percentileleague avg 7.7%707 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 14.2% (94th)272 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.4%21.3%
17th percentileleague avg 23.5%707 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason 20.4% (17th)272 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt Olson: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 449 | 202 | 1.94 | .511 | 45% (47/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 258 | 113 | 1.88 | .475 | 48% (29/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 355 | 161 | 1.94 | .506 | 46% (38/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 352 | 154 | 1.90 | .489 | 47% (38/81) |
| season | 164 | 707 | 315 | 1.92 | .498 | 46% (76/164) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Olson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 418 | 44.0% | 272 | .522 | .281 | 15.4% | 93.3 |
| vs LHP | 280 | 46.4% | 187 | .463 | .214 | 12.3% | 91.4 |
| at home ● | 346 | 46.2% | 244 | .516 | .254 | 13.5% | 92.4 |
| on the road | 352 | 43.8% | 215 | .480 | .254 | 14.9% | 92.7 |
| season | 698 | 45.0% | 459 | .498 | .254 | 14.2% | 92.5 |
0.5line
OVER-180theScore Betat 0.5
30% boost-13850% boost-120
UNDER+140theScore Betat 0.5
30% boost+18250% boost+210
1.5line
OVER+144ProphetXat 1.5
30% boost+18750% boost+216
UNDER-153NoVigat 1.5
30% boost-11850% boost-102
2.5line
OVER+265Fanaticsat 2.5
30% boost+34450% boost+397
3.5line
OVER+375Fanaticsat 3.5
30% boost+48850% boost+562
4.5line
OVER+750FanDuelat 4.5
30% boost+97550% boost+1125
5.5line
OVER+1500Fanaticsat 5.5
30% boost+195050% boost+2250
6.5line
OVER+2500Fanaticsat 6.5
30% boost+325050% boost+3750
7.5line
OVER+1800bet365at 7.5
30% boost+234050% boost+2700
Hits
164 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG against.262.251
league avg .244+.018 vs league33 startsvs LHBseason .262458 batters facedneutralneutral
K%23.8%22.1%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 23.8% (60th)458 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%27.1%26.8%
65th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.5%744 batters facedvs LHB · 62nd pctseason 27.1% (65th)866 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 101 | 22.1% | .251 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 76 | 26.6% | .278 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 21.4% | .239 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 26.4% | .287 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 23.8% | .262 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career10 hits in 40 AB (.250), across 5 seasons
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
xBA.247.241
61st percentileleague avg .238698 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .247 (61st)372 at-batssupports OVERneutral
AVG.251.245
league avg .244+.007 vs league698 PAvs RHPseason .251418 PAneutralneutral
zone contact%80.8%81.6%
26th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.8%698 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 80.8% (26th)580 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%25.4%23.6%
52nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.3%698 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 25.4% (52nd)827 swingsneutralneutral
K%24.5%23.9%
64th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.8%698 PAvs RHP · 58th pctseason 24.5% (64th)418 PAsupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%20.4%21.3%
17th percentileleague avg 23.5%707 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason 20.4% (17th)272 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt Olson: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 395 | 102 | .258 | 71% (74/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 238 | 56 | .235 | 63% (38/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 318 | 83 | .261 | 69% (57/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 315 | 75 | .238 | 68% (55/81) |
| season | 164 | 633 | 158 | .250 | 68% (112/164) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Olson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 418 | 21.5% | 272 | .241 | 21.3% | 34.2% |
| vs LHP | 280 | 23.9% | 187 | .249 | 18.2% | 31.6% |
| at home ● | 346 | 23.7% | 244 | .262 | 21.7% | 34.0% |
| on the road | 352 | 21.3% | 215 | .226 | 18.1% | 32.1% |
| season | 698 | 22.5% | 459 | — | 20.0% | 33.1% |
0.5line
OVER-174ProphetXat 0.5
30% boost-13450% boost-116
UNDER+164ProphetXat 0.5
30% boost+21350% boost+246
1.5line
OVER+330FanDuelat 1.5
30% boost+42950% boost+495
UNDER-400theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-30850% boost-267
2.5line
OVER+2000FanDuelat 2.5
30% boost+260050% boost+3000
3.5line
OVER+6500bet365at 3.5
30% boost+845050% boost+9750
H+R+RBI
164 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%10.9%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 7.9% (42nd)458 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
K%23.8%22.1%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 23.8% (60th)458 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
The ArmAaron Nola: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 101 | 187 | .332 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 76 | 139 | .303 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 148 | .310 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 178 | .332 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 326 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career19 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 48 PA, across 5 seasons
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.152.20
league avg 1.74+0.41 vs league164 gamesvs RHPseason 2.15104 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.351.351
91st percentileleague avg .308698 PAseason .351no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.247.241
61st percentileleague avg .238698 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .247 (61st)372 at-batssupports OVERneutral
SLG.502.500
league avg .400+.102 vs league698 PAvs RHPseason .502418 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupMatt Olson: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 449 | 102 | 65 | 62 | 2.20 | 55% (57/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 258 | 56 | 34 | 33 | 2.05 | 52% (31/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 355 | 83 | 52 | 46 | 2.18 | 53% (44/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 352 | 75 | 47 | 49 | 2.11 | 54% (44/81) |
| season | 164 | 707 | 158 | 99 | 95 | 2.15 | 54% (88/164) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Olson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 418 | 21.5% | 272 | .241 | .522 | 15.4% | 93.3 |
| vs LHP | 280 | 23.9% | 187 | .249 | .463 | 12.3% | 91.4 |
| at home ● | 346 | 23.7% | 244 | .262 | .516 | 13.5% | 92.4 |
| on the road | 352 | 21.3% | 215 | .226 | .480 | 14.9% | 92.7 |
| season | 698 | 22.5% | 459 | — | .498 | 14.2% | 92.5 |
0.5line
OVER-270bet365at 0.5
30% boost-20850% boost-180
1.5line
OVER-102NoVigat 1.5
30% boost+12750% boost+147
UNDER-113NoVigat 1.5
30% boost+11550% boost+133
2.5line
OVER+165bet365at 2.5
30% boost+21450% boost+247
3.5line
OVER+310bet365at 3.5
30% boost+40350% boost+465
4.5line
OVER+550bet365at 4.5
30% boost+71550% boost+825
5.5line
OVER+950bet365at 5.5
30% boost+123550% boost+1425
6.5line
OVER+1650bet365at 6.5
30% boost+214550% boost+2475
7.5line
OVER+2800bet365at 7.5
30% boost+364050% boost+4200
RBIs
164 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%8.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 9.3% (81st)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%10.9%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 7.9% (42nd)458 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 101 | 22 | .464 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 76 | 15 | .509 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 17 | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 20 | .543 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 37 | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career9 RBI in 48 PA, across 5 seasons
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.580.60
league avg 0.45+0.13 vs league164 gamesvs RHPseason 0.58104 gamesneutralneutral
xSLG.503.522
96th percentileleague avg .384698 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .503 (96th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%52.1%53.7%
96th percentileleague avg 38.5%707 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 52.1% (96th)272 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate14.2%15.4%
94th percentileleague avg 7.7%707 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason 14.2% (94th)272 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt Olson: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 449 | 62 | 0.60 | .511 | 40% (42/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 258 | 33 | 0.55 | .475 | 35% (21/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 355 | 46 | 0.55 | .506 | 39% (32/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 352 | 49 | 0.60 | .489 | 38% (31/81) |
| season | 164 | 707 | 95 | 0.58 | .498 | 38% (63/164) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Olson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 418 | 13.6% | 272 | .522 | 15.4% | 53.7% | 93.3 |
| vs LHP | 280 | 12.9% | 187 | .463 | 12.3% | 49.7% | 91.4 |
| at home ● | 346 | 12.7% | 244 | .516 | 13.5% | 52.5% | 92.4 |
| on the road | 352 | 13.9% | 215 | .480 | 14.9% | 51.6% | 92.7 |
| season | 698 | — | 459 | .498 | 14.2% | 52.1% | 92.5 |
0.5line
OVER+195BetMGMat 0.5
30% boost+25450% boost+292
UNDER-194NoVigat 0.5
30% boost-14950% boost-129
1.5line
OVER+575Fanaticsat 1.5
30% boost+74850% boost+862
UNDER-1000theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-76950% boost-667
2.5line
OVER+1600FanDuelat 2.5
30% boost+208050% boost+2400
3.5line
OVER+4500FanDuelat 3.5
30% boost+585050% boost+6750
4.5line
OVER+6000bet365at 4.5
30% boost+780050% boost+9000
Runs
164 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%7.9%10.9%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 7.9% (42nd)458 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 101 | 50 | .332 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 76 | 9 | .303 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 35 | .310 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 24 | .332 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 59 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career48 PA across 5 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.600.62
league avg 0.46+0.14 vs league164 gamesvs RHPseason 0.60104 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.351.351
91st percentileleague avg .308698 PAseason .351no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed25.325.3
8th percentileleague avg 27.4698 PAseason 25.3no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.247.241
61st percentileleague avg .238698 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .247 (61st)372 at-batssupports OVERneutral
BB%9.2%10.5%
57th percentileleague avg 8.6%698 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 9.2% (57th)418 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupMatt Olson: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 449 | 65 | 0.63 | .336 | 45% (47/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 258 | 34 | 0.57 | .287 | 45% (27/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 355 | 52 | 0.63 | .324 | 46% (38/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 352 | 47 | 0.58 | .312 | 44% (36/81) |
| season | 164 | 707 | 99 | 0.60 | .318 | 45% (74/164) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Olson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 418 | — | 272 | .241 | 21.3% | 34.2% | 93.3 |
| vs LHP | 280 | — | 187 | .249 | 18.2% | 31.6% | 91.4 |
| at home ● | 346 | 15.0% | 244 | .262 | 21.7% | 34.0% | 92.4 |
| on the road | 352 | 13.4% | 215 | .226 | 18.1% | 32.1% | 92.7 |
| season | 698 | — | 459 | — | 20.0% | 33.1% | 92.5 |
0.5line
C★ FORM leans under
- the under has hit 76% blended (L10 90%, season 55%) against a 58% priced probability
- his sprint speed of 25.3 - 8th percentile for sprint speed
- counterpoint - his xwOBA of .351 - 91st percentile for xwOBA
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 90% vs 55% season
basis: 164 games this season
OVER+138ProphetXat 0.5
30% boost+17950% boost+207
UNDER-160bet365at 0.5
30% boost-12350% boost-107
1.5line
OVER+1000theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost+130050% boost+1500
UNDER-3000theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-230850% boost-2000
2.5line
OVER+4000bet365at 2.5
30% boost+520050% boost+6000
Doubles
164 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.419.418
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason .419 (72nd)407 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed40.3%44.4%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs LHB · 89th pctseason 40.3% (66th)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%8.8%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs LHB · 73rd pctseason 9.3% (81st)306 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.5%24.5%
no comparison availableno comparison available744 batters facedseason 24.5%no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
The ArmAaron Nola: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 18 | 3.9% | .464 |
| vs RHB | 286 | 14 | 4.9% | .509 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 10 | 2.6% | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 22 | 6.2% | .543 |
| season | 744 | 32 | 4.3% | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career3 doubles in 40 AB (.250), across 5 seasons
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.8%4.5%
76th percentileleague avg 4.0%707 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason 4.8% (76th)418 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.503.522
96th percentileleague avg .384698 PAvs RHP · 98th pctseason .503 (96th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.256.281
98th percentileleague avg .145698 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .256 (98th)372 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.4%21.3%
17th percentileleague avg 23.5%707 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason 20.4% (17th)272 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%33.1%34.2%
29th percentileleague avg 35.2%707 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason 33.1% (29th)272 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.325.3
8th percentileleague avg 27.4698 PAseason 25.3no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt Olson: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 449 | 19 | 4.2% | .511 | 17% (18/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 258 | 15 | 5.8% | .475 | 23% (14/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 355 | 18 | 5.1% | .506 | 22% (18/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 352 | 16 | 4.5% | .489 | 17% (14/81) |
| season | 164 | 707 | 34 | 4.8% | .498 | 20% (32/164) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Olson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 418 | 4.5% | 272 | .522 | 21.3% | 34.2% |
| vs LHP | 280 | 5.4% | 187 | .463 | 18.2% | 31.6% |
| at home ● | 346 | 5.2% | 244 | .516 | 21.7% | 34.0% |
| on the road | 352 | 4.5% | 215 | .480 | 18.1% | 32.1% |
| season | 698 | 4.9% | 459 | .498 | 20.0% | 33.1% |
0.5line
OVER+475theScore Betat 0.5
30% boost+61850% boost+712
UNDER-600BetMGMat 0.5
30% boost-46250% boost-400
Singles
164 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.243
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs LHB · 52nd pctseason .243 (52nd)407 at-batsneutralneutral
K%23.8%22.1%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs LHB · 47th pctseason 23.8% (60th)458 batters facedsupports UNDERneutral
whiff%27.1%26.8%
65th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.5%744 batters facedvs LHB · 62nd pctseason 27.1% (65th)866 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 60 | 13.1% |
| vs RHB | 286 | 45 | 15.7% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 54 | 13.9% |
| at home | 356 | 51 | 14.3% |
| season | 744 | 105 | 14.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career2 singles in 40 AB (.250), across 5 seasons
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
xBA.247.241
61st percentileleague avg .238698 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .247 (61st)372 at-batssupports OVERneutral
zone contact%80.8%81.6%
26th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.8%698 PAvs RHP · 32nd pctseason 80.8% (26th)580 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%25.4%23.6%
52nd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.3%698 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 25.4% (52nd)827 swingsneutralneutral
line-drive%20.4%21.3%
17th percentileleague avg 23.5%707 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason 20.4% (17th)272 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed25.325.3
8th percentileleague avg 27.4698 PAseason 25.3no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMatt Olson: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 395 | 56 | .258 | 44% (46/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 238 | 27 | .235 | 33% (20/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 318 | 45 | .261 | 43% (36/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 315 | 38 | .238 | 37% (30/81) |
| season | 164 | 633 | 83 | .250 | 40% (66/164) |
● tonight's split
The BatMatt Olson: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 418 | 11.0% | 272 | .241 | 21.3% | 34.2% |
| vs LHP | 280 | 12.9% | 187 | .249 | 18.2% | 31.6% |
| at home ● | 346 | 12.7% | 244 | .262 | 21.7% | 34.0% |
| on the road | 352 | 10.8% | 215 | .226 | 18.1% | 32.1% |
| season | 698 | 11.7% | 459 | — | 20.0% | 33.1% |
0.5line
OVER+136ProphetXat 0.5
30% boost+17750% boost+204
UNDER-150BetMGMat 0.5
30% boost-11550% boost-100
1.5line
OVER+800theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost+104050% boost+1200
UNDER-1800theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-138550% boost-1200
Walks
164 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%7.9%10.9%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs LHB · 82nd pctseason 7.9% (42nd)458 batters facedneutralsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%64.1%58.5%
70th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.8%744 batters facedvs LHB · 20th pctseason 64.1% (70th)458 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports OVER
BB/93.04.3
league avg 3.4-0.4 vs league33 startsvs LHBseason 3.0458 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmAaron Nola: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 458 | 50 | 10.9% |
| vs RHB | 286 | 9 | 3.1% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 35 | 9.0% |
| at home | 356 | 24 | 6.7% |
| season | 744 | 59 | 7.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMatt Olson vs Aaron Nola, career7 walks in 48 PA, across 5 seasons
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | .200 | .783 |
| 2023 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | .333 | .833 |
| 2024 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | .200 | .933 |
| 2025 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | 5.000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | .250 | 1.333 |
| career | 48 | 40 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 9 | .250 | 1.075 |
Matt Olson Breakdown · batter data
BB%9.2%10.5%
57th percentileleague avg 8.6%698 PAvs RHP · 75th pctseason 9.2% (57th)418 PAneutralsupports OVER
chase rate27.9%26.7%
33rd percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.8%698 PAvs RHP · 27th pctseason 27.9% (33rd)925 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%66.8%68.9%
league avg 66.9%-0.1% vs league698 PAvs RHPseason 66.8%842 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupMatt Olson: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 104 | 449 | 47 | 10.5% | .336 | 37% (38/104) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 258 | 17 | 6.6% | .287 | 25% (15/60) |
| at home ● | 83 | 355 | 31 | 8.7% | .324 | 31% (26/83) |
| on the road | 81 | 352 | 33 | 9.4% | .312 | 33% (27/81) |
| season | 164 | 707 | 64 | 9.1% | .318 | 32% (53/164) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+175DraftKingsat 0.5
30% boost+22850% boost+262
UNDER-210bet365at 0.5
30% boost-16250% boost-140
Hitters on the prop boardPhiladelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Bravessorted by the focused market, not batting order
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