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Mauricio Dubon
ATLbats R5th in the orderPhiladelphia Phillies @ Atlanta BravesThu 8:11 PMTruist Park
facingAaron Nola4.67 ERA · 9.09 K/9 · 1.35 WHIP · 175.1 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 5.0% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 9.3% (league avg 7.4%)
Dubon at the plateHR/PA 1.9%barrel rate 4.0%hard-hit% 29.5%
Home Runs
155 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed5.0%5.2%
94th percentileleague avg 2.9%745 batters facedvs RHB · 96th pctseason 5.0% (94th)287 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%10.0%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason 9.3% (81st)200 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed40.3%34.0%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 40.3% (66th)200 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
fly-ball% allowed27.9%24.5%
60th percentileleague avg 26.7%745 batters facedvs RHB · 33rd pctseason 27.9% (60th)200 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
xSLG against.419.409
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .419 (72nd)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 15 | 5.2% |
| vs LHB | 458 | 22 | 4.8% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 17 | 4.4% |
| at home | 356 | 20 | 5.6% |
| season | 744 | 37 | 5.0% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career0 home runs in 14 AB (.214), across 4 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA1.9%2.0%
26th percentileleague avg 2.9%628 PAvs RHP · 27th pctseason 1.9% (26th)409 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate4.0%4.3%
20th percentileleague avg 7.7%628 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 4.0% (20th)323 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%29.5%28.5%
15th percentileleague avg 38.5%628 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason 29.5% (15th)323 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%25.6%25.7%
43rd percentileleague avg 26.7%628 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 25.6% (43rd)323 batted ballsneutralneutral
xSLG.375.381
48th percentileleague avg .384619 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .375 (48th)376 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.108.111
26th percentileleague avg .145619 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason .108 (26th)376 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velo86.1 mph85.8 mph
27th percentileleague avg 87.8 mph628 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 86.1 mph (27th)323 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 374 | 4 | 1.1% | .354 | 4% (4/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 254 | 8 | 3.1% | .468 | 13% (8/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 317 | 6 | 1.9% | .403 | 8% (6/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 311 | 6 | 1.9% | .395 | 8% (6/76) |
| season | 155 | 628 | 12 | 1.9% | .399 | 8% (12/155) |
● tonight's split
The BatMauricio Dubon: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 409 | 2.0% | 323 | 4.3% | .381 | .111 | 85.8 |
| vs LHP | 210 | 1.9% | 178 | 3.4% | .356 | .099 | 86.7 |
| at home ● | 308 | 1.9% | 248 | 2.8% | .367 | .102 | 86.3 |
| on the road | 311 | 1.9% | 253 | 5.1% | .377 | .111 | 86.0 |
| season | 619 | 1.9% | 501 | 4.0% | .372 | .107 | 86.1 |
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Total Bases
155 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.419.409
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .419 (72nd)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.243.236
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs RHB · 43rd pctseason .243 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG against.262.278
league avg .244+.018 vs league33 startsvs RHBseason .262286 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed40.3%34.0%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 40.3% (66th)200 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed9.3%10.0%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason 9.3% (81st)200 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmAaron Nola: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 139 | 0.49 | .509 |
| vs LHB | 458 | 187 | 0.41 | .464 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 148 | 0.38 | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 178 | 0.50 | .543 |
| season | 744 | 326 | 0.44 | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career6 total bases in 14 AB (.214), across 4 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.375.381
48th percentileleague avg .384619 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .375 (48th)376 at-batsneutralneutral
SLG.399.407
league avg .400-0.001 vs league619 PAvs RHPseason .399409 PAneutralneutral
xBA.268.270
87th percentileleague avg .238619 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (87th)376 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.276.287
league avg .244+.032 vs league619 PAvs RHPseason .276409 PAneutralneutral
xISO.108.111
26th percentileleague avg .145619 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason .108 (26th)376 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%29.5%28.5%
15th percentileleague avg 38.5%628 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason 29.5% (15th)323 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate4.0%4.3%
20th percentileleague avg 7.7%628 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 4.0% (20th)323 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%26.0%26.9%
76th percentileleague avg 23.5%628 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 26.0% (76th)323 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 374 | 124 | 1.31 | .354 | 34% (32/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 254 | 108 | 1.80 | .468 | 50% (30/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 317 | 117 | 1.48 | .403 | 41% (32/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 311 | 115 | 1.51 | .395 | 39% (30/76) |
| season | 155 | 628 | 232 | 1.50 | .399 | 40% (62/155) |
● tonight's split
The BatMauricio Dubon: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 409 | 37.4% | 323 | .381 | .111 | 4.3% | 85.8 |
| vs LHP | 210 | 35.7% | 178 | .356 | .099 | 3.4% | 86.7 |
| at home ● | 308 | 36.7% | 248 | .367 | .102 | 2.8% | 86.3 |
| on the road | 311 | 37.0% | 253 | .377 | .111 | 5.1% | 86.0 |
| season | 619 | 36.8% | 501 | .372 | .107 | 4.0% | 86.1 |
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UNDER+160theScore Betat 0.5
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1.5line
B★ FORM leans over
- the over has hit 58% blended (L10 70%, season 40%) against a 36% priced probability
- faces Aaron Nola (RHP): xSLG against .419 - 72nd percentile for xSLG against
- his xBA of .268 - 87th percentile for xBA
- counterpoint - his hard-hit% of 29.5% - 15th percentile for hard-hit%
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 70% vs 40% season
basis: 155 games this season
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Hits
155 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.236
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs RHB · 43rd pctseason .243 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralneutral
AVG against.262.278
league avg .244+.018 vs league33 startsvs RHBseason .262286 batters facedneutralneutral
K%23.8%26.5%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 23.8% (60th)287 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%27.1%27.5%
65th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.5%744 batters facedvs RHB · 69th pctseason 27.1% (65th)498 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 76 | 26.6% | .278 |
| vs LHB | 458 | 101 | 22.1% | .251 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 21.4% | .239 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 26.4% | .287 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 23.8% | .262 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career3 hits in 14 AB (.214), across 4 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
xBA.268.270
87th percentileleague avg .238619 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (87th)376 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.276.287
league avg .244+.032 vs league619 PAvs RHPseason .276409 PAneutralneutral
zone contact%89.9%89.4%
88th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.8%619 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 89.9% (88th)490 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%15.3%17.0%
6th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.3%619 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason 15.3% (6th)814 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%11.8%13.0%
4th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.8%619 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 11.8% (4th)409 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.0%26.9%
76th percentileleague avg 23.5%628 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 26.0% (76th)323 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 350 | 95 | .271 | 68% (65/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 231 | 66 | .286 | 72% (43/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 290 | 85 | .293 | 67% (53/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 291 | 76 | .261 | 72% (55/76) |
| season | 155 | 581 | 161 | .277 | 70% (108/155) |
● tonight's split
The BatMauricio Dubon: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 409 | 26.4% | 323 | .270 | 26.9% | 39.6% |
| vs LHP | 210 | 23.8% | 178 | .256 | 24.2% | 35.4% |
| at home ● | 308 | 26.6% | 248 | .265 | 25.4% | 39.9% |
| on the road | 311 | 24.4% | 253 | .266 | 26.5% | 36.4% |
| season | 619 | 25.5% | 501 | — | 25.9% | 38.1% |
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H+R+RBI
155 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.236
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs RHB · 43rd pctseason .243 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralneutral
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xSLG against.419.409
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .419 (72nd)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%3.1%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 7.9% (42nd)287 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
K%23.8%26.5%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 23.8% (60th)287 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 76 | 139 | .303 |
| vs LHB | 458 | 101 | 187 | .332 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 148 | .310 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 178 | .332 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 326 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career3 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 15 PA, across 4 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.941.74
league avg 1.74+0.20 vs league155 gamesvs RHPseason 1.9495 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.304.304
47th percentileleague avg .308619 PAseason .304no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xBA.268.270
87th percentileleague avg .238619 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (87th)376 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.399.407
league avg .400-0.001 vs league619 PAvs RHPseason .399409 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 374 | 95 | 37 | 33 | 1.74 | 48% (46/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 254 | 66 | 29 | 40 | 2.25 | 58% (35/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 317 | 85 | 41 | 43 | 2.14 | 58% (46/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 311 | 76 | 25 | 30 | 1.72 | 46% (35/76) |
| season | 155 | 628 | 161 | 66 | 73 | 1.94 | 52% (81/155) |
● tonight's split
The BatMauricio Dubon: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 409 | 26.4% | 323 | .270 | .381 | 4.3% | 85.8 |
| vs LHP | 210 | 23.8% | 178 | .256 | .356 | 3.4% | 86.7 |
| at home ● | 308 | 26.6% | 248 | .265 | .367 | 2.8% | 86.3 |
| on the road | 311 | 24.4% | 253 | .266 | .377 | 5.1% | 86.0 |
| season | 619 | 25.5% | 501 | — | .372 | 4.0% | 86.1 |
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RBIs
155 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xSLG against.419.409
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .419 (72nd)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed9.3%10.0%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason 9.3% (81st)200 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%7.9%3.1%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 7.9% (42nd)287 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 76 | 15 | .509 |
| vs LHB | 458 | 101 | 22 | .464 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 17 | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 20 | .543 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 37 | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career0 RBI in 15 PA, across 4 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.470.35
league avg 0.45+0.02 vs league155 gamesvs RHPseason 0.4795 gamesneutralneutral
xSLG.375.381
48th percentileleague avg .384619 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .375 (48th)376 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit%29.5%28.5%
15th percentileleague avg 38.5%628 PAvs RHP · 12th pctseason 29.5% (15th)323 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate4.0%4.3%
20th percentileleague avg 7.7%628 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 4.0% (20th)323 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 374 | 33 | 0.35 | .354 | 25% (24/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 254 | 40 | 0.67 | .468 | 40% (24/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 317 | 43 | 0.54 | .403 | 35% (28/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 311 | 30 | 0.39 | .395 | 26% (20/76) |
| season | 155 | 628 | 73 | 0.47 | .399 | 31% (48/155) |
● tonight's split
The BatMauricio Dubon: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 409 | 12.0% | 323 | .381 | 4.3% | 28.5% | 85.8 |
| vs LHP | 210 | 11.4% | 178 | .356 | 3.4% | 31.5% | 86.7 |
| at home ● | 308 | 14.0% | 248 | .367 | 2.8% | 30.6% | 86.3 |
| on the road | 311 | 9.6% | 253 | .377 | 5.1% | 28.5% | 86.0 |
| season | 619 | — | 501 | .372 | 4.0% | 29.5% | 86.1 |
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30% boost+455050% boost+5250
3.5line
OVER+6500bet365at 3.5
30% boost+845050% boost+9750
4.5line
OVER+6000BetMGMat 4.5
30% boost+780050% boost+9000
Runs
155 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA4.184.18
53rd percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.20744 batters facedseason 4.18no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
xBA against.243.236
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs RHB · 43rd pctseason .243 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralneutral
BB%7.9%3.1%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 7.9% (42nd)287 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 76 | 9 | .303 |
| vs LHB | 458 | 101 | 50 | .332 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 83 | 35 | .310 |
| at home | 356 | 94 | 24 | .332 |
| season | 744 | 177 | 59 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career15 PA across 4 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.430.39
league avg 0.46-0.03 vs league155 gamesvs RHPseason 0.4395 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.304.304
47th percentileleague avg .308619 PAseason .304no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
sprint speed26.826.8
33rd percentileleague avg 27.4619 PAseason 26.8no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.268.270
87th percentileleague avg .238619 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (87th)376 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%5.7%6.1%
19th percentileleague avg 8.6%619 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 5.7% (19th)409 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 374 | 37 | 0.39 | .309 | 32% (30/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 254 | 29 | 0.48 | .339 | 42% (25/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 317 | 41 | 0.52 | .341 | 44% (35/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 311 | 25 | 0.33 | .301 | 26% (20/76) |
| season | 155 | 628 | 66 | 0.43 | .321 | 35% (55/155) |
● tonight's split
The BatMauricio Dubon: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 409 | — | 323 | .270 | 26.9% | 39.6% | 85.8 |
| vs LHP | 210 | — | 178 | .256 | 24.2% | 35.4% | 86.7 |
| at home ● | 308 | 13.3% | 248 | .265 | 25.4% | 39.9% | 86.3 |
| on the road | 311 | 8.0% | 253 | .266 | 26.5% | 36.4% | 86.0 |
| season | 619 | — | 501 | — | 25.9% | 38.1% | 86.1 |
0.5line
OVER+210bet365at 0.5
30% boost+27350% boost+315
UNDER-250BetMGMat 0.5
30% boost-19250% boost-167
1.5line
OVER+1550bet365at 1.5
30% boost+201550% boost+2325
UNDER-5000theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-384650% boost-3333
2.5line
OVER+6500bet365at 2.5
30% boost+845050% boost+9750
Doubles
155 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.419.409
72nd percentileleague avg .387744 batters facedvs RHB · 67th pctseason .419 (72nd)276 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed40.3%34.0%
66th percentileleague avg 38.3%745 batters facedvs RHB · 19th pctseason 40.3% (66th)200 batted ballssupports OVERsupports UNDER
barrel% allowed9.3%10.0%
81st percentileleague avg 7.4%745 batters facedvs RHB · 88th pctseason 9.3% (81st)200 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed24.5%24.5%
no comparison availableno comparison available744 batters facedseason 24.5%no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
The ArmAaron Nola: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 14 | 4.9% | .509 |
| vs LHB | 458 | 18 | 3.9% | .464 |
| on the road ● | 388 | 10 | 2.6% | .425 |
| at home | 356 | 22 | 6.2% | .543 |
| season | 744 | 32 | 4.3% | .482 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career1 doubles in 14 AB (.214), across 4 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.6%3.7%
70th percentileleague avg 4.0%628 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason 4.6% (70th)409 PAsupports OVERsupports UNDER
xSLG.375.381
48th percentileleague avg .384619 PAvs RHP · 52nd pctseason .375 (48th)376 at-batsneutralneutral
xISO.108.111
26th percentileleague avg .145619 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason .108 (26th)376 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%26.0%26.9%
76th percentileleague avg 23.5%628 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 26.0% (76th)323 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%38.1%39.6%
77th percentileleague avg 35.2%628 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 38.1% (77th)323 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed26.826.8
33rd percentileleague avg 27.4619 PAseason 26.8no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 374 | 15 | 4.0% | .354 | 16% (15/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 254 | 14 | 5.5% | .468 | 23% (14/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 317 | 12 | 3.8% | .403 | 15% (12/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 311 | 17 | 5.5% | .395 | 22% (17/76) |
| season | 155 | 628 | 29 | 4.6% | .399 | 19% (29/155) |
● tonight's split
The BatMauricio Dubon: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 409 | 3.7% | 323 | .381 | 26.9% | 39.6% |
| vs LHP | 210 | 6.2% | 178 | .356 | 24.2% | 35.4% |
| at home ● | 308 | 3.6% | 248 | .367 | 25.4% | 39.9% |
| on the road | 311 | 5.5% | 253 | .377 | 26.5% | 36.4% |
| season | 619 | 4.5% | 501 | .372 | 25.9% | 38.1% |
0.5line
OVER+450bet365at 0.5
30% boost+58550% boost+675
UNDER-620DraftKingsat 0.5
30% boost-47750% boost-413
Singles
155 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.243.236
52nd percentileleague avg .240744 batters facedvs RHB · 43rd pctseason .243 (52nd)276 at-batsneutralneutral
K%23.8%26.5%
60th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.9%744 batters facedvs RHB · 78th pctseason 23.8% (60th)287 batters facedsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%27.1%27.5%
65th percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.5%744 batters facedvs RHB · 69th pctseason 27.1% (65th)498 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The ArmAaron Nola: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 45 | 15.7% |
| vs LHB | 458 | 60 | 13.1% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 54 | 13.9% |
| at home | 356 | 51 | 14.3% |
| season | 744 | 105 | 14.1% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career1 singles in 14 AB (.214), across 4 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
xBA.268.270
87th percentileleague avg .238619 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (87th)376 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%89.9%89.4%
88th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.8%619 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 89.9% (88th)490 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%15.3%17.0%
6th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.3%619 PAvs RHP · 10th pctseason 15.3% (6th)814 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.0%26.9%
76th percentileleague avg 23.5%628 PAvs RHP · 86th pctseason 26.0% (76th)323 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed26.826.8
33rd percentileleague avg 27.4619 PAseason 26.8no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 350 | 75 | .271 | 60% (57/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 231 | 42 | .286 | 50% (30/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 290 | 66 | .293 | 56% (44/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 291 | 51 | .261 | 57% (43/76) |
| season | 155 | 581 | 117 | .277 | 56% (87/155) |
● tonight's split
The BatMauricio Dubon: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 409 | 20.0% | 323 | .270 | 26.9% | 39.6% |
| vs LHP | 210 | 15.7% | 178 | .256 | 24.2% | 35.4% |
| at home ● | 308 | 20.8% | 248 | .265 | 25.4% | 39.9% |
| on the road | 311 | 16.4% | 253 | .266 | 26.5% | 36.4% |
| season | 619 | 19.1% | 501 | — | 25.9% | 38.1% |
0.5line
OVER-125DraftKingsat 0.5
30% boost+10450% boost+120
UNDER+105bet365at 0.5
30% boost+13650% boost+157
1.5line
OVER+475theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost+61850% boost+712
UNDER-800theScore Betat 1.5
30% boost-61550% boost-533
Walks
155 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%7.9%3.1%
42nd percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.7%744 batters facedvs RHB · 0th pctseason 7.9% (42nd)287 batters facedneutralsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%64.1%72.9%
70th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.8%744 batters facedvs RHB · 100th pctseason 64.1% (70th)288 first pitchessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB/93.01.2
league avg 3.4-0.4 vs league33 startsvs RHBseason 3.0286 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmAaron Nola: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 286 | 9 | 3.1% |
| vs LHB | 458 | 50 | 10.9% |
| on the road ● | 388 | 35 | 9.0% |
| at home | 356 | 24 | 6.7% |
| season | 744 | 59 | 7.9% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadMauricio Dubon vs Aaron Nola, career0 walks in 15 PA, across 4 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2024 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | .000 |
| 2026 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .375 | 1.194 |
| career | 15 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .214 | .696 |
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
BB%5.7%6.1%
19th percentileleague avg 8.6%619 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 5.7% (19th)409 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate37.6%38.6%
86th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.8%619 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 37.6% (86th)839 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%72.5%71.0%
league avg 66.9%+5.6% vs league619 PAvs RHPseason 72.5%690 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 374 | 18 | 4.8% | .309 | 17% (16/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 254 | 17 | 6.7% | .339 | 27% (16/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 317 | 19 | 6.0% | .341 | 22% (17/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 311 | 16 | 5.1% | .301 | 20% (15/76) |
| season | 155 | 628 | 35 | 5.6% | .321 | 21% (32/155) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+350Hard Rockat 0.5
30% boost+45550% boost+525
UNDER-496DraftKingsat 0.5
30% boost-38250% boost-331
Stolen Bases
155 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Aaron Nola Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed0.9%0.9%
54th percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%9 of 958 opportunitiesseason 0.9%no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
runners test him1.5%1.5%
64th percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%14 of 958 opportunitiesseason 1.5%no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports OVERsupports OVER
SB allowed99
no comparison availableseason totalseason 9no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
runners caught55
no comparison availableseason totalseason 5no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
pickoffs22
no comparison availableseason totalseason 2no split by hand for this stat, season onlyneutralseason only
Mauricio Dubon Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed26.826.8
33rd percentileleague avg 27.4619 PAseason 26.8no split by hand for this stat, season onlysupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SB per game0.060.11
league avg 0.06-0.00 vs league155 gamesvs RHPseason 0.0695 gamesneutralneutral
xBA.268.270
87th percentileleague avg .238619 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .268 (87th)376 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%5.7%6.1%
19th percentileleague avg 8.6%619 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 5.7% (19th)409 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupMauricio Dubon: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 95 | 374 | 10 | 0.11 | 11% (10/95) |
| vs LHP | 60 | 254 | 0 | 0.00 | 0% (0/60) |
| at home ● | 79 | 317 | 7 | 0.09 | 9% (7/79) |
| on the road | 76 | 311 | 3 | 0.04 | 4% (3/76) |
| season | 155 | 628 | 10 | 0.06 | 6% (10/155) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+1400ProphetXat 0.5
30% boost+182050% boost+2100
UNDER-3497bet365at 0.5
30% boost-269050% boost-2331
Hitters on the prop boardPhiladelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Bravessorted by the focused market, not batting order
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