These are the prices from a snapshot taken at 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4. Nothing has been re-pulled since. Check your book before acting on anything here.
Kyle Williams
NENew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM
Williams on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.00red zone targets per game 0.00receptions per game 0.77
Anytime TD
18 games loggedline0.5
touches
BUF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.80.81.0
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.61.63.0
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 27 totalseason 1.6no per-play form for this stat69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.52.53.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Kyle Williams Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.000.00
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3613 games (2025)vs last 5 · 5th pctseason 0.00 (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.000.00
SZN2nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.6413 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.00 (2nd)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game0.771.40
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 0.77 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER+900Bovadaat 0.5
Longest Reception
18 games loggedline7.5
targets
BUF · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.616.5%4.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 27 totalvs per completion · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 1.6 (13th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.23 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.66.1%0.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per completion · 37th pct · T-20 of 32season 0.6 (26th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.10.6%0.0
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 0.1 (2nd)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.53 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced197.37.7308.0
3rd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3354 totalvs per target · 40th pct · T-19 of 32season 197.3 (3rd)17 games84th percentile for most facedleague avg 249.83 games (2026) · 924 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Kyle Williams Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.771.40
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 0.77 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
yards per catch24.6721.33
SZN98th percentile for mostleague avg 12.887 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 24.67 (98th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
air yards per target17.9018.21
SZN96th percentile for mostleague avg 11.1611 games (2025)vs last 5 · 96th pctseason 17.90 (96th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.230.40
SZN17th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5313 games (2025)vs last 5 · 45th pctseason 0.23 (17th)5 gamessupports UNDERneutral
7.5line
OVER-112DraftKingsat 7.5
UNDER-115bet365at 7.5
8.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 8.5
UNDER-115Hard Rock Betat 8.5
19.5line
OVER+300bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+600bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 39.5
Receiving Yards
18 games loggedline12.5
receptions
BUF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.012.0192.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1972 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 116.0 (10th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.33 games (2026) · 576 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs9.760.7%13.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 164 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 9.7 (13th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 40 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed170.210.4275.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 170.2 (0th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 827 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Kyle Williams Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.771.40
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 0.77 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.622.60
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6913 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 1.62 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share5.4%9.3%
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 15.2%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 5.4% (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share35.2%44.8%
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 35.2% (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
11.5line
OVER-110DraftKingsat 11.5
UNDER-110betPARXat 11.5
12.5line
OVER-111BetMGMat 12.5
UNDER-110theScore Betat 12.5
19.5line
OVER+145bet365at 19.5
29.5line
OVER+275bet365at 29.5
39.5line
OVER+500bet365at 39.5
49.5line
OVER+750bet365at 49.5
59.5line
OVER+1000bet365at 59.5
Receptions
18 games loggedline0.5
targets
BUF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs9.760.7%13.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 164 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 9.7 (13th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 40 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs15.915.920.7
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 270 totalseason 15.9no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 62 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed16.316.324.0
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 277 totalseason 16.3no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.03 games (2026) · 72 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Kyle Williams Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game0.771.40
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9013 games (2025)vs last 5 · 17th pctseason 0.77 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
targets per game1.622.60
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6913 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 1.62 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
target share5.4%9.3%
SZN5th percentile for mostleague avg 15.2%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 26th pctseason 5.4% (5th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share35.2%44.8%
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 35.2% (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
0.5line
OVER-190bet365at 0.5
UNDER+174DraftKingsat 0.5
1.5line
OVER+225bet365at 1.5
2.5line
OVER+700bet365at 2.5
Rush + Rec Yards
18 games loggedline8.5
touches
BUF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.012.0192.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1972 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 116.0 (10th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.33 games (2026) · 576 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.74.42.3
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 114 totalvs per carry · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 6.7 (82nd)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.33 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed170.210.4275.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 170.2 (0th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 232.23 games (2026) · 827 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.93 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Kyle Williams Breakdown · his own data
touches per game0.921.60
no comparison available13 games (2025)vs last 5season 0.925 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game1.622.60
SZN4th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6913 games (2025)vs last 5 · 20th pctseason 1.62 (4th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
snap share35.2%44.8%
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 61.9%13 games (2025)vs last 5 · 19th pctseason 35.2% (8th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
8.5line
OVER-115bet365at 8.5
UNDER-115bet365at 8.5
49.5line
OVER+800bet365at 49.5
odds snapshot · pulled 12:05 PM EDT on Sun, Oct 4 · not live pricing