Prices pulled at 10:16 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 15. bet365 refreshed separately at 4:00 PM EDT.
CHIWRChicago Bears @ Atlanta FalconsSun 1:00 PM
Burden on the fieldreceptions per game 3.13targets per game 4.00target share 13.0%
FacingAtlanta Falconsdefence144.1 receiving yards allowed to WRs (2026) · ranks 14 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 10:16 AM ET
Anytime TD
22 games loggedLuther Burden III Anytime TD · 22 games logged
3 of 20 (15%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +185 Bovada · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +185 (Bovada) · no under
9/21vs DAL9/28@ LV10/13@ WAS10/19vs NO10/26@ BAL11/9vs NYG11/16@ MIN11/23vs PIT11/28@ PHI12/7@ GB12/14vs CLE12/28@ SF1/4vs DET1/10vs GB1/18vs LAR9/13@ CAR9/20vs MIN9/28vs PHI10/4vs NYJ10/11@ GB
latest0 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ GB
TD
3 of 20 (15%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set0.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 51.4last 100.8last 200.620261.420250.2all0.5
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 37.5% · 3 of 81 gameL5: 10.0% · 7 of 705 gamesL10: 7.5% · 8 of 10710 games2026: 10.0% · 7 of 705 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.201.401.40
SZN35th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3415 games (2025)98th percentileleague avg 0.375 games (last 5)2026 season 1.4098th percentile for mostleague avg 0.375 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports OVER3/136 WRssupports OVER
red zone targets per game0.271.601.60
SZN23rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.6015 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 0.635 games (last 5)2026 season 1.6095th percentile for mostleague avg 0.635 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports OVER7/136 WRssupports OVER
receptions per game3.134.604.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7515 games (2025)83rd percentileleague avg 2.825 games (last 5)2026 season 4.6083rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.825 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/136 WRssupports OVER
red zone target share6.6%28.6%28.6%
SZN26th percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%15 games with red zone data (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 14.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 28.6%92nd percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.2%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER101/135 WRssupports OVER11/136 WRssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%3.8%3.8%
SZN39th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%15 games with red zone data (2025)97th percentileleague avg 0.2%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 3.8%97th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.2%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER32/135 WRssupports OVER5/135 WRssupports OVER
red zone touch share2.5%10.0%10.0%
SZN33rd percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%15 games with red zone data (2025)87th percentileleague avg 4.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 10.0%87th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.5%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER89/135 WRssupports OVER18/136 WRssupports OVER
ATL · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to WRs1.20.80.8
SZN90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 20 total39th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.839th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVER4/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-17/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone targets allowed to WRs2.44.24.2
SZN50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 total98th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 4.298th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 21 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.32.42.4
SZN39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 39 total52nd percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.452nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 12 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencesneutralT-15/32 NFL defencesneutral
Anytime TD: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS ATL
WR1s vs ATL
Anytime TD · Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1
WR1s scored a touchdown in 1 of 5 games vs ATL · 1 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | PIT | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 10 | 4 | 64 | |
| 9/20 | CAR | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 10 | 5 | 53 | |
| 9/24 | GB | 1 | scored | 0.5over | 0 | 10 | 7 | 53 | |
| 10/5 | NO | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 12 | 8 | 64 | |
| 10/11 | BAL | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 1 | 9 | 8 | 62 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. ATL has played 5 games; the WR1 was clear in all 5.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 2 of 12 | 17% |
| 2025 | 17 | 2 of 17 | 12% |
| vs MIN | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| Away | 10 | 1 of 10 | 10% |
| vs DET | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs GB | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 0 | no |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 18, 2026 | vs LAR | 0 | no |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs GB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs DET | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ SF | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ GB | 0 | no |
| Fri, Nov 28, 2025 | @ PHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs PIT | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIN | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NYG | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | @ BAL | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs NO | 0 | no |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ WAS | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ LV | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | vs DAL | 1 | yes |
Receptions
22 games loggedLuther Burden III Receptions · 22 games logged
4 of 20 (20%) cleared 4.5 over his last 20 · over +128 betPARX · under −145 DraftKings · prices from
line4.5
4.5
quoted at 4.5: O +128 (betPARX) · U -145 (DraftKings)
9/21vs DAL9/28@ LV10/13@ WAS10/19vs NO10/26@ BAL11/9vs NYG11/16@ MIN11/23vs PIT11/28@ PHI12/7@ GB12/14vs CLE12/28@ SF1/4vs DET1/10vs GB1/18vs LAR9/13@ CAR9/20vs MIN9/28vs PHI10/4vs NYJ10/11@ GB
latest4 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ GB
4.5
4 of 20 (20%) cleared 4.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set5.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 57.0last 106.9last 205.320267.020254.4all5.0
Receptions: Breakdowns
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.134.604.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7515 games (2025)83rd percentileleague avg 2.825 games (last 5)2026 season 4.6083rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.825 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/136 WRssupports OVER
targets per game4.007.007.00
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.4215 games (2025)80th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 7.0080th percentile for mostleague avg 4.525 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER27/136 WRssupports OVER
target share13.0%21.9%21.9%
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%15 games (2025)81st percentileleague avg 14.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 21.9%81st percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER27/136 WRssupports OVER
snap share39.7%64.8%64.8%
SZN21st percentile for mostleague avg 59.6%15 games (2025)58th percentileleague avg 60.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 64.8%58th percentile for mostleague avg 60.1%5 games (2026)supports UNDERneutral58/136 WRsneutral
ATL · what this defence allowssee the games
receptions allowed to WRs11.114.614.6
SZN50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 189 total90th percentileleague avg 11.45 games (last 5)2026 season 14.690th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.45 games (2026) · 73 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs18.323.623.6
SZN63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 311 total100th percentileleague avg 18.45 games (last 5)2026 season 23.6100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.45 games (2026) · 118 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed19.525.825.8
SZN23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 331 total94th percentileleague avg 21.35 games (last 5)2026 season 25.894th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.35 games (2026) · 129 totalsupports UNDER25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receptions: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS ATL
WR1s vs ATL
Receptions at 4.5 · Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1
WR1s went over 4.5 receptions in 4 of 5 games vs ATL · 5 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC | AT 4.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | PIT | 4 | under | 3.5over | 10 | 40 | 0 | |
| 9/20 | CAR | 5 | over | 4.5over | 10 | 101 | 0 | |
| 9/24 | GB | 7 | over | 4.5over | 10 | 96 | 1 | |
| 10/5 | NO | 8 | over | 6.5over | 12 | 116 | 0 | |
| 10/11 | BAL | 8 | over | 5.5over | 9 | 53 | 0 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. ATL has played 5 games; the WR1 was clear in all 5.
Receptions: Lineup
Receptions: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receptions at 4.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 2 of 12 | 17% | 16.0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 2 of 17 | 12% | 13.2% |
| vs MIN | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 14.1% |
| Away | 10 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 14.0% |
| vs DET | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 9.5% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 10.7% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.4% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 13.3% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 8.0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2.9% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 8.3% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.6% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 25.8% |
| vs GB | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 16.5% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.9% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 23.1% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.7% |
| 2026 | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 21.7% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 19.2% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 19.4% |
Receptions: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 4.5
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | 4 | 15.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 4 | 19.4% | under |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | 7 | 32.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | 3 | 23.3% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | 5 | 19.2% | over |
| Sun, Jan 18, 2026 | vs LAR | 3 | 16.7% | under |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs GB | 3 | 14.9% | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs DET | 3 | 13.3% | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ SF | 8 | 23.1% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs CLE | 6 | 25.9% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ GB | 4 | 21.4% | under |
| Fri, Nov 28, 2025 | @ PHI | 4 | 18.8% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs PIT | 3 | 16.7% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIN | 3 | 17.9% | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NYG | 3 | 8.3% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | @ BAL | 1 | 2.9% | under |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs NO | 1 | 8.0% | under |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ WAS | 4 | 13.3% | under |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ LV | 2 | 5.4% | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | vs DAL | 3 | 10.7% | under |
Receiving Yards
22 games loggedLuther Burden III Receiving Yards · 22 games logged
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 50.5 over his last 20 · over −111 BetMGM · under −115 bet365 · pull times beside each book
line50.5
50.5
quoted at 50.5: O -111 (BetMGM) · U -115 (bet365)
9/21vs DAL9/28@ LV10/13@ WAS10/19vs NO10/26@ BAL11/9vs NYG11/16@ MIN11/23vs PIT11/28@ PHI12/7@ GB12/14vs CLE12/28@ SF1/4vs DET1/10vs GB1/18vs LAR9/13@ CAR9/20vs MIN9/28vs PHI10/4vs NYJ10/11@ GB
latest47 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ GB
50.5
9 of 20 (45%) cleared 50.5 over his last 20
receptionsno range set3.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 54.6last 104.6last 203.720264.620253.1all3.5
Receiving Yards: Breakdowns
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.134.604.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7515 games (2025)83rd percentileleague avg 2.825 games (last 5)2026 season 4.6083rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.825 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/136 WRssupports OVER
targets per game4.007.007.00
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.4215 games (2025)80th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 7.0080th percentile for mostleague avg 4.525 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER27/136 WRssupports OVER
target share13.0%21.9%21.9%
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%15 games (2025)81st percentileleague avg 14.3%5 games (last 5)2026 season 21.9%81st percentile for mostleague avg 14.3%5 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER27/136 WRssupports OVER
snap share39.7%64.8%64.8%
SZN21st percentile for mostleague avg 59.6%15 games (2025)58th percentileleague avg 60.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 64.8%58th percentile for mostleague avg 60.1%5 games (2026)supports UNDERneutral58/136 WRsneutral
ATL · what this defence allowssee the games
receiving yards allowed to WRs144.1181.0181.0
SZN58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2449 total84th percentileleague avg 149.95 games (last 5)2026 season 181.084th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.95 games (2026) · 905 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs11.114.614.6
SZN50th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 189 total90th percentileleague avg 11.45 games (last 5)2026 season 14.690th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.45 games (2026) · 73 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed221.9261.4261.4
SZN45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3773 total84th percentileleague avg 234.35 games (last 5)2026 season 261.484th percentile for most allowedleague avg 234.35 games (2026) · 1307 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs38.246.246.2
SZN19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 649 total52nd percentileleague avg 46.95 games (last 5)2026 season 46.252nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 46.95 games (2026) · 231 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
Receiving Yards: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS ATL
WR1s vs ATL
Receiving Yards at 50.5 · Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1
WR1s went over 50.5 receiving yards in 4 of 5 games vs ATL · 3 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC YDS | AT 50.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | PIT | 40 | under | 48.5under | 10 | 4 | 0 | |
| 9/20 | CAR | 101 | over | 58.5over | 10 | 5 | 0 | |
| 9/24 | GB | 96 | over | 71.5over | 10 | 7 | 1 | |
| 10/5 | NO | 116 | over | 86.5over | 12 | 8 | 0 | |
| 10/11 | BAL | 53 | over | 68.5under | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. ATL has played 5 games; the WR1 was clear in all 5.
Receiving Yards: Lineup
Receiving Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receiving Yards at 50.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 5 of 12 | 42% | 16.0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 13.2% |
| vs MIN | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 14.1% |
| Away | 10 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 14.0% |
| vs DET | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 9.5% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 10.7% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.4% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 13.3% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 8.0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2.9% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 8.3% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.6% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 25.8% |
| vs GB | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 16.5% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.9% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 23.1% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.7% |
| 2026 | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 21.7% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 19.2% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 19.4% |
Receiving Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 50.5
| Date | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | 47 | 15.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 63 | 19.4% | over |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | 61 | 32.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | 32 | 23.3% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | 63 | 19.2% | over |
| Sun, Jan 18, 2026 | vs LAR | 24 | 16.7% | under |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs GB | 42 | 14.9% | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs DET | 35 | 13.3% | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ SF | 138 | 23.1% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs CLE | 84 | 25.9% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ GB | 67 | 21.4% | over |
| Fri, Nov 28, 2025 | @ PHI | 33 | 18.8% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs PIT | 46 | 16.7% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIN | 27 | 17.9% | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NYG | 51 | 8.3% | over |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | @ BAL | -1 | 2.9% | under |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs NO | 22 | 8.0% | under |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ WAS | 51 | 13.3% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ LV | -4 | 5.4% | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | vs DAL | 101 | 10.7% | over |
Longest Reception
22 games loggedLuther Burden III Longest Reception · 22 games logged
12 of 20 (60%) cleared 20.5 over his last 20 · over −115 Hard Rock Bet · under −108 DraftKings · prices from
line20.5
20.5
quoted at 20.5: O -115 (Hard Rock Bet) · U -108 (DraftKings)
9/21vs DAL9/28@ LV10/13@ WAS10/19vs NO10/26@ BAL11/9vs NYG11/16@ MIN11/23vs PIT11/28@ PHI12/7@ GB12/14vs CLE12/28@ SF1/4vs DET1/10vs GB1/18vs LAR9/13@ CAR9/20vs MIN9/28vs PHI10/4vs NYJ10/11@ GB
latest23 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ GB
20.5
12 of 20 (60%) cleared 20.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set5.3 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 57.0last 106.9last 205.320267.020254.4all5.0
Longest Reception: Breakdowns
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.134.604.60
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.7515 games (2025)83rd percentileleague avg 2.825 games (last 5)2026 season 4.6083rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.825 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER23/136 WRssupports OVER
yards per catch11.7811.9011.90
SZN41st percentile for mostleague avg 13.0515 games (2025)41st percentileleague avg 13.575 games (last 5)2026 season 11.9041st percentile for mostleague avg 13.575 games (2026)neutralneutral80/134 WRsneutral
air yards per target6.519.519.51
SZN8th percentile for mostleague avg 11.4015 games (2025)33rd percentileleague avg 11.375 games (last 5)2026 season 9.5133rd percentile for mostleague avg 11.375 games (2026)supports UNDERsupports UNDER92/136 WRssupports UNDER
20+ yard catches per game0.731.001.00
SZN73rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.5415 games (2025)82nd percentileleague avg 0.575 games (last 5)2026 season 1.0082nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.575 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER19/136 WRssupports OVER
ATL · what this defence allowssee the games
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.13.03.0
SZN63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 35 total89th percentileleague avg 2.25 games (last 5)2026 season 3.089th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.25 games (2026) · 15 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.90.80.8
SZN63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 15 total53rd percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.853rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencesneutralT-11/32 NFL defencesneutral
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.30.60.6
SZN56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 6 total73rd percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.673rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.55 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs38.246.246.2
SZN19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 649 total52nd percentileleague avg 46.95 games (last 5)2026 season 46.252nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 46.95 games (2026) · 231 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
air yards faced263.0342.0342.0
SZN84th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4471 total97th percentileleague avg 253.95 games (last 5)2026 season 342.097th percentile for most facedleague avg 253.95 games (2026) · 1710 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Longest Reception: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS ATL
WR1s vs ATL
Longest Reception at 20.5 · Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1
WR1s went over 20.5 longest reception in 3 of 5 games vs ATL · 3 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 20.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | PIT | 14 | under | — | 10 | 4 | 40 | |
| 9/20 | CAR | 28 | over | 23.5over | 10 | 5 | 101 | |
| 9/24 | GB | 34 | over | 26.5over | 10 | 7 | 96 | |
| 10/5 | NO | 44 | over | 26.5over | 12 | 8 | 116 | |
| 10/11 | BAL | 12 | under | 23.5under | 9 | 8 | 53 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. ATL has played 5 games; the WR1 was clear in all 5.
Longest Reception: Lineup
Longest Reception: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Reception at 20.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 16.0% |
| 2025 | 17 | 8 of 17 | 47% | 13.2% |
| vs MIN | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 14.1% |
| Away | 10 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 14.0% |
| vs DET | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 9.5% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 10.7% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 5.4% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 13.3% |
| vs NO | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 8.0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2.9% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 8.3% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.6% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 25.8% |
| vs GB | 3 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 16.5% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.9% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 23.1% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.7% |
| 2026 | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 21.7% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 19.2% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 19.4% |
Longest Reception: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 20.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Reception | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | 23 | 15.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 22 | 19.4% | over |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | 25 | 32.4% | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | 18 | 23.3% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | 24 | 19.2% | over |
| Sun, Jan 18, 2026 | vs LAR | 11 | 16.7% | under |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs GB | 25 | 14.9% | over |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs DET | 13 | 13.3% | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ SF | 35 | 23.1% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs CLE | 40 | 25.9% | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ GB | 27 | 21.4% | over |
| Fri, Nov 28, 2025 | @ PHI | 11 | 18.8% | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs PIT | 19 | 16.7% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIN | 16 | 17.9% | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NYG | 27 | 8.3% | over |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | @ BAL | -1 | 2.9% | under |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs NO | 22 | 8.0% | over |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ WAS | 37 | 13.3% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ LV | 0 | 5.4% | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | vs DAL | 65 | 10.7% | over |
Rush + Rec Yards
22 games loggedLuther Burden III Rush + Rec Yards · 22 games logged
8 of 20 (40%) cleared 55.5 over his last 20 · over −115 bet365 · under −115 bet365 · prices from
line55.5
55.5
quoted at 55.5: O -115 (bet365) · U -115 (bet365)
9/21vs DAL9/28@ LV10/13@ WAS10/19vs NO10/26@ BAL11/9vs NYG11/16@ MIN11/23vs PIT11/28@ PHI12/7@ GB12/14vs CLE12/28@ SF1/4vs DET1/10vs GB1/18vs LAR9/13@ CAR9/20vs MIN9/28vs PHI10/4vs NYJ10/11@ GB
latest49 Sun, Oct 11, 2026 · @ GB
55.5
8 of 20 (40%) cleared 55.5 over his last 20
touchesno range set4.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 56.0last 105.6last 204.520266.020253.6all4.1
Rush + Rec Yards: Breakdowns
Luther Burden III Breakdown · his own data
touches per game3.536.006.00
SZN64th percentile for mostleague avg 2.9115 games (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 2.945 games (last 5)2026 season 6.0093rd percentile for mostleague avg 2.945 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER10/136 WRssupports OVER
targets per game4.007.007.00
SZN51st percentile for mostleague avg 4.4215 games (2025)80th percentileleague avg 4.525 games (last 5)2026 season 7.0080th percentile for mostleague avg 4.525 games (2026)neutralsupports OVER27/136 WRssupports OVER
snap share39.7%64.8%64.8%
SZN21st percentile for mostleague avg 59.6%15 games (2025)58th percentileleague avg 60.1%5 games (last 5)2026 season 64.8%58th percentile for mostleague avg 60.1%5 games (2026)supports UNDERneutral58/136 WRsneutral
ATL · what this defence allowssee the games
receiving yards allowed to WRs144.1181.0181.0
SZN58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2449 total84th percentileleague avg 149.95 games (last 5)2026 season 181.084th percentile for most allowedleague avg 149.95 games (2026) · 905 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to WRs3.41.61.6
SZN58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 57 total39th percentileleague avg 3.05 games (last 5)2026 season 1.639th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.05 games (2026) · 8 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER20/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
receiving yards allowed221.9261.4261.4
SZN45th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 3773 total84th percentileleague avg 234.35 games (last 5)2026 season 261.484th percentile for most allowedleague avg 234.35 games (2026) · 1307 totalneutral18/32 NFL defencessupports OVER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs38.246.246.2
SZN19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 649 total52nd percentileleague avg 46.95 games (last 5)2026 season 46.252nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 46.95 games (2026) · 231 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
Rush + Rec Yards: Head to Head
SAME ROLE VS ATL
WR1s vs ATL
Rush + Rec Yards at 55.5 · Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1
WR1s went over 55.5 rush + rec yards in 4 of 5 games vs ATL
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | R+R YDS | AT 55.5 | OWN LINE | CAR | RUSH YDS | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | PIT | 40 | under | — | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 40 | |
| 9/20 | CAR | 101 | over | — | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 101 | |
| 9/24 | GB | 96 | over | 70.5over | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 96 | |
| 10/5 | NO | 116 | over | — | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | 116 | |
| 10/11 | BAL | 66 | over | 66.5under | 1 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 53 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Luther Burden III is CHI's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. ATL has played 5 games; the WR1 was clear in all 5.
Rush + Rec Yards: Lineup
Rush + Rec Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Rush + Rec Yards at 55.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 12 | 5 of 12 | 42% |
| 2025 | 17 | 5 of 17 | 29% |
| vs MIN | 3 | 0 of 3 | 0% |
| Away | 10 | 3 of 10 | 30% |
| vs DET | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs LV | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs WAS | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NO | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NYG | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs PIT | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs PHI | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs GB | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs LAR | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 3 of 5 | 60% |
| vs CAR | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
Rush + Rec Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 55.5
| Date | Opponent | Rush + Rec Yards | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 11, 2026 | @ GB | 49 | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs NYJ | 74 | over |
| Mon, Sep 28, 2026 | vs PHI | 68 | over |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | vs MIN | 32 | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | @ CAR | 65 | over |
| Sun, Jan 18, 2026 | vs LAR | 24 | under |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs GB | 38 | under |
| Sun, Jan 4, 2026 | vs DET | 45 | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | @ SF | 138 | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | vs CLE | 84 | over |
| Sun, Dec 7, 2025 | @ GB | 70 | over |
| Fri, Nov 28, 2025 | @ PHI | 36 | under |
| Sun, Nov 23, 2025 | vs PIT | 61 | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ MIN | 27 | under |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NYG | 51 | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | @ BAL | -1 | under |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | vs NO | 21 | under |
| Mon, Oct 13, 2025 | @ WAS | 51 | under |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ LV | -4 | under |
| Sun, Sep 21, 2025 | vs DAL | 108 | over |
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