← New England Patriots @ Buffalo Bills
Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 5:06 PM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Mack Hollins

NENew England Patriots @ Buffalo BillsSun 1:00 PM

Hollins on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.29red zone targets per game 0.36receptions per game 3.29

Anytime TD

38 games logged
line0.5

BUF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to WRs0.80.81.0
27th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 13 totalseason 0.8no per-play form for this stat58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-10/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.61.63.0
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 27 totalseason 1.6no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-9/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.52.53.0
61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 43 totalseason 2.5no per-play form for this stat71st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 9 totalsupports OVER13/32 NFL defencessupports OVER10/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadMack Hollins vs BUF0/1 with a touchdown
dateRZtouchrush ydsrec ydsTD
12/14'25040410
Mack Hollins Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.290.20
SZN
47th percentile for mostleague avg 0.3614 games (2025)vs last 5 · 29th pctseason 0.29 (47th)5 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.360.80
SZN
29th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 0.36 (29th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports OVER
receptions per game3.294.60
SZN
66th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 87th pctseason 3.29 (66th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
0.5line
OVER+290Fanaticsat 0.5

Longest Reception

38 games logged
line19.5

BUF · what this defence allows
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs1.616.5%4.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 27 totalvs per completion · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 1.6 (13th)17 games100th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.13 games (2026) · 13 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER1/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.66.1%0.7
26th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 10 totalvs per completion · 37th pct · T-20 of 32season 0.6 (26th)17 games32nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.93 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDER24/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.10.6%0.0
2nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 1 totalvs per completion · 0th pct · 32 of 32season 0.1 (2nd)17 games8th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.43 games (2026) · 0 totalsupports UNDERT-31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced197.37.7308.0
3rd percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 3354 totalvs per target · 40th pct · T-19 of 32season 197.3 (3rd)17 games84th percentile for most facedleague avg 248.73 games (2026) · 924 totalsupports UNDER31/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadMack Hollins vs BUF0/1 over 19.5
datetgtrecrec ydslng rec
12/14'25844118
Mack Hollins Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.294.60
SZN
66th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 87th pctseason 3.29 (66th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
yards per catch10.9911.27
SZN
31st percentile for mostleague avg 12.9014 games (2025)vs last 5 · 34th pctseason 10.99 (31st)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
air yards per target11.9412.19
SZN
55th percentile for mostleague avg 11.2014 games (2025)vs last 5 · 60th pctseason 11.94 (55th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
20+ yard catches per game0.570.60
SZN
64th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5314 games (2025)vs last 5 · 66th pctseason 0.57 (64th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
19.5line
OVER-115Hard Rock Betat 19.5
UNDER-109DraftKingsat 19.5

Receiving Yards

38 games logged
line43.5

BUF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.012.0192.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1972 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 116.0 (10th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 576 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed to WRs9.760.7%13.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 164 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 9.7 (13th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 40 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed170.210.4275.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 170.2 (0th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 827 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadMack Hollins vs BUF0/1 over 43.5
datetgtrecrec ydstgt %
12/14'25844136.4%
Mack Hollins Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.294.60
SZN
66th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 87th pctseason 3.29 (66th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game4.646.60
SZN
56th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 4.64 (56th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
target share16.2%22.6%
SZN
61st percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 84th pctseason 16.2% (61st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share68.4%72.4%
SZN
63rd percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 68.4% (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
43.5line
OVER-114betPARXat 43.5
UNDER-114betPARXat 43.5

Receptions

38 games logged
line3.5

BUF · what this defence allows
receptions allowed to WRs9.760.7%13.3
13th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 164 totalvs per target · 29th pct · 23 of 32season 9.7 (13th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.33 games (2026) · 40 totalsupports UNDER28/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs15.915.920.7
19th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 270 totalseason 15.9no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.23 games (2026) · 62 totalsupports UNDER26/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed16.316.324.0
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 277 totalseason 16.3no per-play form for this stat90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.93 games (2026) · 72 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadMack Hollins vs BUF1/1 over 3.5
datetgtrecrec ydstgt %
12/14'25844136.4%
Mack Hollins Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game3.294.60
SZN
66th percentile for mostleague avg 2.8914 games (2025)vs last 5 · 87th pctseason 3.29 (66th)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
targets per game4.646.60
SZN
56th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 4.64 (56th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
target share16.2%22.6%
SZN
61st percentile for mostleague avg 15.1%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 84th pctseason 16.2% (61st)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
snap share68.4%72.4%
SZN
63rd percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 68.4% (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
3.5line
OVER+100bet365at 3.5
UNDER+102betPARXat 3.5

Rush + Rec Yards

38 games logged
line45.5

BUF · what this defence allows
receiving yards allowed to WRs116.012.0192.0
10th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 1972 totalvs per reception · 16th pct · 27 of 32season 116.0 (10th)17 games97th percentile for most allowedleague avg 148.33 games (2026) · 576 totalsupports UNDER29/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
rushing yards allowed to WRs6.74.42.3
82nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.717 games (2025) · 114 totalvs per carry · 39th pct · 20 of 32season 6.7 (82nd)17 games61st percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.43 games (2026) · 7 totalsupports OVERT-6/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed170.210.4275.7
0th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 2894 totalvs per reception · 23rd pct · 25 of 32season 170.2 (0th)17 games87th percentile for most allowedleague avg 231.33 games (2026) · 827 totalsupports UNDER32/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
yards after catch allowed to WRs36.43.859.7
6th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 619 totalvs per reception · 24th pct · T-24 of 32season 36.4 (6th)17 games90th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.03 games (2026) · 179 totalsupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Head to HeadMack Hollins vs BUF0/1 over 45.5
datecarrush ydsrecrec ydsrush+rec
12/14'250044141
Mack Hollins Breakdown · his own data
touches per game3.364.60
no comparison available
14 games (2025)vs last 5season 3.365 gamesneutralneutral
targets per game4.646.60
SZN
56th percentile for mostleague avg 4.6814 games (2025)vs last 5 · 82nd pctseason 4.64 (56th)5 gamesneutralsupports OVER
snap share68.4%72.4%
SZN
63rd percentile for mostleague avg 61.6%14 games (2025)vs last 5 · 69th pctseason 68.4% (63rd)5 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
45.5line
OVER-115bet365at 45.5
UNDER-115bet365at 45.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing