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CARWRTampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina PanthersSun 1:00 PM
McMillan on the fieldreceptions per game 6.40targets per game 9.60target share 26.5%
FacingTampa Bay Buccaneersdefence147.6 receiving yards allowed to WRs (2026) · ranks 12 of 32 NFL defences
Prices last pulled 6:12 AM ET
Anytime TD
23 games loggedTetairoa McMillan Anytime TD · 23 games logged
6 of 20 (30%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +150 BetMGM · prices from
line0.5
1+ TD
quoted at 0.5: O +150 (BetMGM) · no under
9/28@ NE10/5vs MIA10/12vs DAL10/19@ NYJ10/26vs BUF11/2@ GB11/9vs NO11/16@ ATL11/24@ SF11/30vs LAR12/14@ NO12/21vs TB12/28vs SEA1/3@ TB1/10vs LAR9/13vs CHI9/20@ ATL9/27@ CLE10/4vs DET10/18@ PHI
latest0 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ PHI
TD
6 of 20 (30%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20
red zone touchesno range set0.6 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.4last 100.3last 200.620260.420250.6all0.5
Anytime TD: Breakdowns
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.590.400.40
SZN83rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3417 games (2025)59th percentileleague avg 0.375 games (last 5)2026 season 0.4059th percentile for mostleague avg 0.375 games (2026)supports OVERneutral55/138 WRsneutral
red zone targets per game0.881.401.40
SZN75th percentile for mostleague avg 0.6017 games (2025)93rd percentileleague avg 0.655 games (last 5)2026 season 1.4093rd percentile for mostleague avg 0.655 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER9/138 WRssupports OVER
receptions per game4.126.406.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7617 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 2.895 games (last 5)2026 season 6.4095th percentile for mostleague avg 2.895 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/138 WRssupports OVER
red zone target share20.8%24.1%24.1%
SZN80th percentile for highest shareleague avg 13.5%15 games with red zone data (2025)84th percentileleague avg 14.5%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 24.1%84th percentile for highest shareleague avg 14.5%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER27/133 WRssupports OVER22/138 WRssupports OVER
red zone rush share0.0%0.0%0.0%
SZN38th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.6%17 games with red zone data (2025)46th percentileleague avg 0.4%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 0.0%46th percentile for highest shareleague avg 0.4%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports UNDER32/133 WRsneutral12/138 WRsneutral
red zone touch share8.7%4.9%4.9%
SZN89th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.6%17 games with red zone data (2025)55th percentileleague avg 4.6%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)2026 season 4.9%55th percentile for highest shareleague avg 4.6%5 games with red zone data (2026)supports OVER15/133 WRsneutral63/138 WRsneutral
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
TDs allowed to WRs0.81.00.8
SZN34th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 14 total58th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.842nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 5 totalsupports UNDERT-21/32 NFL defencesneutralT-18/32 NFL defencesneutral
red zone targets allowed to WRs1.93.02.8
SZN23rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 32 total69th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 2.866th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 17 totalsupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.71.81.8
SZN69th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 46 total13th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.815th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.56 games (2026) · 11 totalsupports OVERT-10/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Anytime TD: Head to Head
Head to HeadTetairoa McMillan vs TB1/2 with a touchdown · 2 seasons
| date | RZ | touch | rec yds | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03'26 | 1 | 4 | 85 | 0 |
| 12/21'25 | 0 | 6 | 73 | 1 |
SAME ROLE VS TB
WR1s vs TB
Anytime TD · Tetairoa McMillan is CAR's WR1
WR1s scored a touchdown in 0 of 5 games vs TB · 0 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | TD | SCORED? | OWN LINE | CAR | TGT | REC | SNAPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 4 | 2 | 60 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 1 | 6 | 6 | 38 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | left early (12% of snaps) | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 |
| 10/4 | GB | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 3 | 3 | 41 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 5 | 2 | 34 | |
| 10/18 | PIT | 0 | no TD | 0.5under | 0 | 15 | 11 | 75 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Tetairoa McMillan is CAR's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. TB has played 6 games; the WR1 was clear in all 6.
Anytime TD: Lineup
Anytime TD: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Anytime TD at 0.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 12 | 2 of 12 | 17% |
| 2025 | 18 | 5 of 18 | 28% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| Home | 11 | 4 of 11 | 36% |
| vs ATL | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% |
| vs NE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs NO | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs TB | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 1 of 5 | 20% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% |
Anytime TD: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · scored a touchdown or not
| Date | Opponent | Anytime TD | Scored |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ PHI | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | 2 | yes |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | 0 | no |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs LAR | 0 | no |
| Sat, Jan 3, 2026 | @ TB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs SEA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs TB | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NO | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs LAR | 1 | yes |
| Mon, Nov 24, 2025 | @ SF | 1 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ ATL | 2 | yes |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NO | 0 | no |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ GB | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs BUF | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | @ NYJ | 0 | no |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs DAL | 2 | yes |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs MIA | 0 | no |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ NE | 0 | no |
Receptions
23 games loggedTetairoa McMillan Receptions · 23 games logged
6 of 20 (30%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20 · over +120 Bovada · under −135 bet365 · pull times beside each book
line5.5
5.5
quoted at 5.5: O +120 (Bovada) · U -135 (bet365)
9/28@ NE10/5vs MIA10/12vs DAL10/19@ NYJ10/26vs BUF11/2@ GB11/9vs NO11/16@ ATL11/24@ SF11/30vs LAR12/14@ NO12/21vs TB12/28vs SEA1/3@ TB1/10vs LAR9/13vs CHI9/20@ ATL9/27@ CLE10/4vs DET10/18@ PHI
latest6 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ PHI
5.5
6 of 20 (30%) cleared 5.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set7.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 59.6last 107.9last 207.520269.620257.2all7.7
Receptions: Breakdowns
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.126.406.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7617 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 2.895 games (last 5)2026 season 6.4095th percentile for mostleague avg 2.895 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/138 WRssupports OVER
targets per game7.189.609.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4317 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 4.675 games (last 5)2026 season 9.6095th percentile for mostleague avg 4.675 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER8/138 WRssupports OVER
target share25.6%26.5%26.5%
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 14.4%17 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 14.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 26.5%92nd percentile for mostleague avg 14.5%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER12/138 WRssupports OVER
snap share87.2%84.4%84.4%
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%17 games (2025)89th percentileleague avg 60.6%5 games (last 5)2026 season 84.4%89th percentile for mostleague avg 60.6%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER16/138 WRssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
receptions allowed to WRs11.713.412.5
SZN66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 199 total77th percentileleague avg 11.65 games (last 5)2026 season 12.568th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.66 games (2026) · 75 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
targets allowed to WRs19.020.419.3
SZN77th percentile for most allowedleague avg 17.817 games (2025) · 323 total74th percentileleague avg 18.85 games (last 5)2026 season 19.363rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 18.86 games (2026) · 116 totalsupports OVER8/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receptions allowed22.323.623.8
SZN81st percentile for most allowedleague avg 20.617 games (2025) · 379 total84th percentileleague avg 21.65 games (last 5)2026 season 23.885th percentile for most allowedleague avg 21.66 games (2026) · 143 totalsupports OVER7/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-5/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receptions: Head to Head
Head to HeadTetairoa McMillan vs TB1/2 over 5.5 · 2 seasons· 26.3% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03'26 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 20% |
| 12/21'25 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 32.3% |
SAME ROLE VS TB
WR1s vs TB
Receptions at 5.5 · Tetairoa McMillan is CAR's WR1
WR1s went over 5.5 receptions in 2 of 5 games vs TB · 2 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC | AT 5.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC YDS | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 2 | under | 7.5under | 4 | 12 | 0 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 6 | over | 3.5over | 6 | 28 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | left early (12% of snaps) | 2 | under | 5.5under | 2 | 32 | 0 |
| 10/4 | GB | 3 | under | 4.5under | 3 | 47 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 2 | under | 6.5under | 5 | 9 | 0 | |
| 10/18 | PIT | 11 | over | 3.5over | 15 | 93 | 0 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Tetairoa McMillan is CAR's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. TB has played 6 games; the WR1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receptions
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Tommy Tremble, 2 of 4 games at 2.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Tremble | 2.5 | +165 | 2 of 4 | 2.3 |
| John Metchie III | 1.5 | +122 | 1 of 1 | 2.0 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 5.5 | +120 | 1 of 2 | 5.0 |
| Jalen Coker | 5.5 | +110 | 1 of 3 | 3.7 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 2.5 | +120 | 0 of 3 | 1.0 |
| Darren Waller | 2.5 | +146 | 0 of 1 | 1.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receptions: Lineup
Receptions: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receptions at 5.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 12 | 3 of 12 | 25% | 22.7% |
| 2025 | 18 | 5 of 18 | 28% | 24.9% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 26.4% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18.9% |
| Home | 11 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 28.6% |
| vs ATL | 3 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 29.7% |
| vs NE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 29.6% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 23.8% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.2% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 43.3% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 31.8% |
| vs NO | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 27.9% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 15.8% |
| vs TB | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 26.3% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 19.0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 26.2% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 23.5% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.9% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 41.1% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.1% |
Receptions: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 5.5
| Date | Opponent | Receptions | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ PHI | 6 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | 14 | 41.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 2 | 11.9% | under |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | 5 | 31.2% | under |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | 5 | 23.5% | under |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs LAR | 5 | 18.9% | under |
| Sat, Jan 3, 2026 | @ TB | 4 | 20.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs SEA | 1 | 19.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs TB | 6 | 32.3% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NO | 2 | 20.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs LAR | 1 | 10.0% | under |
| Mon, Nov 24, 2025 | @ SF | 2 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ ATL | 8 | 26.7% | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NO | 5 | 34.8% | under |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ GB | 4 | 31.6% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs BUF | 7 | 43.5% | over |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | @ NYJ | 3 | 16.1% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs DAL | 3 | 23.8% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs MIA | 6 | 29.6% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ NE | 4 | 25.0% | under |
Receiving Yards
23 games loggedTetairoa McMillan Receiving Yards · 23 games logged
10 of 20 (50%) cleared 69.5 over his last 20 · over −103 Bally Bet · under −110 theScore Bet · prices from
line69.5
69.5
quoted at 69.5: O -103 (Bally Bet) · U -110 (theScore Bet)
9/28@ NE10/5vs MIA10/12vs DAL10/19@ NYJ10/26vs BUF11/2@ GB11/9vs NO11/16@ ATL11/24@ SF11/30vs LAR12/14@ NO12/21vs TB12/28vs SEA1/3@ TB1/10vs LAR9/13vs CHI9/20@ ATL9/27@ CLE10/4vs DET10/18@ PHI
latest86 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ PHI
69.5
10 of 20 (50%) cleared 69.5 over his last 20
receptionsno range set4.7 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 56.4last 105.0last 204.720266.420254.2all4.7
Receiving Yards: Breakdowns
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.126.406.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7617 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 2.895 games (last 5)2026 season 6.4095th percentile for mostleague avg 2.895 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/138 WRssupports OVER
targets per game7.189.609.60
SZN86th percentile for mostleague avg 4.4317 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 4.675 games (last 5)2026 season 9.6095th percentile for mostleague avg 4.675 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER8/138 WRssupports OVER
target share25.6%26.5%26.5%
SZN91st percentile for mostleague avg 14.4%17 games (2025)92nd percentileleague avg 14.5%5 games (last 5)2026 season 26.5%92nd percentile for mostleague avg 14.5%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER12/138 WRssupports OVER
snap share87.2%84.4%84.4%
SZN94th percentile for mostleague avg 59.5%17 games (2025)89th percentileleague avg 60.6%5 games (last 5)2026 season 84.4%89th percentile for mostleague avg 60.6%5 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER16/138 WRssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
receiving yards allowed to WRs147.6154.6145.7
SZN65th percentile for most allowedleague avg 139.617 games (2025) · 2509 total61st percentileleague avg 150.95 games (last 5)2026 season 145.742nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 150.96 games (2026) · 874 totalsupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER19/32 NFL defencesneutral
receptions allowed to WRs11.713.412.5
SZN66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.017 games (2025) · 199 total77th percentileleague avg 11.65 games (last 5)2026 season 12.568th percentile for most allowedleague avg 11.66 games (2026) · 75 totalsupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
receiving yards allowed254.8234.4237.7
SZN84th percentile for most allowedleague avg 225.017 games (2025) · 4332 total45th percentileleague avg 236.35 games (last 5)2026 season 237.752nd percentile for most allowedleague avg 236.36 games (2026) · 1426 totalsupports OVER6/32 NFL defencesneutral16/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to WRs47.866.663.0
SZN68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 813 total97th percentileleague avg 48.05 games (last 5)2026 season 63.097th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.06 games (2026) · 378 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
Receiving Yards: Head to Head
Head to HeadTetairoa McMillan vs TB2/2 over 69.5 · 2 seasons· 26.3% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03'26 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 20% |
| 12/21'25 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 32.3% |
SAME ROLE VS TB
WR1s vs TB
Receiving Yards at 69.5 · Tetairoa McMillan is CAR's WR1
WR1s went over 69.5 receiving yards in 1 of 5 games vs TB · 1 of 5 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | REC YDS | AT 69.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 12 | under | 85.5under | 4 | 2 | 0 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 28 | under | 35.5under | 6 | 6 | 0 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | left early (12% of snaps) | 32 | under | 74.5under | 2 | 2 | 0 |
| 10/4 | GB | 47 | under | 67.5under | 3 | 3 | 0 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 9 | under | 84.5under | 5 | 2 | 0 | |
| 10/18 | PIT | 93 | over | 50.5over | 15 | 11 | 0 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Tetairoa McMillan is CAR's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. TB has played 6 games; the WR1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Receiving Yards
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Tetairoa McMillan, 2 of 2 games at 69.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tetairoa McMillan | 69.5 | −103 | 2 of 2 | 79.0 |
| Tommy Tremble | 16.5 | +100 | 2 of 4 | 30.3 |
| Jalen Coker | 66.5 | −110 | 0 of 3 | 43.0 |
| John Metchie III | 10.5 | −114 | 0 of 1 | 10.0 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 14.5 | −107 | 0 of 3 | 4.7 |
| Darren Waller | 20.5 | −110 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Receiving Yards: Lineup
Receiving Yards: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Receiving Yards at 69.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 12 | 5 of 12 | 42% | 22.7% |
| 2025 | 18 | 7 of 18 | 39% | 24.9% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 26.4% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18.9% |
| Home | 11 | 6 of 11 | 55% | 28.6% |
| vs ATL | 3 | 2 of 3 | 67% | 29.7% |
| vs NE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 29.6% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 23.8% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.2% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 43.3% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 31.8% |
| vs NO | 2 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 27.9% |
| vs SF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 15.8% |
| vs TB | 2 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 26.3% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 19.0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 26.2% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 23.5% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.9% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 41.1% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.1% |
Receiving Yards: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 69.5
| Date | Opponent | Receiving Yards | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ PHI | 86 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | 192 | 41.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 17 | 11.9% | under |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | 101 | 31.2% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | 75 | 23.5% | over |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs LAR | 81 | 18.9% | over |
| Sat, Jan 3, 2026 | @ TB | 85 | 20.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs SEA | 5 | 19.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs TB | 73 | 32.3% | over |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NO | 25 | 20.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs LAR | 43 | 10.0% | under |
| Mon, Nov 24, 2025 | @ SF | 35 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ ATL | 130 | 26.7% | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NO | 60 | 34.8% | under |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ GB | 46 | 31.6% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs BUF | 99 | 43.5% | over |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | @ NYJ | 33 | 16.1% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs DAL | 29 | 23.8% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs MIA | 73 | 29.6% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ NE | 62 | 25.0% | under |
Longest Reception
23 games loggedTetairoa McMillan Longest Reception · 23 games logged
8 of 20 (40%) cleared 24.5 over his last 20 · over −110 Hard Rock Bet · under −105 Bovada · prices from
line24.5
24.5
quoted at 24.5: O -110 (Hard Rock Bet) · U -105 (Bovada)
9/28@ NE10/5vs MIA10/12vs DAL10/19@ NYJ10/26vs BUF11/2@ GB11/9vs NO11/16@ ATL11/24@ SF11/30vs LAR12/14@ NO12/21vs TB12/28vs SEA1/3@ TB1/10vs LAR9/13vs CHI9/20@ ATL9/27@ CLE10/4vs DET10/18@ PHI
latest21 Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · @ PHI
24.5
8 of 20 (40%) cleared 24.5 over his last 20
targetsno range set7.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 59.6last 107.9last 207.520269.620257.2all7.7
Longest Reception: Breakdowns
Tetairoa McMillan Breakdown · his own data
receptions per game4.126.406.40
SZN82nd percentile for mostleague avg 2.7617 games (2025)95th percentileleague avg 2.895 games (last 5)2026 season 6.4095th percentile for mostleague avg 2.895 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER7/138 WRssupports OVER
yards per catch15.2914.3514.35
SZN83rd percentile for mostleague avg 13.0517 games (2025)61st percentileleague avg 13.595 games (last 5)2026 season 14.3561st percentile for mostleague avg 13.595 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER54/136 WRssupports OVER
air yards per target12.1811.5611.56
SZN62nd percentile for mostleague avg 11.3817 games (2025)52nd percentileleague avg 11.175 games (last 5)2026 season 11.5652nd percentile for mostleague avg 11.175 games (2026)supports OVERneutral67/138 WRsneutral
20+ yard catches per game1.001.801.80
SZN85th percentile for mostleague avg 0.5417 games (2025)100th percentileleague avg 0.555 games (last 5)2026 season 1.80100th percentile for mostleague avg 0.555 games (2026)supports OVERsupports OVER1/138 WRssupports OVER
TB · what this defence allowssee the games
20+ yard receptions allowed to WRs2.11.81.7
SZN63rd percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.017 games (2025) · 35 total31st percentileleague avg 2.15 games (last 5)2026 season 1.727th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.16 games (2026) · 10 totalsupports OVERT-12/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-23/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
30+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.70.80.7
SZN39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.817 games (2025) · 12 total42nd percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.731st percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.96 games (2026) · 4 totalsupports UNDERT-19/32 NFL defencesneutralT-21/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
40+ yard receptions allowed to WRs0.50.60.5
SZN89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.317 games (2025) · 8 total77th percentileleague avg 0.55 games (last 5)2026 season 0.556th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.56 games (2026) · 3 totalsupports OVERT-3/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-11/32 NFL defencesneutral
yards after catch allowed to WRs47.866.663.0
SZN68th percentile for most allowedleague avg 45.517 games (2025) · 813 total97th percentileleague avg 48.05 games (last 5)2026 season 63.097th percentile for most allowedleague avg 48.06 games (2026) · 378 totalsupports OVER11/32 NFL defencessupports OVER2/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
air yards faced257.4216.6218.2
SZN74th percentile for most facedleague avg 239.817 games (2025) · 4375 total16th percentileleague avg 255.85 games (last 5)2026 season 218.216th percentile for most facedleague avg 255.86 games (2026) · 1309 totalsupports OVER9/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER27/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
Longest Reception: Head to Head
Head to HeadTetairoa McMillan vs TB1/2 over 24.5 · 2 seasons· 26.3% of their targets, 2 meetings
| date | tgt | rec | rec yds | lng rec |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03'26 | 6 | 4 | 85 | 40 |
| 12/21'25 | 10 | 6 | 73 | 22 |
SAME ROLE VS TB
WR1s vs TB
Longest Reception at 24.5 · Tetairoa McMillan is CAR's WR1
WR1s went over 24.5 longest reception in 0 of 5 games vs TB · 0 of 4 went over their own line
| DATE | TEAM | PLAYER | LONG | AT 24.5 | OWN LINE | TGT | REC | REC YDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/13 | CIN | 16 | under | — | 4 | 2 | 12 | |
| 9/20 | CLE | 9 | under | 16.5under | 6 | 6 | 28 | |
| 9/27 | MIN | left early (12% of snaps) | 22 | under | 23.5under | 2 | 2 | 32 |
| 10/4 | GB | 18 | under | 25.5under | 3 | 3 | 47 | |
| 10/8 | DAL | 5 | under | 26.5under | 5 | 2 | 9 | |
| 10/18 | PIT | 17 | under | 22.5under | 15 | 11 | 93 |
Each past WR1 is set by the receiving yards lines books posted for that game, or by usage over the four games before it where none were posted. Players who left early are greyed and not counted. Own line is the middle of the main lines books posted for him that game (a push counts as not over). Tetairoa McMillan is CAR's WR1 by today's receiving yards lines. TB has played 6 games; the WR1 was clear in all 6.
TEAMMATES VS TB
Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Longest Reception
Each player at their own line · every game against this club on file
Most often over: Tommy Tremble, 2 of 3 games at 11.5
| PLAYER | LINE | PRICE | OVER | PER GAME |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Tremble | 11.5 | −115 | 2 of 3 | 20.3 |
| Tetairoa McMillan | 24.5 | −110 | 1 of 2 | 31.0 |
| Jalen Coker | 22.5 | −117 | 1 of 3 | 24.0 |
| John Metchie III | 9.5 | −115 | 0 of 1 | 7.0 |
| Chuba Hubbard | 8.5 | −108 | 0 of 2 | 6.0 |
| Darren Waller | 11.5 | −114 | 0 of 1 | 0.0 |
Over means strictly above the line; a push is not over. Sorted by most overs, then the better rate. Only games with this stat on file are counted.
Longest Reception: Lineup
Longest Reception: Splits
Splits
All games on file · Longest Reception at 24.5
| Split | Games | Cleared | Rate | Tgt % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Away | 12 | 5 of 12 | 42% | 22.7% |
| 2025 | 18 | 7 of 18 | 39% | 24.9% |
| vs JAX | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 26.4% |
| vs ARI | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 18.9% |
| Home | 11 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 28.6% |
| vs ATL | 3 | 2 of 3 | 67% | 29.7% |
| vs NE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.0% |
| vs MIA | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 29.6% |
| vs DAL | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 23.8% |
| vs NYJ | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 16.2% |
| vs BUF | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 43.3% |
| vs GB | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 31.8% |
| vs NO | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 27.9% |
| vs SF | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 25.0% |
| vs LAR | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 15.8% |
| vs TB | 2 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 26.3% |
| vs SEA | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 19.0% |
| 2026 | 5 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 26.2% |
| vs CHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 23.5% |
| vs CLE | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 11.9% |
| vs DET | 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 41.1% |
| vs PHI | 1 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 25.1% |
Longest Reception: Game Log
Game Log
20 games, newest first · at 24.5
| Date | Opponent | Longest Reception | Tgt % | Over / under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun, Oct 18, 2026 | @ PHI | 21 | 25.0% | under |
| Sun, Oct 4, 2026 | vs DET | 32 | 41.0% | over |
| Sun, Sep 27, 2026 | @ CLE | 12 | 11.9% | under |
| Sun, Sep 20, 2026 | @ ATL | 28 | 31.2% | over |
| Sun, Sep 13, 2026 | vs CHI | 21 | 23.5% | under |
| Sat, Jan 10, 2026 | vs LAR | 22 | 18.9% | under |
| Sat, Jan 3, 2026 | @ TB | 40 | 20.0% | over |
| Sun, Dec 28, 2025 | vs SEA | 5 | 19.0% | under |
| Sun, Dec 21, 2025 | vs TB | 22 | 32.3% | under |
| Sun, Dec 14, 2025 | @ NO | 21 | 20.0% | under |
| Sun, Nov 30, 2025 | vs LAR | 43 | 10.0% | over |
| Mon, Nov 24, 2025 | @ SF | 29 | 25.0% | over |
| Sun, Nov 16, 2025 | @ ATL | 39 | 26.7% | over |
| Sun, Nov 9, 2025 | vs NO | 26 | 34.8% | over |
| Sun, Nov 2, 2025 | @ GB | 16 | 31.6% | under |
| Sun, Oct 26, 2025 | vs BUF | 19 | 43.5% | under |
| Sun, Oct 19, 2025 | @ NYJ | 11 | 16.1% | under |
| Sun, Oct 12, 2025 | vs DAL | 19 | 23.8% | under |
| Sun, Oct 5, 2025 | vs MIA | 29 | 29.6% | over |
| Sun, Sep 28, 2025 | @ NE | 22 | 25.0% | under |
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