Research

What do the World Series Game 1 player props look like, and how often has each player cleared his line?

Quick answer

Our 12:05 PM ET board on October 23, 2026 carries 653 player props for Tampa Bay at Milwaukee, 194 of them main lines, across 14 markets and 18 books. Jacob Misiorowski's strikeout line is 6.5: he cleared it in 22 of 30 regular-season starts but in 2 of his last 10 starts and neither of his 2 postseason starts. Nick Martinez's is 3.5, cleared in 17 of 31 regular-season starts. Yandy Diaz has a hit in 9 of his last 10 games and 8 of 9 this postseason. These are counts of what happened, not a forecast.

Tonight's board

Open tonight's board in the Lab

Game 1 of the World Series is Tampa Bay at Milwaukee on Friday, October 23, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET at American Family Field. MLB’s probable pitchers feed, read at 12:14 PM ET, lists Nick Martinez for the Rays and Jacob Misiorowski for the Brewers. Everything below comes from our own board and our 2026 game logs, and every price is from our pull at 12:05 PM ET.

Prices last pulled 12:05 PM ET, October 23, 2026. The board updates at each pull before first pitch, so the Lab has the latest numbers.

What the board carries

Our 12:05 PM ET board holds 653 player props on this game for 21 players: 194 main lines and 459 alternate lines, across 14 markets and 18 books. The counts below are main lines only, with how many of the 18 books quote at least one side of them.

MarketMain linesBooks quoting
Runs209
Home Runs1818
Total Bases1818
Hits1817
H+R+RBI1811
RBIs1815
Doubles189
Singles188
Walks188
Stolen Bases1811
Strikeouts318
Outs314
Hits Allowed311
Earned Runs38

The best price in every table below is the highest price any of the 18 books quotes for that side. Several of those books are exchanges or are not offered everywhere, so the best price you can actually take depends on where you bet. The board also carries a strikeout, outs, hits allowed and earned runs line on Drew Rasmussen, each quoted on one side only; MLB’s feed does not list him as the starter, so he is not in the starter table.

How to read the hit rates

A line is cleared when the player went over it; every line here ends in .5, so there are no pushes. Last 10 and last 20 are his most recent games, regular season and postseason together. For hitters a game is any game with at least one plate appearance, so pinch-running and defence-only games are left out; for the starters it is starts only. The regular-season and postseason columns are the full 2026 counts, kept apart.

The starters

StarterMarketLineBest overBest underLast 10 startsLast 20 starts2026 regular season2026 postseason
Nick MartinezStrikeouts3.5+160 NoVig-164 BetOnline5 of 1010 of 2017 of 310 of 2
Nick MartinezOuts13.5+108 NoVig-111 NoVig7 of 1017 of 2028 of 311 of 2
Nick MartinezHits Allowed4.5+133 NoVig-156 DraftKings7 of 1013 of 2023 of 311 of 2
Nick MartinezEarned Runs1.5-133 DraftKings+117 NoVig7 of 1012 of 2016 of 311 of 2
Jacob MisiorowskiStrikeouts6.5-120 bet365+116 DraftKings2 of 1011 of 2022 of 300 of 2
Jacob MisiorowskiOuts16.5+102 NoVig-115 DraftKings, Hard Rock, bet3654 of 1011 of 2018 of 300 of 2
Jacob MisiorowskiHits Allowed3.5-108 NoVig-101 DraftKings7 of 1012 of 2015 of 302 of 2
Jacob MisiorowskiEarned Runs1.5+163 NoVig-182 NoVig3 of 107 of 2010 of 301 of 2

Misiorowski averaged 8.40 strikeouts a start in 30 regular-season starts (median 8) and cleared 6.5 in 22 of them. His last 10 starts went 6, 6, 6, 5, 9, 7, 4, 5, 6, 5: over 6.5 twice. Martinez averaged 3.52 (median 4) in 31 regular-season starts and cleared 3.5 in 17. On outs, Martinez recorded 14 or more in 28 of his regular-season starts (average 17.42, median 18); Misiorowski’s line is 16.5, cleared in 18 regular-season starts (average 17.47, median 18).

Their postseason starts, from our logs:

DateStarterGameStrikeoutsOutsHits allowedEarned runs
October 7Nick Martinezat New York Yankees31152
October 17Nick Martinezat Cleveland Guardians31621
October 3Jacob Misiorowskivs San Diego Padres61242
October 11Jacob Misiorowskivs Los Angeles Dodgers51351

Two postseason starts each is not a sample. Martinez’s postseason starts were both on the road and Misiorowski’s both at home.

Each lineup at its lines

Every hitter on the board has a hits, total bases and home run main line. At 0.5, a total bases over and a hits over clear in exactly the same games, so for hitters whose total bases line is 0.5 those two rows match.

Hits

HitterLineBest overBest underLast 10Last 202026 regular season2026 postseason
Chandler Simpson (TB)0.5-178 ProphetX+160 DraftKings, Hard Rock, theScore Bet6 of 1015 of 20107 of 1485 of 8
Jonathan Aranda (TB)0.5-113 NoVig, ProphetX+117 BetOnline6 of 1013 of 20107 of 1555 of 9
Jonny DeLuca (TB)0.5-115 ProphetX+110 bet3655 of 1011 of 2064 of 1044 of 9
Junior Caminero (TB)0.5-144 ProphetX+133 NoVig7 of 1014 of 20119 of 1627 of 9
Liam Hicks (TB)0.5-117 ProphetX+103 BetOnline5 of 109 of 2088 of 1424 of 9
Richie Palacios (TB)0.5+111 ProphetX-135 BetOnline, Hard Rock, bet3657 of 1014 of 2062 of 1185 of 7
Taylor Walls (TB)0.5+156 NoVig-150 theScore Bet5 of 1010 of 2066 of 1184 of 9
Victor Mesa Jr. (TB)0.5-105 BetMGM-103 BetOnline5 of 1011 of 2041 of 734 of 9
Yandy Diaz (TB)0.5-190 NoVig, ProphetX+195 bet3659 of 1012 of 20106 of 1548 of 9
Brice Turang (MIL)0.5-178 ProphetX+163 NoVig7 of 1015 of 20100 of 1505 of 8
Christian Yelich (MIL)0.5-156 ProphetX+140 betPARX7 of 1013 of 2071 of 1175 of 7
Cooper Pratt (MIL)0.5-140 theScore Bet+144 NoVig7 of 1014 of 2044 of 725 of 8
David Hamilton (MIL)0.5-105 bet365-110 theScore Bet7 of 1013 of 2058 of 1143 of 4
Garrett Mitchell (MIL)0.5-132 ProphetX+129 DraftKings6 of 1012 of 2078 of 1445 of 8
Jackson Chourio (MIL)0.5-235 ProphetX+233 NoVig7 of 1013 of 2094 of 1275 of 8
Jake Bauers (MIL)0.5-134 ProphetX+130 NoVig7 of 1015 of 2088 of 1446 of 8
Sal Frelick (MIL)0.5-120 NoVig, ProphetX+122 DraftKings4 of 109 of 2059 of 1093 of 5
William Contreras (MIL)0.5-200 ProphetX+190 NoVig8 of 1017 of 2096 of 1476 of 8

Total Bases

HitterLineBest overBest underLast 10Last 202026 regular season2026 postseason
Chandler Simpson (TB)0.5-200 bet365, theScore Bet+169 Pinnacle6 of 1015 of 20107 of 1485 of 8
Jonathan Aranda (TB)0.5-140 bet365, theScore Bet+120 Pinnacle6 of 1013 of 20107 of 1555 of 9
Jonny DeLuca (TB)0.5-118 BetOnline+100 theScore Bet5 of 1011 of 2064 of 1044 of 9
Junior Caminero (TB)0.5-160 Fanatics+137 Pinnacle7 of 1014 of 20119 of 1627 of 9
Liam Hicks (TB)0.5-121 ProphetX+110 Pinnacle5 of 109 of 2088 of 1424 of 9
Richie Palacios (TB)0.5+110 Fanatics, Pinnacle, theScore Bet-133 Pinnacle7 of 1014 of 2062 of 1185 of 7
Taylor Walls (TB)0.5+130 bet365-148 Pinnacle5 of 1010 of 2066 of 1184 of 9
Victor Mesa Jr. (TB)0.5-105 BetMGM, Pinnacle-110 BetOnline5 of 1011 of 2041 of 734 of 9
Yandy Diaz (TB)1.5+168 ProphetX-175 bet3656 of 109 of 2071 of 1545 of 9
Brice Turang (MIL)1.5+175 Bovada-180 ProphetX3 of 108 of 2063 of 1502 of 8
Christian Yelich (MIL)0.5-152 Pinnacle+135 BetMGM7 of 1013 of 2071 of 1175 of 7
Cooper Pratt (MIL)0.5-118 ProphetX+115 BetMGM, BetOnline, Caesars, Pinnacle7 of 1014 of 2044 of 725 of 8
David Hamilton (MIL)0.5-105 bet365-110 Pinnacle, theScore Bet7 of 1013 of 2058 of 1143 of 4
Garrett Mitchell (MIL)1.5+215 ProphetX-240 bet365, theScore Bet3 of 105 of 2047 of 1443 of 8
Jackson Chourio (MIL)1.5+130 Bovada-134 ProphetX5 of 107 of 2050 of 1273 of 8
Jake Bauers (MIL)0.5-130 BetOnline+110 theScore Bet7 of 1015 of 2088 of 1446 of 8
Sal Frelick (MIL)0.5-128 ProphetX+120 theScore Bet4 of 109 of 2059 of 1093 of 5
William Contreras (MIL)1.5+158 ProphetX-178 NoVig, Pinnacle, ProphetX5 of 1010 of 2065 of 1475 of 8

Home Runs

HitterLineBest overBest underLast 10Last 202026 regular season2026 postseason
Chandler Simpson (TB)0.5+4000 Bally Bet, BetRivers, betPARXnone posted0 of 100 of 200 of 1480 of 8
Jonathan Aranda (TB)0.5+950 ProphetX-953 NoVig1 of 103 of 2020 of 1551 of 9
Jonny DeLuca (TB)0.5+1300 Bovada-1718 NoVig1 of 101 of 2010 of 1040 of 9
Junior Caminero (TB)0.5+590 NoVig-614 NoVig1 of 102 of 2038 of 1621 of 9
Liam Hicks (TB)0.5+1200 Bally Bet, BetRivers, ProphetX, bet365, betPARX-1567 NoVig0 of 100 of 2017 of 1420 of 9
Richie Palacios (TB)0.5+1329 NoVig-2603 NoVig0 of 101 of 2010 of 1180 of 7
Taylor Walls (TB)0.5+1800 Bovada, ProphetX-2400 NoVig0 of 100 of 201 of 1180 of 9
Victor Mesa Jr. (TB)0.5+800 Bovada-900 NoVig1 of 102 of 2014 of 731 of 9
Yandy Diaz (TB)0.5+1000 Bally Bet, BetRivers, betPARX-1076 NoVig2 of 102 of 2021 of 1542 of 9
Brice Turang (MIL)0.5+958 Pinnacle-950 bet3652 of 103 of 2019 of 1501 of 8
Christian Yelich (MIL)0.5+953 NoVig-1011 NoVig0 of 102 of 2012 of 1170 of 7
Cooper Pratt (MIL)0.5+1438 NoVig-1567 NoVig0 of 100 of 203 of 720 of 8
David Hamilton (MIL)0.5+2122 NoVig-2400 NoVig1 of 101 of 204 of 1141 of 4
Garrett Mitchell (MIL)0.5+953 NoVig-1150 NoVig2 of 102 of 2011 of 1442 of 8
Jackson Chourio (MIL)0.5+600 Pinnacle-580 ProphetX2 of 104 of 2022 of 1272 of 8
Jake Bauers (MIL)0.5+614 NoVig-669 NoVig1 of 102 of 2026 of 1441 of 8
Sal Frelick (MIL)0.5+1651 Pinnacle-2464 NoVig0 of 100 of 204 of 1090 of 5
William Contreras (MIL)0.5+733 NoVig-770 NoVig3 of 106 of 2018 of 1473 of 8

Who has cleared most often

On hits, Yandy Diaz has cleared 0.5 in 9 of his last 10 games and 8 of 9 this postseason, and William Contreras in 8 of his last 10 and 6 of 8. Junior Caminero has 7 of 9 this postseason. Sal Frelick is lowest over his last 10, at 4.

Five hitters have a total bases line of 1.5. Over their last 10, Diaz cleared it 6 times (5 of 9 this postseason), Contreras 5 (5 of 8), Jackson Chourio 5 (3 of 8), Garrett Mitchell 3 (3 of 8) and Brice Turang 3 (2 of 8).

On home runs, Contreras has homered in 3 of his last 10 games and 3 of 8 this postseason. Diaz, Mitchell, Chourio and Turang have 2 in their last 10 each. Chandler Simpson has no home run in 148 regular-season games or 8 postseason games, and his over is priced at +4000.

Each team’s postseason so far

From our game logs, Tampa Bay has played 9 postseason games: 3 in the division series against the New York Yankees (October 3 to 7) and 6 in the championship series against the Cleveland Guardians (October 12 to 19). Milwaukee has played 8: 4 in the division series against the San Diego Padres (October 3 to 7) and 4 in the championship series against the Los Angeles Dodgers (October 11 to 15). Milwaukee’s last game in our logs is October 15, 2026 and Tampa Bay’s is October 19, 2026. Our logs hold box score lines, not final scores, so this page does not give the series results. The game is at American Family Field, Milwaukee’s park; the postseason columns above mix home and road games.

Where to find these

Each player has a page with every game beside the line: Misiorowski’s strikeouts at 6.5, Martinez’s outs at 13.5, Yandy Diaz’s hits at 0.5 and William Contreras’s total bases at 1.5. Every line on this game, with all 18 books, is on the Lab board under MLB. For the other tools that cover baseball, see the best MLB player prop tools.

Source: our Lab board for Tampa Bay at Milwaukee, prices pulled 12:05 PM ET on October 23, 2026, main lines only; our 2026 MLB game logs through October 19, 2026 (regular season and postseason kept apart); starters from MLB’s probable pitchers feed, read 12:14 PM ET on October 23, 2026. Counts of what happened, not a forecast, and not a view on any price.

Written by Ben at Steezanomics. Every public Lab play since Sep 25, 2026 is logged, losses included.

Quick answers

Who is starting World Series Game 1?

MLB's probable pitchers feed, read at 12:14 PM ET on October 23, 2026, lists Nick Martinez for Tampa Bay and Jacob Misiorowski for Milwaukee. The board also carries one-sided lines on Drew Rasmussen; MLB's feed does not list him as the starter.

How often has Misiorowski gone over 6.5 strikeouts?

In 22 of his 30 regular-season starts in 2026, averaging 8.40 strikeouts a start (median 8). In his last 10 starts he went over 2 times, with 6, 6, 6, 5, 9, 7, 4, 5, 6 and 5, the last two being his postseason starts.

Which hitters have cleared their hits line most often lately?

Yandy Diaz, 9 of his last 10 games and 8 of 9 this postseason, and William Contreras, 8 of his last 10 and 6 of 8 this postseason. Every hits line on this game is 0.5, so this is games with at least one hit.

Who has homered most this postseason?

Among the hitters with a home run line, William Contreras has homered in 3 of his 8 postseason games, and Yandy Diaz (2 of 9), Garrett Mitchell (2 of 8) and Jackson Chourio (2 of 8) in 2 each. Chandler Simpson has no home run in 148 regular-season games or 8 postseason games.

Are these prices current?

They are the prices from our pull at 12:05 PM ET on October 23, 2026. The Lab board updates at each pull before first pitch, so check it for the latest numbers. Nothing on this page is a pick or a forecast.

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