MLB PLAYER PROPS · Tuesday, September 1
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
3 selections from 93 MLB total bases props that cleared our form and pricing filters on Tuesday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Total Bases | -110 | theScore Bet | under in 80% of his last ten; Paul Skenes has allowed hard contact on 39.1% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark |
| Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Total Bases | -165 | theScore Bet | under in 90% of his last ten; Lee hits the ball hard at only the 15th percentile of qualified regulars |
| Wilyer Abreu Over 1.5 Total Bases | +143 | BetRivers | over in 50% of his last ten; Abreu hits the ball hard at the 74th percentile of qualified regulars |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Angle 1
Shay Whitcomb has gone under 0.5 total bases in 83% of 23 games this season and 80% across the last ten. He faces Paul Skenes.
The case against
The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -110.
Angle 2
Jung Hoo Lee has gone under 1.5 total bases in 61% of 126 games this season and 90% across the last ten. He faces Paul Skenes.
The case against
At -165 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.
The last ten (90%) sits a long way from the season rate (61%), so this leans on a streak continuing rather than on a settled level.
Angle 3
Wilyer Abreu has gone over 1.5 total bases in 41% of 135 games this season and 50% across the last ten. He faces Bryan Woo.
The case against
No complaint about +143. The risk sits with the form read holding up.
These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Brewers vs Cubs player props.
The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.
Built from the Lab's board for Tuesday, September 1. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 1, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.