MLB PLAYER PROPS · Thursday, August 27
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets, first pitch 7:11 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
Jacob Misiorowski
Brewers
Sean Manaea
Mets
ON THURSDAY'S CARD
Jared Young has gone over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs in 68% of his 80 games this season, and in 7 of his last 10.
He faces Jacob Misiorowski.
This one was on the Lab's card for Thursday, which took the best five lines across the whole slate. See how the card settled.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Contreras Over 1.5 Total Bases | +132 | bet365 | over in 60% of his last ten; Contreras hits the ball hard at the 72nd percentile of qualified regulars |
| Sal Frelick Under 0.5 Hits | +160 | theScore Bet | under in 60% of his last ten; Frelick hits the ball hard at only the 9th percentile of qualified regulars |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does, and these are separate from the card play above.
Angle 1
William Contreras has gone over 1.5 total bases in 42% of 123 games this season and 60% across the last ten. He faces Sean Manaea.
The case against
The price is not the problem here. The form read still has to hold at +132.
Angle 2
Sal Frelick has gone under 0.5 hits in 43% of 89 games this season and 60% across the last ten. He faces Sean Manaea.
The case against
At +160 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.
Sean Manaea has allowed hard contact on 42.6% of balls in play, above the 42% league mark.
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best MLB total bases props for Thursday.
The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.
Built from the Lab's board for Thursday, August 27. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Aug 27, 6:25 PM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.