NFLAngle 1BetMGM
Tucker Kraft Over 0.5 Anytime TD
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lionskickoff 4:25 PM ET
last 5 1 of 5 · 20%last 10 4 of 10 · 40%last 20 7 of 20 · 35%last season 63%8 games
Next best +170 at FanDuelSame 0.5 line
NFL PLAYER PROPS · Sunday, October 25
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Packers vs Lions player props, and the case against each one.
Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions, kickoff 4:25 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Packers vs Lions Defense Funnels: what each defense allows by position.
Our graded record is 124-99-6 at +35.4% ROI since Sep 25, as of Nov 1. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Kraft Over 0.5 Anytime TD | +180 | BetMGM | over in 40% of his last ten; Tucker Kraft averages 1.12 red zone touches a game over 8 games, against 0.35 for TEs (96th percentile) |
| Sam LaPorta Over 4.5 Receptions | -148 | FanDuel | over in 80% of his last ten; Sam LaPorta averages 4.44 receptions a game over 9 games, against 2.20 for TEs (87th percentile) |
The reads behind them
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of his season rate, last season's until this one has enough games behind it, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.
Why this pick?
Tucker Kraft has gone over 0.5 anytime TD in 63% of 8 games last season and 40% across the last ten.
Tucker Kraft averages 1.12 red zone touches a game over 8 games, against 0.35 for TEs (96th percentile).
Tucker Kraft averages 1.50 red zone targets a game over 8 games, against 0.52 for TEs (98th percentile).
Tucker Kraft averages 4.00 receptions a game over 8 games, against 2.20 for TEs (86th percentile).
NFLAngle 2FanDuel
Sam LaPorta Over 4.5 Receptions
Green Bay Packers @ Detroit Lionskickoff 4:25 PM ET
Full game log and every book on Sam LaPorta
−148FanDuel
last 5 4 of 5 · 80%last 10 8 of 10 · 80%last 20 14 of 20 · 70%last season 56%9 games
Next best −150 at bet365Same 4.5 line
Why this pick?
Sam LaPorta has gone over 4.5 receptions in 56% of 9 games last season and 80% across the last ten.
Sam LaPorta averages 4.44 receptions a game over 9 games, against 2.20 for TEs (87th percentile).
Sam LaPorta averages 5.44 targets a game over 9 games, against 3.03 for TEs (84th percentile).
Sam LaPorta's target share is 18.5% over 9 games, against 9.9% for TEs (87th percentile).
What this is, and what it is not
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best NFL anytime touchdown props for Sunday.
Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, October 25. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 24, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.