MLB PLAYER PROPS · Friday, October 16
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Tampa Bay Rays at Cleveland Guardians, first pitch 8:00 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
Nick Martinez
Rays
ON FRIDAY'S CARD
Nick Martinez has gone over 2.5 strikeouts in 78% of his 32 games this season, and in 9 of his last 10.
This one was on the Lab's card for Friday, which took the best five lines across the whole slate. See how the card settled.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan Under 1.5 Total Bases | -200 | theScore Bet | under in 80% of his last ten; Kwan hits the ball hard at only the 0th percentile of qualified regulars |
| Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Total Bases | -190 | theScore Bet | under in 90% of his last ten; Simpson hits the ball hard at only the 0th percentile of qualified regulars |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does, and these are separate from the card play above.
Next best −201 at DraftKingsSame 1.5 line
Steven Kwan has gone under 1.5 total bases in 65% of 158 games this season and 80% across the last ten. He faces Nick Martinez.
Kwan hits the ball hard at only the 0th percentile of qualified regulars.
Nick Martinez has allowed hard contact on 33.2% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark.
He bats left-handed into a right-hander, a split he ranks in the 7th percentile on.
Next best −200 at BetMGMSame 1.5 line
Chandler Simpson has gone under 1.5 total bases in 60% of 153 games this season and 90% across the last ten.
Simpson hits the ball hard at only the 0th percentile of qualified regulars.
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best MLB hits props for Friday.
The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.
Built from the Lab's board for Friday, October 16. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Oct 16, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.