MLB PLAYER PROPS · Tuesday, September 29
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees, first pitch 8:10 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
Payton Tolle
Red Sox
Cam Schlittler
Yankees
ON TUESDAY'S CARD
George Lombard Jr. has gone over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs in 71% of his 42 games this season, and in 8 of his last 10.
He faces Payton Tolle.
This one was on the Lab's card for Tuesday, which took the best five lines across the whole slate. See how the card settled.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger Under 1.5 Total Bases | -190 | BetMGM | under in 70% of his last ten; Payton Tolle has allowed hard contact on 34.7% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark |
| Paul Goldschmidt Under 1.5 Total Bases | -200 | bet365 | under in 70% of his last ten; Goldschmidt hits the ball hard at only the 34th percentile of qualified regulars |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does, and these are separate from the card play above.
Angle 1
Cody Bellinger has gone under 1.5 total bases in 60% of 132 games this season and 70% across the last ten. He faces Payton Tolle.
The case against
The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -190.
Angle 2
Paul Goldschmidt has gone under 1.5 total bases in 62% of 102 games this season and 70% across the last ten. He faces Payton Tolle.
The case against
At -200 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.
He bats right-handed into a left-hander, a split he ranks in the 94th percentile on.
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best MLB home run props for Tuesday.
The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.
Built from the Lab's board for Tuesday, September 29. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 29, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.