MLB PLAYER PROPS · Friday, September 11
Final. These games have been played; every price is as published.
Chicago White Sox at St. Louis Cardinals, first pitch 8:16 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.
Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.
Anthony Kay
White Sox
Matthew Liberatore
Cardinals
ON FRIDAY'S CARD
Brenton Doyle has gone under 0.5 total bases in 54% of his 61 games this season, and in 8 of his last 10.
He faces Matthew Liberatore.
This one was on the Lab's card for Friday, which took the best five lines across the whole slate. See how the card settled.
| Pick | Price | Book | Why |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ramon Urias Under 0.5 Total Bases | +117 | Caesars | under in 70% of his last ten; Anthony Kay has allowed hard contact on 40.1% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark |
| Colson Montgomery Over 0.5 Home Runs | +500 | Fanatics | over in 30% of his last ten; Montgomery barrels the ball at the 89th percentile of qualified regulars |
Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does, and these are separate from the card play above.
Angle 1
Ramon Urias has gone under 0.5 total bases in 66% of 32 games this season and 70% across the last ten. He faces Anthony Kay.
The case against
The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at +117.
Angle 2
Colson Montgomery has gone over 0.5 home runs in 22% of 138 games this season and 30% across the last ten. He faces Matthew Liberatore.
The case against
At +500 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.
These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.
Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.
Same slate: Best MLB total bases props for Friday.
The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.
Built from the Lab's board for Friday, September 11. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 11, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.