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Daulton Varsho
HOUbats L5th in the order · projectedArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros8:11 PMDaikin Park
facingMerrill Kelly5.08 ERA · 6.04 K/9 · 1.48 WHIP · 141.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 12.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Varsho at the plateHR/PA 2.1%barrel rate 6.5%hard-hit% 37.2%
Home Runs
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.2%4.8%
85th percentileleague avg 2.9%619 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 4.2% (85th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%12.9%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs LHB · 98th pctseason 12.1% (97th)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%45.4%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 43.0% (82nd)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed26.9%29.3%
54th percentileleague avg 26.7%619 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 26.9% (54th)280 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 18 | 4.8% |
| vs RHB | 239 | 8 | 3.3% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 12 | 3.4% |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% |
| season | 616 | 26 | 4.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA2.1%2.5%
31st percentileleague avg 3.0%475 PAvs RHP · 42nd pctseason 2.1% (31st)355 PAsupports UNDERneutral
barrel rate6.5%7.2%
42nd percentileleague avg 7.8%475 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 6.5% (42nd)251 batted ballsneutralneutral
hard-hit%37.2%39.0%
39th percentileleague avg 39.0%475 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 37.2% (39th)251 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
fly-ball%28.3%30.3%
61st percentileleague avg 26.7%475 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 28.3% (61st)251 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.355.364
31st percentileleague avg .386474 PAvs RHP · 37th pctseason .355 (31st)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.122.133
35th percentileleague avg .146474 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .122 (35th)322 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
avg exit velo86.4 mph87.3 mph
27th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph475 PAvs RHP · 38th pctseason 86.4 mph (27th)251 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 375 | 9 | 2.4% | .370 | 10% (9/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 99 | 1 | 1.0% | .333 | 4% (1/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 244 | 5 | 2.0% | .341 | 8% (5/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 230 | 5 | 2.2% | .385 | 8% (5/59) |
| season | 119 | 474 | 10 | 2.1% | .363 | 8% (10/119) |
● tonight's split
The BatDaulton Varsho: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 354 | 2.5% | 251 | 7.2% | .364 | .133 | 87.3 |
| vs LHP | 120 | 0.8% | 88 | 4.5% | .327 | .091 | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 244 | 2.0% | 163 | 7.4% | .340 | .119 | 86.6 |
| on the road | 230 | 2.2% | 176 | 5.7% | .369 | .124 | 86.2 |
| season | 474 | 2.1% | 339 | 6.5% | .354 | .121 | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+575bet365fair +529 · +7.3% vs fair
30% boost+748+34.8% vs market · -28.8% vs season50% boost+862+53% vs market · -19.1% vs season
UNDER-641NoVigfair -523 · -3% vs fair
30% boost-493+0.9% vs market · +10.2% vs season50% boost-427+3.5% vs market · +13% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+7500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+9750no market fair50% boost+11250no market fair
Total Bases
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.276
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs LHBseason .270377 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed43.0%45.4%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 43.0% (82nd)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%12.9%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs LHB · 98th pctseason 12.1% (97th)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 167 | 0.44 | .512 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 90 | 0.38 | .419 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 127 | 0.36 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 130 | 0.49 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 257 | 0.42 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.355.364
31st percentileleague avg .386474 PAvs RHP · 37th pctseason .355 (31st)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.363.371
23rd percentileleague avg .400474 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason .363 (23rd)354 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.233.231
36th percentileleague avg .240474 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .233 (36th)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.229.227
25th percentileleague avg .244474 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason .229 (25th)354 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.122.133
35th percentileleague avg .146474 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .122 (35th)322 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
hard-hit%37.2%39.0%
39th percentileleague avg 39.0%475 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 37.2% (39th)251 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
barrel rate6.5%7.2%
42nd percentileleague avg 7.8%475 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 6.5% (42nd)251 batted ballsneutralneutral
line-drive%23.6%22.7%
49th percentileleague avg 23.6%475 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 23.6% (49th)251 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 375 | 127 | 1.37 | .370 | 60% (56/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 99 | 30 | 1.15 | .333 | 58% (15/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 244 | 75 | 1.25 | .341 | 60% (36/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 230 | 82 | 1.39 | .385 | 59% (35/59) |
| season | 119 | 474 | 157 | 1.32 | .363 | 60% (71/119) |
● tonight's split
The BatDaulton Varsho: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 354 | 33.6% | 251 | .364 | .133 | 7.2% | 87.3 |
| vs LHP | 120 | 31.7% | 88 | .327 | .091 | 4.5% | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 244 | 30.7% | 163 | .340 | .119 | 7.4% | 86.6 |
| on the road | 230 | 35.7% | 176 | .369 | .124 | 5.7% | 86.2 |
| season | 474 | 33.1% | 339 | .354 | .121 | 6.5% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER-162ProphetXfair -149 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-125+7.8% vs market · +7.5% vs season50% boost-108+15.2% vs market · +14.9% vs season
UNDER+140theScore Betfair +147 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+182+13.9% vs market · +13.7% vs season50% boost+210+25.2% vs market · +25% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 30%SZN 34%over rate
OVER+150ProphetXpooled fair +157
30% boost+195pooled fair50% boost+225pooled fair
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -158 · -4.7% vs fair
30% boost-138+5.6% vs market · +14.3% vs season50% boost-120+12.4% vs market · +21.7% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+290DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+377no market fair50% boost+435no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+402DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+523no market fair50% boost+603no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+890DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1157no market fair50% boost+1335no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+1300BetOnlinemarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.276
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs LHBseason .270377 batters facedneutralneutral
K%15.4%12.7%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 15.4% (6th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%19.3%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason 21.7% (22nd)667 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 90 | 23.9% | .276 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 56 | 23.4% | .260 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 22.2% | .257 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25.8% | .287 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 23.7% | .270 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
xBA.233.231
36th percentileleague avg .240474 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .233 (36th)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
AVG.229.227
25th percentileleague avg .244474 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason .229 (25th)354 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%85.5%84.1%
60th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%474 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 85.5% (60th)441 in-zone swingssupports OVERneutral
whiff%21.5%22.7%
29th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%474 PAvs RHP · 37th pctseason 21.5% (29th)708 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%20.0%20.0%
36th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%474 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason 20.0% (36th)355 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.6%22.7%
49th percentileleague avg 23.6%475 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 23.6% (49th)251 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 343 | 79 | .230 | 60% (56/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 90 | 20 | .222 | 58% (15/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 220 | 48 | .218 | 60% (36/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 213 | 51 | .239 | 59% (35/59) |
| season | 119 | 433 | 99 | .229 | 60% (71/119) |
● tonight's split
The BatDaulton Varsho: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 354 | 20.6% | 251 | .231 | 22.7% | 35.5% |
| vs LHP | 120 | 21.7% | 88 | .236 | 26.1% | 33.0% |
| at home ● | 244 | 19.7% | 163 | .220 | 23.9% | 35.6% |
| on the road | 230 | 22.2% | 176 | .244 | 23.3% | 34.1% |
| season | 474 | 20.9% | 339 | — | 23.6% | 34.8% |
0.5line
OVER-160ProphetXfair -150 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost-123+8.7% vs market · +8.1% vs season50% boost-107+16.2% vs market · +15.6% vs season
UNDER+146BetOnlinefair +148 · -0.7% vs fair
30% boost+190+17.1% vs market · +16.9% vs season50% boost+219+28.9% vs market · +28.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+332DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+432no market fair50% boost+498no market fair
UNDER-500theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-385no market fair50% boost-333no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
H+R+RBI
119 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%12.2%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 10.4% (78th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.4%12.7%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 15.4% (6th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 90 | 167 | .368 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 56 | 90 | .315 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 127 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 130 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 257 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.541.63
27th percentileleague avg 1.75119 gamesvs RHP · 35th pctseason 1.54 (27th)93 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.288—
no split for this stat27th percentileleague avg .310474 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.233.231
36th percentileleague avg .240474 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .233 (36th)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.363.371
23rd percentileleague avg .400474 PAvs RHP · 26th pctseason .363 (23rd)354 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 375 | 79 | 39 | 34 | 1.63 | 40% (37/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 99 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 1.19 | 31% (8/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 244 | 48 | 26 | 18 | 1.53 | 35% (21/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 230 | 51 | 20 | 20 | 1.54 | 41% (24/59) |
| season | 119 | 474 | 99 | 46 | 38 | 1.54 | 38% (45/119) |
● tonight's split
The BatDaulton Varsho: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 354 | 20.6% | 251 | .231 | .364 | 7.2% | 87.3 |
| vs LHP | 120 | 21.7% | 88 | .236 | .327 | 4.5% | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 244 | 19.7% | 163 | .220 | .340 | 7.4% | 86.6 |
| on the road | 230 | 22.2% | 176 | .244 | .369 | 5.7% | 86.2 |
| season | 474 | 20.9% | 339 | — | .354 | 6.5% | 86.4 |
1.5line
OVER+104ProphetXfair +110 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+135+12% vs market · -11.1% vs season50% boost+156+21.9% vs market · -3.2% vs season
UNDER-120Bovadafair -111 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+108+9.4% vs market · +29.6% vs season50% boost+125+18.1% vs market · +39.9% vs season
RBIs
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%12.9%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs LHB · 98th pctseason 12.1% (97th)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%12.2%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 10.4% (78th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 90 | 18 | .512 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 56 | 8 | .419 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 12 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 14 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 26 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.320.37
15th percentileleague avg 0.45119 gamesvs RHP · 26th pctseason 0.32 (15th)93 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.355.364
31st percentileleague avg .386474 PAvs RHP · 37th pctseason .355 (31st)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%37.2%39.0%
39th percentileleague avg 39.0%475 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 37.2% (39th)251 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
barrel rate6.5%7.2%
42nd percentileleague avg 7.8%475 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason 6.5% (42nd)251 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 375 | 34 | 0.37 | .370 | 25% (23/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 99 | 4 | 0.15 | .333 | 15% (4/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 244 | 18 | 0.30 | .341 | 20% (12/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 230 | 20 | 0.34 | .385 | 25% (15/59) |
| season | 119 | 474 | 38 | 0.32 | .363 | 23% (27/119) |
● tonight's split
The BatDaulton Varsho: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 354 | 8.2% | 251 | .364 | 7.2% | 39.0% | 87.3 |
| vs LHP | 120 | 7.5% | 88 | .327 | 4.5% | 31.8% | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 244 | 7.4% | 163 | .340 | 7.4% | 36.8% | 86.6 |
| on the road | 230 | 8.7% | 176 | .369 | 5.7% | 37.5% | 86.2 |
| season | 474 | — | 339 | .354 | 6.5% | 37.2% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+188ProphetXfair +192 · -1.5% vs fair
30% boost+244+17.8% vs market · -21.9% vs season50% boost+282+30.6% vs market · -13.3% vs season
UNDER-225BetMGMfair -199 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-173+4.9% vs market · +22% vs season50% boost-150+10.8% vs market · +28.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 15%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1600BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%12.2%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 10.4% (78th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 90 | 46 | .368 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 56 | 18 | .315 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 39 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 64 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.390.42
28th percentileleague avg 0.46119 gamesvs RHP · 38th pctseason 0.39 (28th)93 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.288—
no split for this stat27th percentileleague avg .310474 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
sprint speed27.4—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg 27.4474 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.233.231
36th percentileleague avg .240474 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .233 (36th)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.0%9.0%
42nd percentileleague avg 8.7%474 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 8.0% (42nd)355 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 375 | 39 | 0.42 | .293 | 37% (34/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 99 | 7 | 0.27 | .293 | 27% (7/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 244 | 26 | 0.43 | .295 | 38% (23/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 230 | 20 | 0.34 | .291 | 31% (18/59) |
| season | 119 | 474 | 46 | 0.39 | .293 | 34% (41/119) |
● tonight's split
The BatDaulton Varsho: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 354 | — | 251 | .231 | 22.7% | 35.5% | 87.3 |
| vs LHP | 120 | — | 88 | .236 | 26.1% | 33.0% | 84.0 |
| at home ● | 244 | 11.1% | 163 | .220 | 23.9% | 35.6% | 86.6 |
| on the road | 230 | 8.7% | 176 | .244 | 23.3% | 34.1% | 86.2 |
| season | 474 | — | 339 | — | 23.6% | 34.8% | 86.4 |
0.5line
OVER+136ProphetXfair +143 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+177+13.8% vs market · -4.6% vs season50% boost+204+24.9% vs market · +4.7% vs season
UNDER-165BetMGMfair -148 · -4.2% vs fair
30% boost-127+6.6% vs market · +17.2% vs season50% boost-110+13.8% vs market · +25.1% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Doubles
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%45.4%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 43.0% (82nd)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%12.9%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs LHB · 98th pctseason 12.1% (97th)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed26.1%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat616 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMerrill Kelly: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 17 | 4.5% | .512 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 8 | 3.3% | .419 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 11 | 3.1% | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% | .549 |
| season | 616 | 25 | 4.1% | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.6%4.2%
69th percentileleague avg 4.1%475 PAvs RHP · 55th pctseason 4.6% (69th)355 PAsupports OVERneutral
xSLG.355.364
31st percentileleague avg .386474 PAvs RHP · 37th pctseason .355 (31st)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.122.133
35th percentileleague avg .146474 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason .122 (35th)322 at-batssupports UNDERneutral
line-drive%23.6%22.7%
49th percentileleague avg 23.6%475 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 23.6% (49th)251 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%34.8%35.5%
44th percentileleague avg 35.3%475 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason 34.8% (44th)251 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed27.4—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg 27.4474 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 375 | 17 | 4.5% | .370 | 17% (16/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 99 | 5 | 5.1% | .333 | 19% (5/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 244 | 10 | 4.1% | .341 | 15% (9/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 230 | 12 | 5.2% | .385 | 20% (12/59) |
| season | 119 | 474 | 22 | 4.6% | .363 | 18% (21/119) |
● tonight's split
The BatDaulton Varsho: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 354 | 4.2% | 251 | .364 | 22.7% | 35.5% |
| vs LHP | 120 | 5.8% | 88 | .327 | 26.1% | 33.0% |
| at home ● | 244 | 4.1% | 163 | .340 | 23.9% | 35.6% |
| on the road | 230 | 5.2% | 176 | .369 | 23.3% | 34.1% |
| season | 474 | 4.6% | 339 | .354 | 23.6% | 34.8% |
0.5line
OVER+425theScore Betfair +422 · +0.5% vs fair
30% boost+552+24.6% vs market · +15.1% vs season50% boost+638+40.9% vs market · +30.1% vs season
UNDER-600BetMGMfair -436 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost-462-1.1% vs market · +0.2% vs season50% boost-400+1.6% vs market · +2.9% vs season
Singles
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.4%12.7%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 15.4% (6th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%19.3%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason 21.7% (22nd)667 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 52 | 13.8% |
| vs RHB | 239 | 39 | 16.3% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 54 | 15.3% |
| at home | 264 | 37 | 14.0% |
| season | 616 | 91 | 14.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
xBA.233.231
36th percentileleague avg .240474 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .233 (36th)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%85.5%84.1%
60th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%474 PAvs RHP · 48th pctseason 85.5% (60th)441 in-zone swingssupports OVERneutral
whiff%21.5%22.7%
29th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%474 PAvs RHP · 37th pctseason 21.5% (29th)708 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%23.6%22.7%
49th percentileleague avg 23.6%475 PAvs RHP · 40th pctseason 23.6% (49th)251 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
sprint speed27.4—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg 27.4474 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 343 | 51 | .230 | 41% (38/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 90 | 13 | .222 | 38% (10/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 220 | 32 | .218 | 42% (25/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 213 | 32 | .239 | 39% (23/59) |
| season | 119 | 433 | 64 | .229 | 40% (48/119) |
● tonight's split
The BatDaulton Varsho: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 354 | 13.3% | 251 | .231 | 22.7% | 35.5% |
| vs LHP | 120 | 14.2% | 88 | .236 | 26.1% | 33.0% |
| at home ● | 244 | 13.1% | 163 | .220 | 23.9% | 35.6% |
| on the road | 230 | 13.9% | 176 | .244 | 23.3% | 34.1% |
| season | 474 | 14.1% | 339 | — | 23.6% | 34.8% |
0.5line
OVER+130BetMGMfair +141 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost+169+11.6% vs market · +8.5% vs season50% boost+195+22.4% vs market · +19% vs season
UNDER-160bet365fair -142 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost-123+6.4% vs market · +8.1% vs season50% boost-107+13.7% vs market · +15.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Walks
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%10.4%12.2%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 10.4% (78th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%61.2%57.0%
46th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%616 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason 61.2% (46th)379 first pitchesneutralsupports OVER
BB/94.15.0
league avg 3.4+0.6 vs league25 startsvs LHBseason 4.1377 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 46 | 12.2% |
| vs RHB | 239 | 18 | 7.5% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 39 | 11.1% |
| at home | 264 | 25 | 9.5% |
| season | 616 | 64 | 10.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadDaulton Varsho vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
BB%8.0%9.0%
42nd percentileleague avg 8.7%474 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 8.0% (42nd)355 PAneutralneutral
chase rate36.3%36.2%
81st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%474 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 36.3% (81st)737 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%72.1%73.5%
league avg 66.8%+5.3% vs league474 PAvs RHPseason 72.1%600 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 375 | 30 | 8.0% | .293 | 30% (28/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 99 | 8 | 8.1% | .293 | 27% (7/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 244 | 23 | 9.4% | .295 | 33% (20/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 230 | 15 | 6.5% | .291 | 25% (15/59) |
| season | 119 | 474 | 38 | 8.0% | .293 | 29% (35/119) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+177Caesarsfair +193 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost+230+12.9% vs market · -2.9% vs season50% boost+266+25% vs market · +7.5% vs season
UNDER-235bet365fair -194 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-181+2.4% vs market · +9.6% vs season50% boost-157+8% vs market · +15.6% vs season
Stolen Bases
119 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed1.2%—
no split for this stat62nd percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%9 of 763 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him1.7%—
no split for this stat71st percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%13 of 763 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed9—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught4—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs4—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Daulton Varsho Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed27.4—
no split for this stat49th percentileleague avg 27.4474 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
SB per game0.080.09
65th percentileleague avg 0.07119 gamesvs RHP · 70th pctseason 0.08 (65th)93 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.233.231
36th percentileleague avg .240474 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason .233 (36th)322 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
BB%8.0%9.0%
42nd percentileleague avg 8.7%474 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 8.0% (42nd)355 PAneutralneutral
The MatchupDaulton Varsho: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 93 | 375 | 8 | 0.09 | 9% (8/93) |
| vs LHP | 26 | 99 | 2 | 0.08 | 8% (2/26) |
| at home ● | 60 | 244 | 7 | 0.12 | 12% (7/60) |
| on the road | 59 | 230 | 3 | 0.05 | 5% (3/59) |
| season | 119 | 474 | 10 | 0.08 | 8% (10/119) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+900bet365fair +839 · +6.5% vs fair
30% boost+1170+35.9% vs market · +6.7% vs season50% boost+1350+55.1% vs market · +21.8% vs season
UNDER-1080DraftKingsfair -942 · -1.2% vs fair
30% boost-831+1.3% vs market · +2.6% vs season50% boost-720+3% vs market · +4.3% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astrossorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing