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Yordan Alvarez
HOUbats L2nd in the order · projectedArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros8:11 PMDaikin Park
facingMerrill Kelly5.08 ERA · 6.04 K/9 · 1.48 WHIP · 141.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 12.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Alvarez at the plateHR/PA 6.1%barrel rate 16.5%hard-hit% 53.8%
Home Runs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.2%4.8%
85th percentileleague avg 2.9%619 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 4.2% (85th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%12.9%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs LHB · 98th pctseason 12.1% (97th)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%45.4%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 43.0% (82nd)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball% allowed26.9%29.3%
54th percentileleague avg 26.7%619 batters facedvs LHB · 72nd pctseason 26.9% (54th)280 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 18 | 4.8% |
| vs RHB | 239 | 8 | 3.3% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 12 | 3.4% |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% |
| season | 616 | 26 | 4.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career0 home runs in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA6.1%6.3%
98th percentileleague avg 3.0%608 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 6.1% (98th)448 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate16.5%17.4%
98th percentileleague avg 7.8%608 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 16.5% (98th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%53.8%57.3%
97th percentileleague avg 39.0%608 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 53.8% (97th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%38.1%39.5%
98th percentileleague avg 26.7%608 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 38.1% (98th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.654.662
100th percentileleague avg .386608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .654 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.331.343
100th percentileleague avg .146608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .331 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo94.5 mph95.3 mph
99th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 94.5 mph (99th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 460 | 30 | 6.5% | .646 | 24% (25/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 149 | 7 | 4.7% | .468 | 21% (7/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 308 | 20 | 6.5% | .696 | 25% (18/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 301 | 17 | 5.6% | .504 | 21% (14/67) |
| season | 139 | 609 | 37 | 6.1% | .602 | 23% (32/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatYordan Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 449 | 6.2% | 276 | 17.4% | .662 | .343 | 95.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | 5.6% | 118 | 14.4% | .609 | .289 | 92.5 |
| at home ● | 308 | 6.5% | 205 | 17.6% | .676 | .329 | 95.7 |
| on the road | 301 | 5.6% | 189 | 15.3% | .617 | .325 | 93.2 |
| season | 609 | 6.1% | 394 | 16.5% | .647 | .327 | 94.5 |
0.5line
OVER+290ProphetXfair +275 · +4% vs fair
30% boost+377+27.4% vs market · +9.8% vs season50% boost+435+42.8% vs market · +23.2% vs season
UNDER-300NoVigfair -282 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost-231+5.8% vs market · +10.3% vs season50% boost-200+10.7% vs market · +15.5% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+2500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+14000BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+18200no market fair50% boost+21000no market fair
Total Bases
139 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.276
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs LHBseason .270377 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed43.0%45.4%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 43.0% (82nd)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%12.9%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs LHB · 98th pctseason 12.1% (97th)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 167 | 0.44 | .512 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 90 | 0.38 | .419 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 127 | 0.36 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 130 | 0.49 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 257 | 0.42 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career1 total bases in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.654.662
100th percentileleague avg .386608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .654 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.602.643
100th percentileleague avg .400609 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .602 (100th)449 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.323.320
100th percentileleague avg .240608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .323 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.316.334
100th percentileleague avg .244609 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .316 (100th)449 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.331.343
100th percentileleague avg .146608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .331 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%53.8%57.3%
97th percentileleague avg 39.0%608 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 53.8% (97th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate16.5%17.4%
98th percentileleague avg 7.8%608 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 16.5% (98th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.8%27.9%
81st percentileleague avg 23.6%608 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 26.8% (81st)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 460 | 241 | 2.27 | .646 | 46% (49/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 149 | 58 | 1.76 | .468 | 39% (13/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 308 | 176 | 2.44 | .696 | 56% (40/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 301 | 123 | 1.84 | .504 | 33% (22/67) |
| season | 139 | 609 | 299 | 2.15 | .602 | 45% (62/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatYordan Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 449 | 51.0% | 276 | .662 | .343 | 17.4% | 95.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | 43.8% | 118 | .609 | .289 | 14.4% | 92.5 |
| at home ● | 308 | 57.1% | 205 | .676 | .329 | 17.6% | 95.7 |
| on the road | 301 | 40.9% | 189 | .617 | .325 | 15.3% | 93.2 |
| season | 609 | 49.1% | 394 | .647 | .327 | 16.5% | 94.5 |
0.5lineL5 40%L10 50%L20 60%SZN 68%over rate
OVER-275Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-212no market fair50% boost-183no market fair
1.5line
OVER+104NoVigfair +111 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost+135+11.2% vs market · +4.9% vs season50% boost+156+21.1% vs market · +14.2% vs season
UNDER-113NoVigfair -106 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+115+11% vs market · +19.1% vs season50% boost+133+20.1% vs market · +28.9% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 35%over rate
OVER+175BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+228no market fair50% boost+262no market fair
UNDER-200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-154no market fair50% boost-133no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 20%SZN 26%over rate
OVER+230BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+299no market fair50% boost+345no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 20%L20 15%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+450BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+585no market fair50% boost+675no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+720DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+936no market fair50% boost+1080no market fair
6.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1180DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1534no market fair50% boost+1770no market fair
Hits
139 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.276
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs LHBseason .270377 batters facedneutralneutral
K%15.4%12.7%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 15.4% (6th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%19.3%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason 21.7% (22nd)667 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 90 | 23.9% | .276 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 56 | 23.4% | .260 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 22.2% | .257 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25.8% | .287 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 23.7% | .270 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career1 hits in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xBA.323.320
100th percentileleague avg .240608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .323 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.316.334
100th percentileleague avg .244609 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .316 (100th)449 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%89.8%89.0%
87th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%608 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 89.8% (87th)453 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%19.4%18.9%
19th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%608 PAvs RHP · 17th pctseason 19.4% (19th)714 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%17.3%17.9%
21st percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%608 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 17.3% (21st)448 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.8%27.9%
81st percentileleague avg 23.6%608 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 26.8% (81st)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 373 | 125 | .335 | 35% (37/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 124 | 32 | .258 | 27% (9/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 253 | 93 | .368 | 38% (27/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 244 | 64 | .262 | 28% (19/67) |
| season | 139 | 497 | 157 | .316 | 33% (46/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatYordan Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 449 | 26.5% | 276 | .320 | 27.9% | 43.1% |
| vs LHP | 160 | 23.8% | 118 | .319 | 24.6% | 42.4% |
| at home ● | 308 | 30.2% | 205 | .347 | 29.8% | 41.5% |
| on the road | 301 | 21.3% | 189 | .292 | 23.8% | 44.4% |
| season | 609 | 25.8% | 394 | — | 26.9% | 42.9% |
0.5lineL5 40%L10 50%L20 60%SZN 68%over rate
OVER-255ProphetXfair -229 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost-196+5.1% vs market · +3.2% vs season50% boost-170+10.5% vs market · +8.5% vs season
UNDER+223NoVigfair +226 · -0.9% vs fair
30% boost+290+19.7% vs market · +23.4% vs season50% boost+334+33.4% vs market · +37.5% vs season
1.5line
OVER+220ProphetXfair +219 · +0.4% vs fair
30% boost+286+21.2% vs market · +27.7% vs season50% boost+330+35% vs market · +42.3% vs season
UNDER-251NoVigfair -220 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-193+4.3% vs market · +1.6% vs season50% boost-167+9.8% vs market · +6.9% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4400DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5720no market fair50% boost+6600no market fair
H+R+RBI
139 games loggedline2.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%12.2%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 10.4% (78th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.4%12.7%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 15.4% (6th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 90 | 167 | .368 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 56 | 90 | .315 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 127 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 130 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 257 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career1 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.472.61
99th percentileleague avg 1.75139 gamesvs RHP · 100th pctseason 2.47 (99th)106 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.450—
no split for this stat100th percentileleague avg .310608 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.323.320
100th percentileleague avg .240608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .323 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.602.643
100th percentileleague avg .400609 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .602 (100th)449 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 2.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 460 | 125 | 77 | 75 | 2.61 | 45% (48/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 149 | 32 | 15 | 19 | 2.00 | 39% (13/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 308 | 93 | 54 | 53 | 2.78 | 53% (38/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 301 | 64 | 38 | 41 | 2.13 | 34% (23/67) |
| season | 139 | 609 | 157 | 92 | 94 | 2.47 | 44% (61/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatYordan Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 449 | 26.5% | 276 | .320 | .662 | 17.4% | 95.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | 23.8% | 118 | .319 | .609 | 14.4% | 92.5 |
| at home ● | 308 | 30.2% | 205 | .347 | .676 | 17.6% | 95.7 |
| on the road | 301 | 21.3% | 189 | .292 | .617 | 15.3% | 93.2 |
| season | 609 | 25.8% | 394 | — | .647 | 16.5% | 94.5 |
1.5lineL5 40%L10 40%L20 45%SZN 53%over rate
OVER-150ProphetXfair -136 · -4% vs fair
30% boost-115+7.5% vs market · -0.6% vs season50% boost-100+15.2% vs market · +6.5% vs season
UNDER+123ProphetXfair +136 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost+160+10.2% vs market · +21.5% vs season50% boost+184+20.6% vs market · +33% vs season
2lineL5 20%L10 30%L20 25%SZN 44%over rate
OVER-280ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-215no market fair50% boost-187no market fair
UNDER-280ProphetXmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-215no market fair50% boost-187no market fair
2.5line
OVER+127NoVigfair +127 · -0.2% vs fair
30% boost+165+16.6% vs market · +16.3% vs season50% boost+191+27.8% vs market · +27.5% vs season
UNDER-138NoVigfair -127 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost-106+8.8% vs market · +9% vs season50% boost+109+16.9% vs market · +17.1% vs season
RBIs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%12.9%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs LHB · 98th pctseason 12.1% (97th)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%12.2%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 10.4% (78th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 90 | 18 | .512 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 56 | 8 | .419 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 12 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 14 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 26 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career0 RBI in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.680.71
98th percentileleague avg 0.45139 gamesvs RHP · 98th pctseason 0.68 (98th)106 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.654.662
100th percentileleague avg .386608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .654 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%53.8%57.3%
97th percentileleague avg 39.0%608 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 53.8% (97th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate16.5%17.4%
98th percentileleague avg 7.8%608 PAvs RHP · 99th pctseason 16.5% (98th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 460 | 75 | 0.71 | .646 | 37% (39/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 149 | 19 | 0.58 | .468 | 39% (13/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 308 | 53 | 0.74 | .696 | 43% (31/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 301 | 41 | 0.61 | .504 | 31% (21/67) |
| season | 139 | 609 | 94 | 0.68 | .602 | 37% (52/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatYordan Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 449 | 15.6% | 276 | .662 | 17.4% | 57.3% | 95.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | 15.0% | 118 | .609 | 14.4% | 45.8% | 92.5 |
| at home ● | 308 | 17.2% | 205 | .676 | 17.6% | 59.5% | 95.7 |
| on the road | 301 | 13.6% | 189 | .617 | 15.3% | 47.6% | 93.2 |
| season | 609 | — | 394 | .647 | 16.5% | 53.8% | 94.5 |
0.5line
OVER+150ProphetXfair +147 · +1.2% vs fair
30% boost+195+19.5% vs market · +10.4% vs season50% boost+225+31.6% vs market · +21.6% vs season
UNDER-163NoVigfair -148 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost-125+7.5% vs market · +12.5% vs season50% boost-109+14.8% vs market · +20.2% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+425BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+552no market fair50% boost+638no market fair
UNDER-700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-538no market fair50% boost-467no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1150BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1495no market fair50% boost+1725no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+3000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3900no market fair50% boost+4500no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%12.2%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 10.4% (78th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 90 | 46 | .368 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 56 | 18 | .315 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 39 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 64 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career6 PA across 2 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.660.73
94th percentileleague avg 0.46139 gamesvs RHP · 99th pctseason 0.66 (94th)106 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.450—
no split for this stat100th percentileleague avg .310608 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed25.2—
no split for this stat7th percentileleague avg 27.4608 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.323.320
100th percentileleague avg .240608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .323 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%16.0%18.8%
98th percentileleague avg 8.7%608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 16.0% (98th)448 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 460 | 77 | 0.73 | .454 | 55% (58/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 149 | 15 | 0.45 | .369 | 39% (13/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 308 | 54 | 0.75 | .477 | 58% (42/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 301 | 38 | 0.57 | .389 | 43% (29/67) |
| season | 139 | 609 | 92 | 0.66 | .433 | 51% (71/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatYordan Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 449 | — | 276 | .320 | 27.9% | 43.1% | 95.3 |
| vs LHP | 160 | — | 118 | .319 | 24.6% | 42.4% | 92.5 |
| at home ● | 308 | 17.5% | 205 | .347 | 29.8% | 41.5% | 95.7 |
| on the road | 301 | 12.6% | 189 | .292 | 23.8% | 44.4% | 93.2 |
| season | 609 | — | 394 | — | 26.9% | 42.9% | 94.5 |
0.5line
OVER-125BetMGMfair -126 · +0.3% vs fair
30% boost+104+13.6% vs market · +4.2% vs season50% boost+120+22.5% vs market · +12.4% vs season
UNDER+114DraftKingsfair +120 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost+148+12.7% vs market · +21.4% vs season50% boost+171+23% vs market · +32.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+380theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+494no market fair50% boost+570no market fair
UNDER-650theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-500no market fair50% boost-433no market fair
Doubles
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.575
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .536 (99th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%45.4%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs LHB · 91st pctseason 43.0% (82nd)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%12.9%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs LHB · 98th pctseason 12.1% (97th)280 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed26.1%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat616 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMerrill Kelly: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 17 | 4.5% | .512 |
| vs RHB | 239 | 8 | 3.3% | .419 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 11 | 3.1% | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% | .549 |
| season | 616 | 25 | 4.1% | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career0 doubles in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.8%5.8%
72nd percentileleague avg 4.1%608 PAvs RHP · 92nd pctseason 4.8% (72nd)448 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.654.662
100th percentileleague avg .386608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .654 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.331.343
100th percentileleague avg .146608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .331 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.8%27.9%
81st percentileleague avg 23.6%608 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 26.8% (81st)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%42.9%43.1%
96th percentileleague avg 35.3%608 PAvs RHP · 97th pctseason 42.9% (96th)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed25.2—
no split for this stat7th percentileleague avg 27.4608 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 460 | 24 | 5.2% | .646 | 20% (21/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 149 | 5 | 3.4% | .468 | 15% (5/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 308 | 23 | 7.5% | .696 | 28% (20/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 301 | 6 | 2.0% | .504 | 9% (6/67) |
| season | 139 | 609 | 29 | 4.8% | .602 | 19% (26/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatYordan Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 449 | 5.8% | 276 | .662 | 27.9% | 43.1% |
| vs LHP | 160 | 1.9% | 118 | .609 | 24.6% | 42.4% |
| at home ● | 308 | 7.5% | 205 | .676 | 29.8% | 41.5% |
| on the road | 301 | 2.0% | 189 | .617 | 23.8% | 44.4% |
| season | 609 | 4.8% | 394 | .647 | 26.9% | 42.9% |
0.5line
OVER+375theScore Betfair +381 · -1.2% vs fair
30% boost+488+22.2% vs market · +9.9% vs season50% boost+562+37.8% vs market · +23.9% vs season
UNDER-525Hard Rockfair -386 · -5.4% vs fair
30% boost-404-0.9% vs market · +1.4% vs season50% boost-350+2.1% vs market · +4.5% vs season
Singles
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.313
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs LHB · 100th pctseason .300 (98th)328 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.4%12.7%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs LHB · 1st pctseason 15.4% (6th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%19.3%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason 21.7% (22nd)667 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 52 | 13.8% |
| vs RHB | 239 | 39 | 16.3% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 54 | 15.3% |
| at home | 264 | 37 | 14.0% |
| season | 616 | 91 | 14.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career1 singles in 6 AB (.167), across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
xBA.323.320
100th percentileleague avg .240608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason .323 (100th)356 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%89.8%89.0%
87th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%608 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 89.8% (87th)453 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%19.4%18.9%
19th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%608 PAvs RHP · 17th pctseason 19.4% (19th)714 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%26.8%27.9%
81st percentileleague avg 23.6%608 PAvs RHP · 90th pctseason 26.8% (81st)276 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed25.2—
no split for this stat7th percentileleague avg 27.4608 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 373 | 70 | .335 | 53% (56/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 124 | 20 | .258 | 52% (17/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 253 | 50 | .368 | 56% (40/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 244 | 40 | .262 | 49% (33/67) |
| season | 139 | 497 | 90 | .316 | 53% (73/139) |
● tonight's split
The BatYordan Alvarez: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 449 | 14.5% | 276 | .320 | 27.9% | 43.1% |
| vs LHP | 160 | 15.6% | 118 | .319 | 24.6% | 42.4% |
| at home ● | 308 | 16.2% | 205 | .347 | 29.8% | 41.5% |
| on the road | 301 | 13.3% | 189 | .292 | 23.8% | 44.4% |
| season | 609 | 14.9% | 394 | — | 26.9% | 42.9% |
0.5line
OVER+111DraftKingsfair +119 · -3.4% vs fair
30% boost+144+11.9% vs market · +28.3% vs season50% boost+167+22.1% vs market · +40% vs season
UNDER-130theScore Betfair -121 · -3.1% vs fair
30% boost+100+9.6% vs market · -5% vs season50% boost+115+18% vs market · +2.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
Walks
139 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%10.4%12.2%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs LHB · 92nd pctseason 10.4% (78th)378 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
first-pitch strike%61.2%57.0%
46th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%616 batters facedvs LHB · 9th pctseason 61.2% (46th)379 first pitchesneutralsupports OVER
BB/94.15.0
league avg 3.4+0.6 vs league25 startsvs LHBseason 4.1377 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs LHB ● | 377 | 46 | 12.2% |
| vs RHB | 239 | 18 | 7.5% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 39 | 11.1% |
| at home | 264 | 25 | 9.5% |
| season | 616 | 64 | 10.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYordan Alvarez vs Merrill Kelly, career0 walks in 6 PA, across 2 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | .666 |
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .167 | .334 |
Yordan Alvarez Breakdown · batter data
BB%16.0%18.8%
98th percentileleague avg 8.7%608 PAvs RHP · 100th pctseason 16.0% (98th)448 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate28.4%26.6%
36th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%608 PAvs RHP · 28th pctseason 28.4% (36th)982 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%61.6%61.1%
league avg 66.8%-5.2% vs league608 PAvs RHPseason 61.6%742 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupYordan Alvarez: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 106 | 460 | 78 | 17.0% | .454 | 54% (57/106) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 149 | 19 | 12.8% | .369 | 42% (14/33) |
| at home ● | 72 | 308 | 48 | 15.6% | .477 | 51% (37/72) |
| on the road | 67 | 301 | 49 | 16.3% | .389 | 51% (34/67) |
| season | 139 | 609 | 97 | 15.9% | .433 | 51% (71/139) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER-140Hard Rockfair -122 · -6% vs fair
30% boost-108+5.9% vs market · -1.5% vs season50% boost+107+13.7% vs market · +5.8% vs season
UNDER+115bet365fair +122 · -3% vs fair
30% boost+150+12.5% vs market · +22.1% vs season50% boost+172+22.9% vs market · +33.3% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astrossorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing