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Isaac Paredes
HOUbats R3rd in the order · projectedArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros8:11 PMDaikin Park
facingMerrill Kelly5.08 ERA · 6.04 K/9 · 1.48 WHIP · 141.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 12.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Paredes at the plateHR/PA 3.2%barrel rate 4.8%hard-hit% 28.1%
Home Runs
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.2%3.3%
85th percentileleague avg 2.9%619 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason 4.2% (85th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
fly-ball% allowed26.9%23.1%
54th percentileleague avg 26.7%619 batters facedvs RHB · 24th pctseason 26.9% (54th)173 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 8 | 3.3% |
| vs LHB | 377 | 18 | 4.8% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 12 | 3.4% |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% |
| season | 616 | 26 | 4.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.2%3.9%
60th percentileleague avg 3.0%571 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason 3.2% (60th)438 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate4.8%4.8%
25th percentileleague avg 7.8%571 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 4.8% (25th)316 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%28.1%26.3%
8th percentileleague avg 39.0%571 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 28.1% (8th)316 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
fly-ball%30.9%31.0%
78th percentileleague avg 26.7%571 PAvs RHP · 79th pctseason 30.9% (78th)316 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.364.350
37th percentileleague avg .386569 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .364 (37th)370 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.120.116
33rd percentileleague avg .146569 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason .120 (33rd)370 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
avg exit velo86.0 mph85.5 mph
24th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph571 PAvs RHP · 18th pctseason 86.0 mph (24th)316 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 423 | 17 | 4.0% | .450 | 16% (16/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 1 | 0.7% | .344 | 3% (1/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 287 | 13 | 4.5% | .484 | 19% (13/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 282 | 5 | 1.8% | .360 | 6% (4/64) |
| season | 134 | 569 | 18 | 3.2% | .422 | 13% (17/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatIsaac Paredes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 436 | 3.9% | 316 | 4.8% | .350 | .116 | 85.5 |
| vs LHP | 133 | 0.8% | 100 | 5.0% | .391 | .124 | 87.4 |
| at home ● | 287 | 4.5% | 209 | 4.8% | .344 | .114 | 85.0 |
| on the road | 282 | 1.8% | 207 | 4.8% | .376 | .122 | 87.0 |
| season | 569 | 3.2% | 416 | 4.8% | .360 | .118 | 86.0 |
0.5line
OVER+614Polymarketpooled fair +578
30% boost+798pooled fair50% boost+921pooled fair
UNDER-700NoVigfair -566 · -2.9% vs fair
30% boost-538+0.8% vs market · +3.5% vs season50% boost-467+3.2% vs market · +6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+10000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+13000no market fair50% boost+15000no market fair
Total Bases
134 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.260
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .270239 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 90 | 0.38 | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 167 | 0.44 | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 127 | 0.36 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 130 | 0.49 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 257 | 0.42 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.364.350
37th percentileleague avg .386569 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .364 (37th)370 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
SLG.422.428
62nd percentileleague avg .400569 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason .422 (62nd)436 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.245.233
54th percentileleague avg .240569 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason .245 (54th)370 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVG.257.248
63rd percentileleague avg .244569 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .257 (63rd)436 PAsupports OVERneutral
xISO.120.116
33rd percentileleague avg .146569 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason .120 (33rd)370 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%28.1%26.3%
8th percentileleague avg 39.0%571 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 28.1% (8th)316 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate4.8%4.8%
25th percentileleague avg 7.8%571 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 4.8% (25th)316 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%28.1%24.4%
92nd percentileleague avg 23.6%571 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 28.1% (92nd)316 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 423 | 161 | 1.59 | .450 | 42% (42/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 44 | 1.33 | .344 | 39% (13/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 287 | 118 | 1.69 | .484 | 43% (30/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 282 | 87 | 1.36 | .360 | 39% (25/64) |
| season | 134 | 569 | 205 | 1.53 | .422 | 41% (55/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatIsaac Paredes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 436 | 36.0% | 316 | .350 | .116 | 4.8% | 85.5 |
| vs LHP | 133 | 36.1% | 100 | .391 | .124 | 5.0% | 87.4 |
| at home ● | 287 | 41.1% | 209 | .344 | .114 | 4.8% | 85.0 |
| on the road | 282 | 30.9% | 207 | .376 | .122 | 4.8% | 87.0 |
| season | 569 | 36.0% | 416 | .360 | .118 | 4.8% | 86.0 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 60%L20 65%SZN 65%over rate
OVER-200theScore Betpooled fair -113
30% boost-154pooled fair50% boost-133pooled fair
UNDER+160theScore Betpooled fair +113
30% boost+208pooled fair50% boost+240pooled fair
1.5line
OVER+152ProphetXfair +154 · -0.8% vs fair
30% boost+198+17.3% vs market · +22.1% vs season50% boost+228+29.2% vs market · +34.6% vs season
UNDER-165BetMGMfair -157 · -1.9% vs fair
30% boost-127+9.2% vs market · +5.4% vs season50% boost-110+16.6% vs market · +12.6% vs season
2.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 22%over rate
OVER+300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+390no market fair50% boost+450no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 14%over rate
OVER+426DraftKingsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+554no market fair50% boost+639no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+900FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+1500Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1950no market fair50% boost+2250no market fair
Hits
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.260
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .270239 batters facedneutralneutral
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%25.2%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 21.7% (22nd)445 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 23.4% | .260 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 23.9% | .276 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 22.2% | .257 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25.8% | .287 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 23.7% | .270 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
xBA.245.233
54th percentileleague avg .240569 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason .245 (54th)370 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVG.257.248
63rd percentileleague avg .244569 PAvs RHP · 51st pctseason .257 (63rd)436 PAsupports OVERneutral
zone contact%90.0%89.8%
89th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%569 PAvs RHP · 87th pctseason 90.0% (89th)566 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%15.0%15.6%
4th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%569 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 15.0% (4th)833 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%13.0%12.3%
6th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%569 PAvs RHP · 4th pctseason 13.0% (6th)438 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%28.1%24.4%
92nd percentileleague avg 23.6%571 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 28.1% (92nd)316 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 358 | 93 | .260 | 61% (62/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 128 | 32 | .250 | 76% (25/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 244 | 65 | .266 | 67% (47/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 242 | 60 | .248 | 63% (40/64) |
| season | 134 | 486 | 125 | .257 | 65% (87/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatIsaac Paredes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 436 | 20.9% | 316 | .233 | 24.4% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 133 | 25.6% | 100 | .267 | 40.0% | 46.0% |
| at home ● | 287 | 22.6% | 209 | .230 | 27.3% | 38.3% |
| on the road | 282 | 21.3% | 207 | .254 | 29.0% | 39.6% |
| season | 569 | 22.0% | 416 | — | 28.1% | 38.9% |
0.5line
OVER-178ProphetXfair -171 · -1.5% vs fair
30% boost-137+9% vs market · +12.3% vs season50% boost-119+16.1% vs market · +19.6% vs season
UNDER+160theScore Betfair +169 · -3.2% vs fair
30% boost+208+14.6% vs market · +8% vs season50% boost+240+26.5% vs market · +19.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 20%SZN 23%over rate
OVER+340Bovadamarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+442no market fair50% boost+510no market fair
UNDER-400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-308no market fair50% boost-267no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1700BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2210no market fair50% boost+2550no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
H+R+RBI
134 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 90 | .315 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 167 | .368 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 127 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 130 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 257 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.931.99
67th percentileleague avg 1.75134 gamesvs RHP · 73rd pctseason 1.93 (67th)101 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.320—
no split for this stat64th percentileleague avg .310569 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.245.233
54th percentileleague avg .240569 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason .245 (54th)370 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
SLG.422.428
62nd percentileleague avg .400569 PAvs RHP · 67th pctseason .422 (62nd)436 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 423 | 93 | 47 | 61 | 1.99 | 49% (49/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 32 | 11 | 14 | 1.73 | 48% (16/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 287 | 65 | 32 | 48 | 2.07 | 53% (37/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 282 | 60 | 26 | 27 | 1.77 | 44% (28/64) |
| season | 134 | 569 | 125 | 58 | 75 | 1.93 | 49% (65/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatIsaac Paredes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 436 | 20.9% | 316 | .233 | .350 | 4.8% | 85.5 |
| vs LHP | 133 | 25.6% | 100 | .267 | .391 | 5.0% | 87.4 |
| at home ● | 287 | 22.6% | 209 | .230 | .344 | 4.8% | 85.0 |
| on the road | 282 | 21.3% | 207 | .254 | .376 | 4.8% | 87.0 |
| season | 569 | 22.0% | 416 | — | .360 | 4.8% | 86.0 |
1.5line
OVER+102NoVigfair +108 · -2.8% vs fair
30% boost+133+11.9% vs market · +12.8% vs season50% boost+153+21.7% vs market · +22.7% vs season
UNDER-120Bovadafair -109 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost+108+8.8% vs market · +7.3% vs season50% boost+125+17.5% vs market · +15.9% vs season
RBIs
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 8 | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 18 | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 12 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 14 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 26 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.560.60
80th percentileleague avg 0.45134 gamesvs RHP · 89th pctseason 0.56 (80th)101 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.364.350
37th percentileleague avg .386569 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .364 (37th)370 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%28.1%26.3%
8th percentileleague avg 39.0%571 PAvs RHP · 5th pctseason 28.1% (8th)316 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
barrel rate4.8%4.8%
25th percentileleague avg 7.8%571 PAvs RHP · 24th pctseason 4.8% (25th)316 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 423 | 61 | 0.60 | .450 | 38% (38/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 14 | 0.42 | .344 | 24% (8/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 287 | 48 | 0.69 | .484 | 40% (28/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 282 | 27 | 0.42 | .360 | 28% (18/64) |
| season | 134 | 569 | 75 | 0.56 | .422 | 34% (46/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatIsaac Paredes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 436 | 14.7% | 316 | .350 | 4.8% | 26.3% | 85.5 |
| vs LHP | 133 | 8.3% | 100 | .391 | 5.0% | 34.0% | 87.4 |
| at home ● | 287 | 16.7% | 209 | .344 | 4.8% | 26.3% | 85.0 |
| on the road | 282 | 9.6% | 207 | .376 | 4.8% | 29.9% | 87.0 |
| season | 569 | — | 416 | .360 | 4.8% | 28.1% | 86.0 |
0.5line
OVER+192ProphetXfair +194 · -0.7% vs fair
30% boost+250+18.9% vs market · +20% vs season50% boost+288+31.9% vs market · +33.2% vs season
UNDER-200theScore Betfair -200 · +0.1% vs fair
30% boost-154+10.1% vs market · +8.4% vs season50% boost-133+16.7% vs market · +14.9% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 15%SZN 16%over rate
OVER+575Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+748no market fair50% boost+862no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+1600Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2080no market fair50% boost+2400no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+4000Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
Runs
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 18 | .315 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 46 | .368 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 39 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 64 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.430.47
41st percentileleague avg 0.46134 gamesvs RHP · 55th pctseason 0.43 (41st)101 gamesneutralneutral
xwOBA.320—
no split for this stat64th percentileleague avg .310569 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed25.1—
no split for this stat6th percentileleague avg 27.4569 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.245.233
54th percentileleague avg .240569 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason .245 (54th)370 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%10.7%11.6%
75th percentileleague avg 8.7%569 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 10.7% (75th)438 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 423 | 47 | 0.47 | .364 | 38% (38/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 11 | 0.33 | .336 | 30% (10/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 287 | 32 | 0.46 | .362 | 39% (27/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 282 | 26 | 0.41 | .351 | 33% (21/64) |
| season | 134 | 569 | 58 | 0.43 | .357 | 36% (48/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatIsaac Paredes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 436 | — | 316 | .233 | 24.4% | 36.7% | 85.5 |
| vs LHP | 133 | — | 100 | .267 | 40.0% | 46.0% | 87.4 |
| at home ● | 287 | 11.1% | 209 | .230 | 27.3% | 38.3% | 85.0 |
| on the road | 282 | 9.2% | 207 | .254 | 29.0% | 39.6% | 87.0 |
| season | 569 | — | 416 | — | 28.1% | 38.9% | 86.0 |
0.5line
OVER+132bet365fair +143 · -4.6% vs fair
30% boost+172+11.6% vs market · -2.7% vs season50% boost+198+22.5% vs market · +6.7% vs season
UNDER-160BetMGMfair -145 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-123+7.3% vs market · +16.3% vs season50% boost-107+14.7% vs market · +24.3% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+900theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1170no market fair50% boost+1350no market fair
UNDER-2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1538no market fair50% boost-1333no market fair
Doubles
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed26.1%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat616 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMerrill Kelly: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 8 | 3.3% | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 17 | 4.5% | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 11 | 3.1% | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% | .549 |
| season | 616 | 25 | 4.1% | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.2%3.4%
53rd percentileleague avg 4.1%571 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason 4.2% (53rd)438 PAneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG.364.350
37th percentileleague avg .386569 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .364 (37th)370 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.120.116
33rd percentileleague avg .146569 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason .120 (33rd)370 at-batssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%28.1%24.4%
92nd percentileleague avg 23.6%571 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 28.1% (92nd)316 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sweet-spot%38.9%36.7%
82nd percentileleague avg 35.3%571 PAvs RHP · 65th pctseason 38.9% (82nd)316 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed25.1—
no split for this stat6th percentileleague avg 27.4569 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 423 | 15 | 3.5% | .450 | 14% (14/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 9 | 6.2% | .344 | 27% (9/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 287 | 12 | 4.2% | .484 | 16% (11/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 282 | 12 | 4.3% | .360 | 19% (12/64) |
| season | 134 | 569 | 24 | 4.2% | .422 | 17% (23/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatIsaac Paredes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 436 | 3.4% | 316 | .350 | 24.4% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 133 | 6.8% | 100 | .391 | 40.0% | 46.0% |
| at home ● | 287 | 4.2% | 209 | .344 | 27.3% | 38.3% |
| on the road | 282 | 4.3% | 207 | .376 | 29.0% | 39.6% |
| season | 569 | 4.2% | 416 | .360 | 28.1% | 38.9% |
0.5line
OVER+400theScore Betfair +388 · +2.5% vs fair
30% boost+520+27.1% vs market · +6.4% vs season50% boost+600+43.5% vs market · +20.1% vs season
UNDER-525BetMGMfair -406 · -4.5% vs fair
30% boost-404+0.1% vs market · +3.3% vs season50% boost-350+3.1% vs market · +6.5% vs season
Singles
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%25.2%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 21.7% (22nd)445 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 39 | 16.3% |
| vs LHB | 377 | 52 | 13.8% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 54 | 15.3% |
| at home | 264 | 37 | 14.0% |
| season | 616 | 91 | 14.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
xBA.245.233
54th percentileleague avg .240569 PAvs RHP · 36th pctseason .245 (54th)370 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
zone contact%90.0%89.8%
89th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%569 PAvs RHP · 87th pctseason 90.0% (89th)566 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%15.0%15.6%
4th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%569 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 15.0% (4th)833 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%28.1%24.4%
92nd percentileleague avg 23.6%571 PAvs RHP · 61st pctseason 28.1% (92nd)316 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
sprint speed25.1—
no split for this stat6th percentileleague avg 27.4569 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 358 | 60 | .260 | 44% (44/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 128 | 22 | .250 | 55% (18/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 244 | 39 | .266 | 44% (31/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 242 | 43 | .248 | 48% (31/64) |
| season | 134 | 486 | 82 | .257 | 46% (62/134) |
● tonight's split
The BatIsaac Paredes: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 436 | 13.5% | 316 | .233 | 24.4% | 36.7% |
| vs LHP | 133 | 17.3% | 100 | .267 | 40.0% | 46.0% |
| at home ● | 287 | 13.6% | 209 | .230 | 27.3% | 38.3% |
| on the road | 282 | 15.2% | 207 | .254 | 29.0% | 39.6% |
| season | 569 | 14.6% | 416 | — | 28.1% | 38.9% |
0.5line
OVER+110bet365fair +118 · -3.7% vs fair
30% boost+143+11.3% vs market · +12.4% vs season50% boost+165+21.4% vs market · +22.6% vs season
UNDER-130theScore Betfair -119 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost+100+8.6% vs market · +7.5% vs season50% boost+115+17% vs market · +15.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 13%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
Walks
134 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%61.2%66.8%
46th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason 61.2% (46th)241 first pitchesneutralsupports UNDER
BB/94.12.8
league avg 3.4+0.6 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason 4.1239 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 18 | 7.5% |
| vs LHB | 377 | 46 | 12.2% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 39 | 11.1% |
| at home | 264 | 25 | 9.5% |
| season | 616 | 64 | 10.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadIsaac Paredes vs Merrill Kellyfirst career matchup · no MLB regular-season meetings on record
Isaac Paredes Breakdown · batter data
BB%10.7%11.6%
75th percentileleague avg 8.7%569 PAvs RHP · 83rd pctseason 10.7% (75th)438 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
chase rate27.5%25.7%
31st percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%569 PAvs RHP · 22nd pctseason 27.5% (31st)1037 pitches outside the zonesupports OVERsupports OVER
zone swing%62.1%61.4%
league avg 66.8%-4.7% vs league569 PAvs RHPseason 62.1%922 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupIsaac Paredes: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 101 | 423 | 47 | 11.1% | .364 | 40% (40/101) |
| vs LHP | 33 | 146 | 14 | 9.6% | .336 | 42% (14/33) |
| at home ● | 70 | 287 | 30 | 10.5% | .362 | 37% (26/70) |
| on the road | 64 | 282 | 31 | 11.0% | .351 | 44% (28/64) |
| season | 134 | 569 | 61 | 10.7% | .357 | 40% (54/134) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
C+★ FORMleans over
- the over has hit 64% blended (L10 80%, season 40%) against a 39% priced probability
- faces Merrill Kelly (RHP): BB% 10.4% - 78th percentile for walks allowed
- his BB% of 10.7% - 75th percentile for BB%
- the read leans on a recent run - L10 80% vs 40% season
basis: 134 games this season
OVER+141DraftKingsfair +156 · -5.8% vs fair
30% boost+183+10.8% vs market · +14.2% vs season50% boost+212+21.8% vs market · +25.5% vs season
UNDER-190bet365fair -157 · -6.8% vs fair
30% boost-146+2.9% vs market · +0.5% vs season50% boost-127+9.3% vs market · +6.8% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astrossorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing