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Yainer Diaz
HOUbats R7th in the order · projectedArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros8:11 PMDaikin Park
facingMerrill Kelly5.08 ERA · 6.04 K/9 · 1.48 WHIP · 141.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 12.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Diaz at the plateHR/PA 3.5%barrel rate 5.8%hard-hit% 36.9%
Home Runs
72 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.2%3.3%
85th percentileleague avg 2.9%619 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason 4.2% (85th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
fly-ball% allowed26.9%23.1%
54th percentileleague avg 26.7%619 batters facedvs RHB · 24th pctseason 26.9% (54th)173 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 8 | 3.3% |
| vs LHB | 377 | 18 | 4.8% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 12 | 3.4% |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% |
| season | 616 | 26 | 4.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYainer Diaz vs Merrill Kelly, career0 home runs in 2 AB (.500), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
Yainer Diaz Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.5%4.4%
68th percentileleague avg 3.0%283 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 3.5% (68th)205 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate5.8%5.9%
33rd percentileleague avg 7.8%283 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 5.8% (33rd)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
hard-hit%36.9%40.0%
37th percentileleague avg 39.0%283 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 36.9% (37th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
fly-ball%18.2%18.8%
5th percentileleague avg 26.7%283 PAvs RHP · 6th pctseason 18.2% (5th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.400.441
62nd percentileleague avg .386282 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .400 (62nd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.136.154
47th percentileleague avg .146282 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason .136 (47th)197 at-batsneutralneutral
avg exit velo88.3 mph88.7 mph
49th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph283 PAvs RHP · 55th pctseason 88.3 mph (49th)170 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupYainer Diaz: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 191 | 10 | 5.2% | .470 | 18% (9/49) |
| vs LHP | 23 | 91 | 0 | 0.0% | .294 | 0% (0/23) |
| at home ● | 35 | 132 | 3 | 2.3% | .323 | 9% (3/35) |
| on the road | 37 | 150 | 7 | 4.7% | .496 | 16% (6/37) |
| season | 72 | 282 | 10 | 3.5% | .414 | 13% (9/72) |
● tonight's split
The BatYainer Diaz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 204 | 4.4% | 170 | 5.9% | .441 | .154 | 88.7 |
| vs LHP | 78 | 1.3% | 55 | 5.5% | .279 | .082 | 87.3 |
| at home ● | 132 | 2.3% | 99 | 6.1% | .383 | .128 | 88.9 |
| on the road | 150 | 4.7% | 126 | 5.6% | .411 | .141 | 87.9 |
| season | 282 | 3.5% | 225 | 5.8% | .398 | .135 | 88.3 |
0.5line
OVER+700theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+910no market fair50% boost+1050no market fair
UNDER-1600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1231no market fair50% boost-1067no market fair
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+8000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+10400no market fair50% boost+12000no market fair
Total Bases
72 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.260
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .270239 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 90 | 0.38 | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 167 | 0.44 | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 127 | 0.36 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 130 | 0.49 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 257 | 0.42 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYainer Diaz vs Merrill Kelly, career2 total bases in 2 AB (.500), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
Yainer Diaz Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.400.441
62nd percentileleague avg .386282 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .400 (62nd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.414.441
55th percentileleague avg .400282 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .414 (55th)204 PAneutralsupports OVER
xBA.265.287
83rd percentileleague avg .240282 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .265 (83rd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.257.262
63rd percentileleague avg .244282 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .257 (63rd)204 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.136.154
47th percentileleague avg .146282 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason .136 (47th)197 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit%36.9%40.0%
37th percentileleague avg 39.0%283 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 36.9% (37th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
barrel rate5.8%5.9%
33rd percentileleague avg 7.8%283 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 5.8% (33rd)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%20.4%21.2%
16th percentileleague avg 23.6%283 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 20.4% (16th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupYainer Diaz: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 191 | 86 | 1.76 | .470 | 37% (18/49) |
| vs LHP | 23 | 91 | 25 | 1.09 | .294 | 35% (8/23) |
| at home ● | 35 | 132 | 41 | 1.17 | .323 | 26% (9/35) |
| on the road | 37 | 150 | 70 | 1.89 | .496 | 46% (17/37) |
| season | 72 | 282 | 111 | 1.54 | .414 | 36% (26/72) |
● tonight's split
The BatYainer Diaz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 204 | 42.2% | 170 | .441 | .154 | 5.9% | 88.7 |
| vs LHP | 78 | 32.1% | 55 | .279 | .082 | 5.5% | 87.3 |
| at home ● | 132 | 31.1% | 99 | .383 | .128 | 6.1% | 88.9 |
| on the road | 150 | 46.7% | 126 | .411 | .141 | 5.6% | 87.9 |
| season | 282 | 39.4% | 225 | .398 | .135 | 5.8% | 88.3 |
0.5lineL5 80%L10 80%L20 65%SZN 68%over rate
OVER-190theScore Betpooled fair -169
30% boost-146pooled fair50% boost-127pooled fair
UNDER+150theScore Betpooled fair +169
30% boost+195pooled fair50% boost+225pooled fair
1.5line
OVER+150BetMGMfair +166 · -5.9% vs fair
30% boost+195+11.2% vs market · +6.5% vs season50% boost+225+22.5% vs market · +17.4% vs season
UNDER-190theScore Betfair -165 · -4.9% vs fair
30% boost-146+4.9% vs market · +7.6% vs season50% boost-127+11.5% vs market · +14.3% vs season
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 18%over rate
OVER+340theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+442no market fair50% boost+510no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 12%over rate
OVER+400BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+520no market fair50% boost+600no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+800BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
Hits
72 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.260
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .270239 batters facedneutralneutral
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%25.2%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 21.7% (22nd)445 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 23.4% | .260 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 23.9% | .276 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 22.2% | .257 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25.8% | .287 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 23.7% | .270 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYainer Diaz vs Merrill Kelly, career1 hits in 2 AB (.500), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
Yainer Diaz Breakdown · batter data
xBA.265.287
83rd percentileleague avg .240282 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .265 (83rd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.257.262
63rd percentileleague avg .244282 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason .257 (63rd)204 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%88.8%88.7%
82nd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%282 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 88.8% (82nd)231 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%22.5%21.0%
36th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%282 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 22.5% (36th)371 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%16.0%13.2%
15th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%282 PAvs RHP · 7th pctseason 16.0% (15th)205 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.4%21.2%
16th percentileleague avg 23.6%283 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 20.4% (16th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupYainer Diaz: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 183 | 51 | .279 | 69% (34/49) |
| vs LHP | 23 | 85 | 18 | .212 | 65% (15/23) |
| at home ● | 35 | 127 | 28 | .220 | 63% (22/35) |
| on the road | 37 | 141 | 41 | .291 | 73% (27/37) |
| season | 72 | 268 | 69 | .257 | 68% (49/72) |
● tonight's split
The BatYainer Diaz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 204 | 25.0% | 170 | .287 | 21.2% | 30.6% |
| vs LHP | 78 | 23.1% | 55 | .197 | 18.2% | 27.3% |
| at home ● | 132 | 21.2% | 99 | .255 | 22.2% | 31.3% |
| on the road | 150 | 27.3% | 126 | .269 | 19.1% | 28.6% |
| season | 282 | 24.5% | 225 | — | 20.4% | 29.8% |
0.5line
OVER-186ProphetXfair -166 · -4.1% vs fair
30% boost-143+5.8% vs market · +15.6% vs season50% boost-124+12.5% vs market · +22.9% vs season
UNDER+156ProphetXfair +166 · -3.6% vs fair
30% boost+203+14.2% vs market · -3.3% vs season50% boost+234+25.9% vs market · +6.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+280theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+364no market fair50% boost+420no market fair
UNDER-400theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-308no market fair50% boost-267no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 6%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 3%over rate
OVER+4500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5850no market fair50% boost+6750no market fair
H+R+RBI
72 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 90 | .315 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 167 | .368 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 127 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 130 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 257 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYainer Diaz vs Merrill Kelly, career2 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Yainer Diaz Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.832.00
54th percentileleague avg 1.7572 gamesvs RHP · 74th pctseason 1.83 (54th)49 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xwOBA.304—
no split for this stat42nd percentileleague avg .310282 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
xBA.265.287
83rd percentileleague avg .240282 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .265 (83rd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.414.441
55th percentileleague avg .400282 PAvs RHP · 73rd pctseason .414 (55th)204 PAneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupYainer Diaz: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 191 | 51 | 20 | 27 | 2.00 | 45% (22/49) |
| vs LHP | 23 | 91 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 1.48 | 52% (12/23) |
| at home ● | 35 | 132 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 1.43 | 34% (12/35) |
| on the road | 37 | 150 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 2.22 | 59% (22/37) |
| season | 72 | 282 | 69 | 30 | 33 | 1.83 | 47% (34/72) |
● tonight's split
The BatYainer Diaz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 204 | 25.0% | 170 | .287 | .441 | 5.9% | 88.7 |
| vs LHP | 78 | 23.1% | 55 | .197 | .279 | 5.5% | 87.3 |
| at home ● | 132 | 21.2% | 99 | .255 | .383 | 6.1% | 88.9 |
| on the road | 150 | 27.3% | 126 | .269 | .411 | 5.6% | 87.9 |
| season | 282 | 24.5% | 225 | — | .398 | 5.8% | 88.3 |
1.5line
OVER+100theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+130no market fair50% boost+150no market fair
UNDER-130theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+100no market fair50% boost+115no market fair
RBIs
72 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 8 | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 18 | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 12 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 14 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 26 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYainer Diaz vs Merrill Kelly, career1 RBI in 2 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
Yainer Diaz Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.460.55
55th percentileleague avg 0.4572 gamesvs RHP · 77th pctseason 0.46 (55th)49 gamesneutralsupports OVER
xSLG.400.441
62nd percentileleague avg .386282 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .400 (62nd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%36.9%40.0%
37th percentileleague avg 39.0%283 PAvs RHP · 53rd pctseason 36.9% (37th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERneutral
barrel rate5.8%5.9%
33rd percentileleague avg 7.8%283 PAvs RHP · 34th pctseason 5.8% (33rd)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupYainer Diaz: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 191 | 27 | 0.55 | .470 | 39% (19/49) |
| vs LHP | 23 | 91 | 6 | 0.26 | .294 | 22% (5/23) |
| at home ● | 35 | 132 | 12 | 0.34 | .323 | 26% (9/35) |
| on the road | 37 | 150 | 21 | 0.57 | .496 | 41% (15/37) |
| season | 72 | 282 | 33 | 0.46 | .414 | 33% (24/72) |
● tonight's split
The BatYainer Diaz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 204 | 13.2% | 170 | .441 | 5.9% | 40.0% | 88.7 |
| vs LHP | 78 | 7.7% | 55 | .279 | 5.5% | 27.3% | 87.3 |
| at home ● | 132 | 9.1% | 99 | .383 | 6.1% | 38.4% | 88.9 |
| on the road | 150 | 14.0% | 126 | .411 | 5.6% | 35.7% | 87.9 |
| season | 282 | — | 225 | .398 | 5.8% | 36.9% | 88.3 |
0.5line
OVER+195BetMGMfair +217 · -7% vs fair
30% boost+254+11.4% vs market · +17.8% vs season50% boost+292+23.6% vs market · +30.8% vs season
UNDER-250theScore Betfair -219 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost-192+4.4% vs market · +1.3% vs season50% boost-167+9.9% vs market · +6.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+780no market fair50% boost+900no market fair
UNDER-1200theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-923no market fair50% boost-800no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 10%L20 5%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+2000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2600no market fair50% boost+3000no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+3300BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+4290no market fair50% boost+4950no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
Runs
72 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 18 | .315 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 46 | .368 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 39 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 64 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYainer Diaz vs Merrill Kelly, career2 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Yainer Diaz Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.420.41
38th percentileleague avg 0.4672 gamesvs RHP · 35th pctseason 0.42 (38th)49 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.304—
no split for this stat42nd percentileleague avg .310282 PAno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
sprint speed26.1—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg 27.4282 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
xBA.265.287
83rd percentileleague avg .240282 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .265 (83rd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%3.5%2.9%
4th percentileleague avg 8.7%282 PAvs RHP · 1st pctseason 3.5% (4th)205 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupYainer Diaz: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 191 | 20 | 0.41 | .304 | 31% (15/49) |
| vs LHP | 23 | 91 | 10 | 0.43 | .253 | 35% (8/23) |
| at home ● | 35 | 132 | 10 | 0.29 | .242 | 26% (9/35) |
| on the road | 37 | 150 | 20 | 0.54 | .327 | 38% (14/37) |
| season | 72 | 282 | 30 | 0.42 | .287 | 32% (23/72) |
● tonight's split
The BatYainer Diaz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 204 | — | 170 | .287 | 21.2% | 30.6% | 88.7 |
| vs LHP | 78 | — | 55 | .197 | 18.2% | 27.3% | 87.3 |
| at home ● | 132 | 7.6% | 99 | .255 | 22.2% | 31.3% | 88.9 |
| on the road | 150 | 13.3% | 126 | .269 | 19.1% | 28.6% | 87.9 |
| season | 282 | — | 225 | — | 20.4% | 29.8% | 88.3 |
0.5line
OVER+150BetMGMfair +165 · -5.6% vs fair
30% boost+195+11.2% vs market · -5.8% vs season50% boost+225+22.5% vs market · +3.8% vs season
UNDER-190theScore Betfair -166 · -4.8% vs fair
30% boost-146+5.1% vs market · +14.6% vs season50% boost-127+11.7% vs market · +21.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 10%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1300no market fair50% boost+1500no market fair
UNDER-3000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-2308no market fair50% boost-2000no market fair
Doubles
72 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed26.1%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat616 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMerrill Kelly: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 8 | 3.3% | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 17 | 4.5% | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 11 | 3.1% | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% | .549 |
| season | 616 | 25 | 4.1% | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYainer Diaz vs Merrill Kelly, career1 doubles in 2 AB (.500), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
Yainer Diaz Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.2%3.9%
56th percentileleague avg 4.1%283 PAvs RHP · 42nd pctseason 4.2% (56th)205 PAneutralneutral
xSLG.400.441
62nd percentileleague avg .386282 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason .400 (62nd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.136.154
47th percentileleague avg .146282 PAvs RHP · 59th pctseason .136 (47th)197 at-batsneutralneutral
line-drive%20.4%21.2%
16th percentileleague avg 23.6%283 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 20.4% (16th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%29.8%30.6%
9th percentileleague avg 35.3%283 PAvs RHP · 14th pctseason 29.8% (9th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed26.1—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg 27.4282 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupYainer Diaz: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 191 | 5 | 2.6% | .470 | 10% (5/49) |
| vs LHP | 23 | 91 | 7 | 7.7% | .294 | 30% (7/23) |
| at home ● | 35 | 132 | 4 | 3.0% | .323 | 11% (4/35) |
| on the road | 37 | 150 | 8 | 5.3% | .496 | 22% (8/37) |
| season | 72 | 282 | 12 | 4.3% | .414 | 17% (12/72) |
● tonight's split
The BatYainer Diaz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 204 | 3.9% | 170 | .441 | 21.2% | 30.6% |
| vs LHP | 78 | 5.1% | 55 | .279 | 18.2% | 27.3% |
| at home ● | 132 | 3.0% | 99 | .383 | 22.2% | 31.3% |
| on the road | 150 | 5.3% | 126 | .411 | 19.1% | 28.6% |
| season | 282 | 4.3% | 225 | .398 | 20.4% | 29.8% |
0.5line
OVER+450theScore Betpooled fair +469
30% boost+585pooled fair50% boost+675pooled fair
UNDER-700BetMGMpooled fair -469
30% boost-538pooled fair50% boost-467pooled fair
Singles
72 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%25.2%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 21.7% (22nd)445 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 39 | 16.3% |
| vs LHB | 377 | 52 | 13.8% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 54 | 15.3% |
| at home | 264 | 37 | 14.0% |
| season | 616 | 91 | 14.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadYainer Diaz vs Merrill Kelly, career0 singles in 2 AB (.500), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
| career | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .500 | 1.500 |
Yainer Diaz Breakdown · batter data
xBA.265.287
83rd percentileleague avg .240282 PAvs RHP · 96th pctseason .265 (83rd)197 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%88.8%88.7%
82nd percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%282 PAvs RHP · 82nd pctseason 88.8% (82nd)231 in-zone swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%22.5%21.0%
36th percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%282 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 22.5% (36th)371 swingssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%20.4%21.2%
16th percentileleague avg 23.6%283 PAvs RHP · 25th pctseason 20.4% (16th)170 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed26.1—
no split for this stat19th percentileleague avg 27.4282 PAno handedness split for this statsupports UNDERseason only
The MatchupYainer Diaz: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 49 | 183 | 36 | .279 | 55% (27/49) |
| vs LHP | 23 | 85 | 11 | .212 | 43% (10/23) |
| at home ● | 35 | 127 | 21 | .220 | 49% (17/35) |
| on the road | 37 | 141 | 26 | .291 | 54% (20/37) |
| season | 72 | 268 | 47 | .257 | 51% (37/72) |
● tonight's split
The BatYainer Diaz: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 204 | 16.7% | 170 | .287 | 21.2% | 30.6% |
| vs LHP | 78 | 16.7% | 55 | .197 | 18.2% | 27.3% |
| at home ● | 132 | 15.9% | 99 | .255 | 22.2% | 31.3% |
| on the road | 150 | 17.3% | 126 | .269 | 19.1% | 28.6% |
| season | 282 | 16.7% | 225 | — | 20.4% | 29.8% |
0.5line
OVER-105BetMGMfair +109 · -6.8% vs fair
30% boost+124+6.8% vs market · +15% vs season50% boost+143+15.8% vs market · +24.8% vs season
UNDER-120theScore Betfair -110 · -3.9% vs fair
30% boost+108+9.2% vs market · +1.3% vs season50% boost+125+17.9% vs market · +9.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 10%SZN 10%over rate
OVER+550theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
UNDER-1000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-769no market fair50% boost-667no market fair
Hitters on the prop boardArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astrossorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing