STEEZANOMICS.

Jeremy McNichols

WAS · NFLRBWAS @ SFMon 8:15 PM
FacingSan Francisco 49ersdefence0.9 TDs allowed to RBs (2025) · ranks T-13 of 32 NFL defences

Prices last pulled 12:00 PM ET

Anytime TD

36 games logged

Jeremy McNichols Anytime TD · 36 games logged

2 of 20 (10%) scored a touchdown over his last 20 · to score +375 bet365 · prices from

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quoted at 0.5: O +375 (bet365) · no under

1/12@ TB1/18@ DET1/26@ PHI9/7vs NYG9/11@ GB9/21vs LV9/28@ ATL10/5@ LAC10/13vs CHI10/19@ DAL10/27@ KC11/2vs SEA11/9vs DET11/16@ MIA11/30vs DEN12/7@ MIN12/14@ NYG12/20vs PHI12/25vs DAL1/4@ PHI

latest0 Sun, Jan 4, 2026 · @ PHI

TD

2 of 20 (10%) cleared 0.5 over his last 20

red zone touchesno range set0.5 avg over the 20 charted
by window, any range:last 50.4last 100.6last 200.5last 300.620250.520240.9all0.7
Red zone touch sharelatest game: 0.0% · 0 of 141 gameL5: 5.6% · 2 of 365 gamesL10: 7.6% · 6 of 7910 games2025: 6.6% · 8 of 12117 gamesShare of team red zone carries + catches, across games on file (playoffs included).

Anytime TD: Breakdowns

Jeremy McNichols Breakdown · his own data
red zone touches per game0.470.40
11th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0117 games (2025)18th percentileleague avg 2.015 games (last 5)supports UNDERsupports UNDER
red zone targets per game0.180.20
42nd percentile for mostleague avg 0.3317 games (2025)44th percentileleague avg 0.345 games (last 5)neutralneutral
carries per game2.592.40
12th percentile for mostleague avg 10.1317 games (2025)13th percentileleague avg 9.905 games (last 5)supports UNDERsupports UNDER
receptions per game1.471.60
37th percentile for mostleague avg 2.0017 games (2025)45th percentileleague avg 2.035 games (last 5)supports UNDERneutral
red zone target share5.9%12.5%
44th percentile for highest shareleague avg 8.1%16 games with red zone data (2025)77th percentileleague avg 9.2%4 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports FLAT34/60 RBssupports OVER
red zone rush share6.4%2.9%
4th percentile for highest shareleague avg 39.5%17 games with red zone data (2025)6th percentileleague avg 38.0%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports UNDER58/60 RBssupports UNDER
red zone touch share6.6%5.6%
4th percentile for highest shareleague avg 29.4%17 games with red zone data (2025)9th percentileleague avg 27.7%5 regular-season games with red zone data (last 5)supports UNDER58/60 RBssupports UNDER
SF · what this defence allows
TDs allowed to RBs0.90.60.6
SZN
56th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.917 games (2025) · 15 total26th percentileleague avg 0.95 games (last 5)2026 season 0.626th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.95 games (2026) · 3 totalneutralT-13/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-22/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER
red zone carries allowed to RBs3.24.44.4
SZN
21st percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.817 games (2025) · 55 total65th percentileleague avg 3.95 games (last 5)2026 season 4.465th percentile for most allowedleague avg 3.95 games (2026) · 22 totalsupports UNDERT-25/32 NFL defencessupports OVER12/32 NFL defencessupports OVER
touchdowns allowed2.51.61.6
SZN
58th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 42 total6th percentileleague avg 2.55 games (last 5)2026 season 1.66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.55 games (2026) · 8 totalneutral14/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER30/32 NFL defencessupports UNDER

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