What happens to the Thunder's player props without Jalen Williams?

Jalen Williams will not play for Oklahoma City at Houston on Saturday, October 31, 2026. The ESPN injury feed lists him as out in an entry dated October 28, 2026; its comment says he “underwent successful surgery Wednesday” on a fractured left fibula and that he “will be re-evaluated before the end of the regular season”. Alex Caruso (ankle) is listed out in an entry dated October 28, Cason Wallace (shoulder) in one dated October 26, and Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber in entries dated October 27. Chet Holmgren (knee) is listed day-to-day in an entry dated October 29 and sat both of this season’s games without Williams. Oklahoma City has played five games this season, three with Williams and two without, so most of the comparisons below come from last season: the Thunder played 82 regular-season games in 2025-26, Williams played 10 or more minutes in 33 of them, and 49 came without him. Our logs do not say why he missed those games, so the cause is unknown.

A game counts as with Williams when he played at least 10 minutes, a fifth of regulation. His shortest game in the with group is January 17 at Miami, 14 minutes with 8 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, the last game before a 10-game stretch without him; the Thunder scored 120. His first game of 2025-26 was November 28 and his last of 10 or more minutes was April 8 at the LA Clippers (32 minutes, 18 points, 6 rebounds, 6 assists). Of the 49 games without him, 24 were at home; of the 33 with him, 18.

The Thunder, with Williams against without him

The team scored 116.98 points a game without Williams against 122.06 with him, a gap of 5.08 at the mean and 7 at the median, with rebounds, assists and threes about level. Here the without group is the bigger one: 49 games across six stretches, two of them end-of-season games in which the starters sat too, so read the gaps as what happened, not as a rule.

Williams himself averaged 17.06 points (median 17), 4.64 rebounds (median 4) and 5.48 assists (median 6) in 28.39 minutes (median 29) in the 33 games he played.

The teammates still here: minutes and points

The teammates still here: rebounds, assists and threes

Every figure is per game the player played, in the group of games shown. Games with and games without count the games each player appeared in, so a player who missed games himself has a smaller count than the group: Gilgeous-Alexander played 39 of the 49 games without Williams, Holmgren 39, Mitchell 29 (he sat 20 of them, most from late January to early March) and Hartenstein 33. McCain’s first game for Oklahoma City was February 4, so all 31 of his games come from the second half of the season. Jaylin Williams is a different player from Jalen. Ochai Agbaji, Josh Dix, Aday Mara, Micah Peavy, Thomas Sorber and Bennett Stirtz did not play for Oklahoma City in 2025-26, so they have no column at all.

The players not on this season’s roster

Joe, Wiggins and Dort are not on the Thunder roster ESPN listed on October 30, 2026, and between them they took a large share of the extra minutes in last season’s games without Williams: Joe played 8.52 more minutes a game and scored 12.50 points (median 13) against 8.97 (median 8), Wiggins played 5.23 more and scored 10.78 (median 10) against 7.57 (median 5.5), and Dort played 4.46 more with his scoring about level. Whatever those minutes become this season, they do not go to anyone in the tables above by default.

The six stretches

The 49 games without Williams came in six stretches: 19 from October 21 to November 26; 10 from January 19 to February 7; 16 from February 12 to March 21; March 30; April 7; and April 10 and 12.

The first 19, from October 21 vs Houston to November 26 vs Minnesota, are the cleanest look: Gilgeous-Alexander played all 19 and averaged 32.63 points, Mitchell played all 19 and averaged 15.95, and the Thunder scored 122.11 a game. The last two are not: on April 10 at Denver and April 12 vs Phoenix, Gilgeous-Alexander, Holmgren, Mitchell, Hartenstein, Wallace, Caruso and Jaylin Williams all sat, Branden Carlson scored 23 and 26 points, and Nikola Topic had 11 and 14 assists. Those two games are inside every without column above, so the medians are the safer read for the bench.

Five games this season, three with him and two without

With Williams: on October 20 at San Antonio the Thunder scored 116 (Gilgeous-Alexander 32 points, McCain 20, Holmgren 14, Williams 12 in 30 minutes), on October 22 vs Denver 96 (Williams 21 in 33, Gilgeous-Alexander 17, Holmgren 12 points and 17 rebounds, Mitchell 12), and on October 25 vs the LA Clippers 108 (Gilgeous-Alexander 34, Mitchell 18, Hartenstein 12 points and 12 rebounds, Williams 8 in 32).

On October 26 vs Phoenix, the first game without him, the Thunder scored 125: Mitchell 30 points in 25 minutes, Gilgeous-Alexander 26 in 30, McCain 18 in 30, Hartenstein 15 points and 13 rebounds in 26, Aday Mara 11 points and 10 rebounds in 20, and Jaylin Williams 6 points and 6 rebounds in 26. On October 28 at Dallas they scored 96: Mitchell 29 in 28, Gilgeous-Alexander 21 in 28, Hartenstein 10 points and 14 rebounds in 26, McCain 10 in 29, and Bennett Stirtz 8 in 28. Holmgren did not play in either game and Wallace did not play in either. Two games are not a sample.

What this can and cannot tell you

The clearest shifts tied to Williams’ absence among the players still here are Ajay Mitchell’s, 2.36 more minutes a game and 11.96 to 15.14 points at the mean, 14 against 11 at the median; Jared McCain’s, 4.35 more minutes and 5.89 to 11.82 points, on 9 games with Williams; Kenrich Williams’, 6.74 more minutes and 2.38 to 4.37 rebounds; and Cason Wallace’s assists, 1.94 to 3.07. Gilgeous-Alexander scored 2.46 more points a game at the mean, 31 against 30 at the median. Chet Holmgren’s numbers barely moved.

The roster has changed since. Joe, Wiggins and Dort, who took more minutes without Williams, are gone; Caruso, Wallace, Topic and Sorber are out; and Agbaji, Dix, Mara, Peavy, Sorber and Stirtz did not play for Oklahoma City in 2025-26, so the two games this season are the only look at this group without him. With the cause of last season’s absences unknown, McCain’s with sample thin and the last two without games end-of-season rest, none of this forecasts Saturday’s game at Houston, and none of it says anything about prices.

Where to find these

Each player has a page with every game beside the line: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s points, Ajay Mitchell’s points, Jared McCain’s points, Chet Holmgren’s rebounds and Isaiah Hartenstein’s rebounds. Saturday’s lines appear on the Lab board once the game is posted. The NBA allowance tables are on defense vs position for NBA props, and the same question for another team’s star is in Timberwolves props without Anthony Edwards.

Source: our NBA game logs, regular season only, Oklahoma City’s 82 games in 2025-26 through April 12, 2026, and its 5 games of 2026-27 through October 28. Status as listed on the ESPN injury feed, entry dated October 28, 2026, read October 30, 2026.