Best MLB Hits Props, Sunday September 13

3 selections from 40 MLB hits props that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

Pick	Price	Book	Why
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits	-180	bet365	over in 90% of his last ten; Crow-Armstrong hits the ball hard at the 91st percentile of qualified regulars
Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Hits	+120	theScore Bet	under in 60% of his last ten; Bubba Chandler has allowed hard contact on 38.4% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark
Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Hits	+150	bet365	under in 50% of his last ten; Durbin hits the ball hard at only the 5th percentile of qualified regulars

The reads behind them

Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 0.5 Hits

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs · first pitch 2:21 PM ET

-180at bet365

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 0.5 hits in 70% of 149 games this season and 90% across the last ten. He faces Bubba Chandler.

Crow-Armstrong hits the ball hard at the 91st percentile of qualified regulars.
He bats left-handed into a right-hander, a split he ranks in the 98th percentile on.

The case against

The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -180.

Bubba Chandler has allowed hard contact on 38.4% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark.

The last ten (90%) sits a long way from the season rate (70%), so this leans on a streak continuing rather than on a settled level.

Full game log and every book on Pete Crow-Armstrong

Angle 2

Pedro Ramirez Under 0.5 Hits

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Chicago Cubs · first pitch 2:21 PM ET

+120at theScore Bet

Pedro Ramirez has gone under 0.5 hits in 50% of 68 games this season and 60% across the last ten. He faces Bubba Chandler.

Bubba Chandler has allowed hard contact on 38.4% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark.
He bats left-handed into a right-hander, a split he ranks in the 21st percentile on.

The case against

At +120 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.

Full game log and every book on Pedro Ramirez

Angle 3

Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Hits

Kansas City Royals @ Boston Red Sox · first pitch 3:06 PM ET

+150at bet365

Caleb Durbin has gone under 0.5 hits in 43% of 139 games this season and 50% across the last ten. He faces Noah Cameron.

Durbin hits the ball hard at only the 5th percentile of qualified regulars.
Noah Cameron has allowed hard contact on 37.8% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark.

The case against

Nothing about +150 helps here. The form read has to be right for this one to pay.

Full game log and every book on Caleb Durbin

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: Best MLB home run props for Sunday.

The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.

Open the live board The record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 13. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 13, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.