Best MLB Hits + Runs + RBIs Props, Sunday September 27

2 selections from 5 MLB hits + runs + RBIs props across 15 games that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

Pick	Price	Book	Why
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 H+R+RBI	-109	DraftKings	over in 70% of his last ten; Alonso hits the ball hard at the 99th percentile of qualified regulars
Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 H+R+RBI	-139	Caesars	under in 70% of his last ten; Shota Imanaga has allowed hard contact on 36.8% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark

The reads behind them

Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

Pete Alonso Over 1.5 H+R+RBI

Baltimore Orioles @ New York Yankees · first pitch 1:05 PM ET

-109at DraftKings

Pete Alonso has gone over 1.5 H+R+RBI in 56% of 161 games this season and 70% across the last ten. He faces Elmer Rodríguez.

Alonso hits the ball hard at the 99th percentile of qualified regulars.
He bats right-handed into a right-hander, a split he ranks in the 99th percentile on.

The case against

The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at -109.

Elmer Rodríguez has allowed hard contact on 36.6% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark.

Full game log and every book on Pete Alonso

Angle 2

Adley Rutschman Under 1.5 H+R+RBI

Chicago Cubs @ Boston Red Sox · first pitch 3:06 PM ET

-139at Caesars

Adley Rutschman has gone under 1.5 H+R+RBI in 59% of 98 games this season and 70% across the last ten. He faces Shota Imanaga.

Shota Imanaga has allowed hard contact on 36.8% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark.

The case against

At -139 the price does this pick no favours, so it stands or falls on the form read.

Full game log and every book on Adley Rutschman

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: Best MLB home run props for Sunday.

The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.

Open the live board The record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 27. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 27, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.