Best MLB Total Bases Props, Sunday September 6

3 selections from 49 MLB total bases props that cleared our form and pricing filters on Sunday's slate. Each one shows the price, the book quoting it, the matchup behind it, and the reason it might be wrong.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

Pick	Price	Book	Why
Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Total Bases	+180	Bally Bet	over in 70% of his last ten; Tyler Phillips has allowed hard contact on 42.7% of balls in play, above the 42% league mark
Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases	+115	BetRivers	over in 60% of his last ten; Crow-Armstrong hits the ball hard at the 92nd percentile of qualified regulars
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Total Bases	+100	betPARX	under in 70% of his last ten; Taveras hits the ball hard at only the 23rd percentile of qualified regulars

The reads behind them

Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does.

Angle 1

Alex Bregman Over 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins · first pitch 1:41 PM ET

+180at Bally Bet

Alex Bregman has gone over 1.5 total bases in 40% of 140 games this season and 70% across the last ten. He faces Tyler Phillips.

Tyler Phillips has allowed hard contact on 42.7% of balls in play, above the 42% league mark.
He bats right-handed into a right-hander, a split he ranks in the 66th percentile on.

The case against

The price is not the problem here. The form read still has to hold at +180.

Tyler Phillips carries a 3.43 ERA and a .239 average against over 110.1 innings.

The last ten (70%) sits a long way from the season rate (40%), so this leans on a streak continuing rather than on a settled level.

Full game log and every book on Alex Bregman

Angle 2

Pete Crow-Armstrong Over 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago Cubs @ Miami Marlins · first pitch 1:41 PM ET

+115at BetRivers

Pete Crow-Armstrong has gone over 1.5 total bases in 50% of 143 games this season and 60% across the last ten. He faces Tyler Phillips.

Crow-Armstrong hits the ball hard at the 92nd percentile of qualified regulars.
Tyler Phillips has allowed hard contact on 42.7% of balls in play, above the 42% league mark.
He bats left-handed into a right-hander, a split he ranks in the 98th percentile on.

The case against

+115 is not what makes this one risky. The form read is, and it still has to hold.

Tyler Phillips carries a 3.43 ERA and a .239 average against over 110.1 innings.

Full game log and every book on Pete Crow-Armstrong

Angle 3

Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Total Bases

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles · first pitch 1:35 PM ET

+100at betPARX

Leody Taveras has gone under 0.5 total bases in 46% of 120 games this season and 70% across the last ten. He faces Payton Tolle.

Taveras hits the ball hard at only the 23rd percentile of qualified regulars.
Payton Tolle has allowed hard contact on 33.9% of balls in play, below the 42% league mark.
He bats left-handed into a left-hander, a split he ranks in the 18th percentile on.

The case against

No complaint about +100. The risk sits with the form read holding up.

The last ten (70%) sits a long way from the season rate (46%), so this leans on a streak continuing rather than on a settled level.

Full game log and every book on Leody Taveras

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest market-specific props, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: Cardinals vs Rockies player props.

The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.

Open the live board The record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 6. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 6, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.