Cardinals vs Rockies player props, and the case against each one.

St. Louis Cardinals at Colorado Rockies, first pitch 3:10 PM ET. Below are our 2 best props in this game, chosen on recent form, season baseline, the matchup and the odds actually available, with the exact price, where to get it, and the reason each might be wrong.

Our graded record is 82-61-5 at +37.1% ROI since Sep 25, as of Oct 19. Every public pick since Sep 25, 2026, losers included.

The arms

Kyle Leahy

Cardinals

ERA: 3.13
WHIP: 1.31
K/9: 8.21
hard contact allowed: 47.8%
HR per batter faced: 2.38%

Tanner Gordon

Rockies

ERA: 5.18
WHIP: 1.40
K/9: 7.31
hard contact allowed: 42.5%
HR per batter faced: 4.44%

ON SUNDAY'S CARD

Bryan Torres Under 1.5 Total Bases

+100at BetMGM

Bryan Torres has gone under 1.5 total bases in 78% of his 54 games this season, and in 8 of his last 10.

He faces Tanner Gordon.

This one was on the Lab's card for Sunday, which took the best five lines across the whole slate. See how the card settled.

Pick	Price	Book	Why
Thomas Saggese Over 1.5 Total Bases	+120	bet365	over in 70% of his last ten; Tanner Gordon has allowed hard contact on 42.5% of balls in play, above the 42% league mark
Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs	+390	Fanatics	over in 30% of his last ten; Tanner Gordon has allowed a home run on 4.44% of the batters he has faced, above the league rate of 3.5%

The reads behind them

Form here is 60% of a player's last ten games and 40% of the season, weighed against what the books are charging once the vig is stripped out, and against what the matchup says. A prop only appears when the matchup backs it as well as the form does, and these are separate from the card play above.

Angle 1

Thomas Saggese Over 1.5 Total Bases

+120at bet365

Thomas Saggese has gone over 1.5 total bases in 27% of 33 games this season and 70% across the last ten. He faces Tanner Gordon.

Tanner Gordon has allowed hard contact on 42.5% of balls in play, above the 42% league mark.
Tanner Gordon carries a 5.18 ERA and a .301 average against over 88.2 innings.

The case against

The price is the weak part of this one, and the form read has to carry it at +120.

The last ten (70%) sits a long way from the season rate (27%), so this leans on a streak continuing rather than on a settled level.

Full game log and every book on Thomas Saggese

Angle 2

Joshua Baez Over 0.5 Home Runs

+390at Fanatics

Joshua Baez has gone over 0.5 home runs in 24% of 21 games this season and 30% across the last ten. He faces Tanner Gordon.

Tanner Gordon has allowed a home run on 4.44% of the batters he has faced, above the league rate of 3.5%.
Tanner Gordon carries a 5.18 ERA and a .301 average against over 88.2 innings.

The case against

+390 is not what makes this one risky. The form read is, and it still has to hold.

Full game log and every book on Joshua Baez

What this is, and what it is not

These are our strongest props in this matchup, chosen on the best combination of recent form, season baseline, the matchup itself, and the line actually available. The Lab's card is a separate five-pick slate selected across every market, and it is graded on the public record.

Where the record lives: the Lab's public record starts Sep 25, 2026, the card and the boosts together, with every pick and every loss on the results page. Each prop above is frozen with the exact price and book shown from the moment it was published. These angles are not on that graded record; the card and the boosts are.

Same slate: Best MLB total bases props for Sunday.

The full card: MLB player props today, every pick with the price it was taken at and the argument against it.

Open the live board The record

Built from the Lab's board for Sunday, September 6. Prices were read across every book quoting each line at Sep 6, 10:30 AM ET and are frozen at those numbers. Prices move; check before you bet. The sentences above are generated from the same numbers printed beside them. 19+. If betting stops being fun, ConnexOntario, 1-866-531-2600.