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Cam Smith
HOUbats R9th in the order · projectedArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros8:11 PMDaikin Park
facingMerrill Kelly5.08 ERA · 6.04 K/9 · 1.48 WHIP · 141.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 12.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Smith at the plateHR/PA 3.4%barrel rate 10.8%hard-hit% 44.8%
Home Runs
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.2%3.3%
85th percentileleague avg 2.9%619 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason 4.2% (85th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
fly-ball% allowed26.9%23.1%
54th percentileleague avg 26.7%619 batters facedvs RHB · 24th pctseason 26.9% (54th)173 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | HR | HR/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 8 | 3.3% |
| vs LHB | 377 | 18 | 4.8% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 12 | 3.4% |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% |
| season | 616 | 26 | 4.2% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career0 home runs in 3 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA3.4%3.0%
66th percentileleague avg 3.0%494 PAvs RHP · 57th pctseason 3.4% (66th)365 PAsupports OVERneutral
barrel rate10.8%11.3%
76th percentileleague avg 7.8%494 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 10.8% (76th)238 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.8%45.4%
77th percentileleague avg 39.0%494 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 44.8% (77th)238 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
fly-ball%25.7%23.5%
43rd percentileleague avg 26.7%494 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason 25.7% (43rd)238 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG.423.427
73rd percentileleague avg .386493 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason .423 (73rd)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.182.191
75th percentileleague avg .146493 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .182 (75th)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
avg exit velo89.1 mph89.3 mph
60th percentileleague avg 88.0 mph494 PAvs RHP · 64th pctseason 89.1 mph (60th)238 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCam Smith: Home Runs by split
| G | PA | HR | HR/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 353 | 12 | 3.4% | .379 | 12% (11/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 139 | 5 | 3.6% | .405 | 11% (4/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 251 | 5 | 2.0% | .324 | 6% (4/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 241 | 12 | 5.0% | .448 | 17% (11/63) |
| season | 129 | 492 | 17 | 3.5% | .386 | 12% (15/129) |
● tonight's split
The BatCam Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | HR/PA | BBE | barrel | xSLG | xISO | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 364 | 3.0% | 238 | 11.3% | .427 | .191 | 89.3 |
| vs LHP | 129 | 4.7% | 86 | 9.3% | .390 | .145 | 88.9 |
| at home ● | 251 | 2.0% | 161 | 7.4% | .375 | .144 | 89.3 |
| on the road | 242 | 5.0% | 163 | 14.1% | .459 | .214 | 89.0 |
| season | 493 | 3.4% | 324 | 10.8% | .417 | .179 | 89.1 |
0.5line
OVER+770NoVigfair +741 · +3.5% vs fair
30% boost+1001+31% vs market · +28% vs season50% boost+1155+49.3% vs market · +45.9% vs season
UNDER-1000bet365fair -764 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost-769-0.1% vs market · -0.1% vs season50% boost-667+1.7% vs market · +1.6% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+12000Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+15600no market fair50% boost+18000no market fair
Total Bases
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.260
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .270239 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | TB | TB/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 90 | 0.38 | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 167 | 0.44 | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 127 | 0.36 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 130 | 0.49 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 257 | 0.42 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career0 total bases in 3 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.423.427
73rd percentileleague avg .386493 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason .423 (73rd)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.386.374
35th percentileleague avg .400493 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .386 (35th)364 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xBA.241.235
47th percentileleague avg .240493 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .241 (47th)330 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVG.212.216
10th percentileleague avg .244493 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .212 (10th)364 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xISO.182.191
75th percentileleague avg .146493 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .182 (75th)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.8%45.4%
77th percentileleague avg 39.0%494 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 44.8% (77th)238 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate10.8%11.3%
76th percentileleague avg 7.8%494 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 10.8% (76th)238 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%21.7%21.9%
29th percentileleague avg 23.6%494 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 21.7% (29th)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCam Smith: Total Bases by split
| G | PA | TB | TB/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 353 | 120 | 1.28 | .379 | 48% (45/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 139 | 51 | 1.46 | .405 | 60% (21/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 251 | 72 | 1.09 | .324 | 45% (30/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 241 | 99 | 1.57 | .448 | 57% (36/63) |
| season | 129 | 492 | 171 | 1.33 | .386 | 51% (66/129) |
● tonight's split
The BatCam Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | TB/PA | BBE | xSLG | xISO | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 364 | 33.8% | 238 | .427 | .191 | 11.3% | 89.3 |
| vs LHP | 129 | 37.2% | 86 | .390 | .145 | 9.3% | 88.9 |
| at home ● | 251 | 28.7% | 161 | .375 | .144 | 7.4% | 89.3 |
| on the road | 242 | 40.9% | 163 | .459 | .214 | 14.1% | 89.0 |
| season | 493 | 34.7% | 324 | .417 | .179 | 10.8% | 89.1 |
0.5line
OVER-136ProphetXfair -126 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-105+8.9% vs market · +0.1% vs season50% boost+110+17.1% vs market · +7.6% vs season
UNDER+120theScore Betfair +124 · -1.9% vs fair
30% boost+156+14.2% vs market · +25% vs season50% boost+180+24.9% vs market · +36.7% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 30%over rate
OVER+186DraftKingspooled fair +199
30% boost+242pooled fair50% boost+279pooled fair
UNDER-240theScore Betpooled fair -199
30% boost-185pooled fair50% boost-160pooled fair
2.5lineL5 20%L10 20%L20 25%SZN 19%over rate
OVER+380FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+494no market fair50% boost+570no market fair
3.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 15%SZN 16%over rate
OVER+550FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+715no market fair50% boost+825no market fair
4.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 7%over rate
OVER+1300FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
5.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 5%over rate
OVER+2200Fanaticsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+2860no market fair50% boost+3300no market fair
Hits
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.260
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .270239 batters facedneutralneutral
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%25.2%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 21.7% (22nd)445 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | H/BF | AVG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 23.4% | .260 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 23.9% | .276 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 22.2% | .257 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25.8% | .287 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 23.7% | .270 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career0 hits in 3 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
xBA.241.235
47th percentileleague avg .240493 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .241 (47th)330 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
AVG.212.216
10th percentileleague avg .244493 PAvs RHP · 13th pctseason .212 (10th)364 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.1%81.6%
27th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%493 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 81.1% (27th)488 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%28.7%29.8%
71st percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%493 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 28.7% (71st)709 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%24.7%25.2%
65th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%493 PAvs RHP · 68th pctseason 24.7% (65th)365 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.7%21.9%
29th percentileleague avg 23.6%494 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 21.7% (29th)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCam Smith: Hits by split
| G | AB | H | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 317 | 65 | .205 | 48% (45/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 126 | 29 | .230 | 60% (21/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 222 | 41 | .185 | 45% (30/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 221 | 53 | .240 | 57% (36/63) |
| season | 129 | 443 | 94 | .212 | 51% (66/129) |
● tonight's split
The BatCam Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 364 | 19.5% | 238 | .235 | 21.9% | 32.4% |
| vs LHP | 129 | 17.8% | 86 | .245 | 20.9% | 32.6% |
| at home ● | 251 | 16.3% | 161 | .231 | 19.9% | 29.8% |
| on the road | 242 | 21.9% | 163 | .245 | 23.3% | 35.0% |
| season | 493 | 19.1% | 324 | — | 21.6% | 32.4% |
0.5line
OVER-140ProphetXfair -126 · -4.4% vs fair
30% boost-108+7.6% vs market · -1.3% vs season50% boost+107+15.6% vs market · +6% vs season
UNDER+125BetOnlinefair +125 · +0.1% vs fair
30% boost+162+16.8% vs market · +28.2% vs season50% boost+188+27.9% vs market · +40.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 17%over rate
OVER+440FanDuelmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+572no market fair50% boost+660no market fair
UNDER-600theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-462no market fair50% boost-400no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 4%over rate
OVER+2400BetRiversmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3120no market fair50% boost+3600no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 1%over rate
OVER+5500BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7150no market fair50% boost+8250no market fair
H+R+RBI
129 games loggedline1.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | TB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 90 | .315 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 167 | .368 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 127 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 130 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 257 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career0 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 3 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game1.551.47
28th percentileleague avg 1.75129 gamesvs RHP · 20th pctseason 1.55 (28th)94 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xwOBA.319—
no split for this stat63rd percentileleague avg .310493 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.241.235
47th percentileleague avg .240493 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .241 (47th)330 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
SLG.386.374
35th percentileleague avg .400493 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason .386 (35th)364 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCam Smith: H+R+RBI by split
| G | PA | H | R | RBI | H+R+RBI/G | over 1.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 353 | 65 | 38 | 35 | 1.47 | 37% (35/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 139 | 29 | 19 | 14 | 1.77 | 54% (19/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 251 | 41 | 23 | 19 | 1.26 | 35% (23/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 241 | 53 | 34 | 30 | 1.86 | 49% (31/63) |
| season | 129 | 492 | 94 | 57 | 49 | 1.55 | 42% (54/129) |
● tonight's split
The BatCam Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | H/PA | BBE | xBA | xSLG | barrel | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 364 | 19.5% | 238 | .235 | .427 | 11.3% | 89.3 |
| vs LHP | 129 | 17.8% | 86 | .245 | .390 | 9.3% | 88.9 |
| at home ● | 251 | 16.3% | 161 | .231 | .375 | 7.4% | 89.3 |
| on the road | 242 | 21.9% | 163 | .245 | .459 | 14.1% | 89.0 |
| season | 493 | 19.1% | 324 | — | .417 | 10.8% | 89.1 |
1.5line
OVER+127DraftKingsfair +142 · -6.2% vs fair
30% boost+165+9.5% vs market · +11% vs season50% boost+191+20% vs market · +21.6% vs season
UNDER-150theScore Betfair -140 · -2.6% vs fair
30% boost-115+9% vs market · +8.5% vs season50% boost-100+16.8% vs market · +16.3% vs season
RBIs
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | HR | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 8 | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 18 | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 12 | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 14 | .549 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 26 | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career0 RBI in 3 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.380.37
26th percentileleague avg 0.45129 gamesvs RHP · 26th pctseason 0.38 (26th)94 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.423.427
73rd percentileleague avg .386493 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason .423 (73rd)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%44.8%45.4%
77th percentileleague avg 39.0%494 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 44.8% (77th)238 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate10.8%11.3%
76th percentileleague avg 7.8%494 PAvs RHP · 80th pctseason 10.8% (76th)238 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupCam Smith: RBIs by split
| G | PA | RBI | RBI/G | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 353 | 35 | 0.37 | .379 | 26% (24/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 139 | 14 | 0.40 | .405 | 23% (8/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 251 | 19 | 0.29 | .324 | 21% (14/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 241 | 30 | 0.48 | .448 | 29% (18/63) |
| season | 129 | 492 | 49 | 0.38 | .386 | 25% (32/129) |
● tonight's split
The BatCam Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | RBI/PA | BBE | xSLG | barrel | hard hit | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 364 | 9.9% | 238 | .427 | 11.3% | 45.4% | 89.3 |
| vs LHP | 129 | 10.9% | 86 | .390 | 9.3% | 43.0% | 88.9 |
| at home ● | 251 | 7.6% | 161 | .375 | 7.4% | 42.9% | 89.3 |
| on the road | 242 | 12.8% | 163 | .459 | 14.1% | 46.6% | 89.0 |
| season | 493 | — | 324 | .417 | 10.8% | 44.8% | 89.1 |
0.5line
OVER+255DraftKingsfair +272 · -4.5% vs fair
30% boost+331+16.1% vs market · +7% vs season50% boost+382+29.8% vs market · +19.7% vs season
UNDER-320bet365fair -269 · -4.3% vs fair
30% boost-246+2.5% vs market · +5.7% vs season50% boost-213+7.1% vs market · +10.4% vs season
1.5lineL5 20%L10 10%L20 10%SZN 11%over rate
OVER+850Caesarsmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1105no market fair50% boost+1275no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
2.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 2%over rate
OVER+2500Hard Rockmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+3250no market fair50% boost+3750no market fair
3.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+4000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+5200no market fair50% boost+6000no market fair
4.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 0%SZN 0%over rate
OVER+6000BetMGMmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+7800no market fair50% boost+9000no market fair
Runs
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94—
no split for this stat99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | H | BB | OBP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 56 | 18 | .315 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 90 | 46 | .368 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 78 | 39 | .341 |
| at home | 264 | 68 | 25 | .356 |
| season | 616 | 146 | 64 | — |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career3 PA across 1 season. This career line carries no runs column
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.440.40
43rd percentileleague avg 0.46129 gamesvs RHP · 31st pctseason 0.44 (43rd)94 gamesneutralsupports UNDER
xwOBA.319—
no split for this stat63rd percentileleague avg .310493 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed29.2—
no split for this stat92nd percentileleague avg 27.4493 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.241.235
47th percentileleague avg .240493 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .241 (47th)330 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%7.5%7.1%
36th percentileleague avg 8.7%493 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 7.5% (36th)365 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCam Smith: Runs by split
| G | PA | R | R/G | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 353 | 38 | 0.40 | .273 | 32% (30/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 139 | 19 | 0.54 | .295 | 46% (16/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 251 | 23 | 0.35 | .264 | 29% (19/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 241 | 34 | 0.54 | .295 | 43% (27/63) |
| season | 129 | 492 | 57 | 0.44 | .279 | 36% (46/129) |
● tonight's split
The BatCam Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | R/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | EV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 364 | — | 238 | .235 | 21.9% | 32.4% | 89.3 |
| vs LHP | 129 | — | 86 | .245 | 20.9% | 32.6% | 88.9 |
| at home ● | 251 | 9.2% | 161 | .231 | 19.9% | 29.8% | 89.3 |
| on the road | 242 | 14.0% | 163 | .245 | 23.3% | 35.0% | 89.0 |
| season | 493 | — | 324 | — | 21.6% | 32.4% | 89.1 |
0.5line
OVER+160bet365fair +170 · -3.8% vs fair
30% boost+208+14% vs market · +9.8% vs season50% boost+240+25.8% vs market · +21.2% vs season
UNDER-180theScore Betfair -172 · -1.6% vs fair
30% boost-138+9% vs market · +10.8% vs season50% boost-120+16.1% vs market · +18% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 8%over rate
OVER+1300theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1690no market fair50% boost+1950no market fair
UNDER-4000theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-3077no market fair50% boost-2667no market fair
Doubles
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed26.1%—
no comparison availableno split for this stat616 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMerrill Kelly: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 2B | 2B/BF | SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 8 | 3.3% | .419 |
| vs LHB | 377 | 17 | 4.5% | .512 |
| on the road ● | 352 | 11 | 3.1% | .418 |
| at home | 264 | 14 | 5.3% | .549 |
| season | 616 | 25 | 4.1% | .475 |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career0 doubles in 3 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA3.2%3.6%
24th percentileleague avg 4.1%494 PAvs RHP · 33rd pctseason 3.2% (24th)365 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.423.427
73rd percentileleague avg .386493 PAvs RHP · 74th pctseason .423 (73rd)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.182.191
75th percentileleague avg .146493 PAvs RHP · 81st pctseason .182 (75th)330 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive%21.7%21.9%
29th percentileleague avg 23.6%494 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 21.7% (29th)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sweet-spot%32.4%32.4%
23rd percentileleague avg 35.3%494 PAvs RHP · 23rd pctseason 32.4% (23rd)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed29.2—
no split for this stat92nd percentileleague avg 27.4493 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupCam Smith: Doubles by split
| G | PA | 2B | 2B/PA | SLG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 353 | 11 | 3.1% | .379 | 10% (9/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 139 | 5 | 3.6% | .405 | 14% (5/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 251 | 8 | 3.2% | .324 | 12% (8/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 241 | 8 | 3.3% | .448 | 10% (6/63) |
| season | 129 | 492 | 16 | 3.3% | .386 | 11% (14/129) |
● tonight's split
The BatCam Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 2B/PA | BBE | xSLG | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 364 | 3.6% | 238 | .427 | 21.9% | 32.4% |
| vs LHP | 129 | 2.3% | 86 | .390 | 20.9% | 32.6% |
| at home ● | 251 | 3.2% | 161 | .375 | 19.9% | 29.8% |
| on the road | 242 | 3.3% | 163 | .459 | 23.3% | 35.0% |
| season | 493 | 3.2% | 324 | .417 | 21.6% | 32.4% |
0.5line
OVER+475theScore Betfair +483 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+618+23.4% vs market · -22.1% vs season50% boost+712+39.8% vs market · -11.8% vs season
UNDER-700Hard Rockfair -489 · -5.1% vs fair
30% boost-538-1.6% vs market · +5.7% vs season50% boost-467+0.8% vs market · +8.3% vs season
Singles
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%25.2%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 21.7% (22nd)445 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | 1B | 1B/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 39 | 16.3% |
| vs LHB | 377 | 52 | 13.8% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 54 | 15.3% |
| at home | 264 | 37 | 14.0% |
| season | 616 | 91 | 14.8% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career0 singles in 3 AB (.000), across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
xBA.241.235
47th percentileleague avg .240493 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .241 (47th)330 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
zone contact%81.1%81.6%
27th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%493 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 81.1% (27th)488 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%28.7%29.8%
71st percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%493 PAvs RHP · 76th pctseason 28.7% (71st)709 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%21.7%21.9%
29th percentileleague avg 23.6%494 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 21.7% (29th)238 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
sprint speed29.2—
no split for this stat92nd percentileleague avg 27.4493 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupCam Smith: Singles by split
| G | AB | 1B | AVG | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 317 | 38 | .205 | 33% (31/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 126 | 18 | .230 | 37% (13/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 222 | 24 | .185 | 32% (21/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 221 | 32 | .240 | 37% (23/63) |
| season | 129 | 443 | 56 | .212 | 34% (44/129) |
● tonight's split
The BatCam Smith: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
| PA | 1B/PA | BBE | xBA | LD% | SS% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 364 | 12.1% | 238 | .235 | 21.9% | 32.4% |
| vs LHP | 129 | 9.3% | 86 | .245 | 20.9% | 32.6% |
| at home ● | 251 | 9.6% | 161 | .231 | 19.9% | 29.8% |
| on the road | 242 | 13.2% | 163 | .245 | 23.3% | 35.0% |
| season | 493 | 12.4% | 324 | — | 21.6% | 32.4% |
0.5line
C+★ FORMleans under
- the under has hit 80% blended (L10 90%, season 66%) against a 60% priced probability
- counterpoint - faces Merrill Kelly (RHP): xBA against .300 - 98th percentile for xBA against
basis: 129 games this season
OVER+136ProphetXfair +149 · -5.3% vs fair
30% boost+177+11% vs market · -5.6% vs season50% boost+204+21.9% vs market · +3.7% vs season
UNDER-165theScore Betfair -151 · -3.3% vs fair
30% boost-127+7.6% vs market · +17.8% vs season50% boost-110+14.9% vs market · +25.8% vs season
1.5lineL5 0%L10 0%L20 5%SZN 9%over rate
OVER+800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost+1040no market fair50% boost+1200no market fair
UNDER-1800theScore Betmarket fair unavailable (too few two-sided quotes)
30% boost-1385no market fair50% boost-1200no market fair
Walks
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%61.2%66.8%
46th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason 61.2% (46th)241 first pitchesneutralsupports UNDER
BB/94.12.8
league avg 3.4+0.6 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason 4.1239 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
| BF | BB | BB/BF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHB ● | 239 | 18 | 7.5% |
| vs LHB | 377 | 46 | 12.2% |
| on the road ● | 352 | 39 | 11.1% |
| at home | 264 | 25 | 9.5% |
| season | 616 | 64 | 10.4% |
● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits
Head to HeadCam Smith vs Merrill Kelly, career0 walks in 3 PA, across 1 season. Limited context, not decisive
| season | PA | AB | H | 1B | 2B | HR | TB | RBI | BB | K | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
| career | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .000 | .000 |
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
BB%7.5%7.1%
36th percentileleague avg 8.7%493 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 7.5% (36th)365 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate29.6%29.3%
44th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%493 PAvs RHP · 43rd pctseason 29.6% (44th)754 pitches outside the zoneneutralneutral
zone swing%69.9%69.8%
league avg 66.8%+3.1% vs league493 PAvs RHPseason 69.9%699 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupCam Smith: Walks by split
| G | PA | BB | BB% | OBP | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 353 | 26 | 7.4% | .273 | 24% (23/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 139 | 11 | 7.9% | .295 | 29% (10/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 251 | 23 | 9.2% | .264 | 30% (20/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 241 | 14 | 5.8% | .295 | 21% (13/63) |
| season | 129 | 492 | 37 | 7.5% | .279 | 26% (33/129) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+240bet365fair +239 · +0.4% vs fair
30% boost+312+21.5% vs market · +5.4% vs season50% boost+360+35.7% vs market · +17.7% vs season
UNDER-299DraftKingsfair -242 · -5.6% vs fair
30% boost-230+1.4% vs market · +6.8% vs season50% boost-199+6.2% vs market · +11.8% vs season
Stolen Bases
129 games loggedline0.5
plate appearances
Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed1.2%—
no split for this stat62nd percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%9 of 763 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him1.7%—
no split for this stat71st percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%13 of 763 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed9—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught4—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs4—
no split for this statseason totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Cam Smith Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed29.2—
no split for this stat92nd percentileleague avg 27.4493 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.080.09
65th percentileleague avg 0.07129 gamesvs RHP · 70th pctseason 0.08 (65th)94 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.241.235
47th percentileleague avg .240493 PAvs RHP · 39th pctseason .241 (47th)330 at-batsneutralsupports UNDER
BB%7.5%7.1%
36th percentileleague avg 8.7%493 PAvs RHP · 31st pctseason 7.5% (36th)365 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupCam Smith: Stolen Bases by split
| G | PA | SB | SB/G | over 0.5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs RHP ● | 94 | 353 | 8 | 0.09 | 9% (8/94) |
| vs LHP | 35 | 139 | 2 | 0.06 | 6% (2/35) |
| at home ● | 66 | 251 | 6 | 0.09 | 9% (6/66) |
| on the road | 63 | 241 | 4 | 0.06 | 6% (4/63) |
| season | 129 | 492 | 10 | 0.08 | 8% (10/129) |
● tonight's split
0.5line
OVER+900bet365fair +913 · -1.3% vs fair
30% boost+1170+25.7% vs market · -1.6% vs season50% boost+1350+43.5% vs market · +12.4% vs season
UNDER-1360DraftKingsfair -972 · -2.7% vs fair
30% boost-1046-0.6% vs market · +1.1% vs season50% boost-907+0.7% vs market · +2.4% vs season
Hitters on the prop boardArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astrossorted by the focused market, not batting order
odds snapshot · feeds refreshed 1:00 PM ET · not live pricing