← Arizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros

Jeremy Pena

HOUbats R1st in the order · projectedArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astros8:11 PMDaikin Park

facingMerrill Kelly5.08 ERA · 6.04 K/9 · 1.48 WHIP · 141.2 IPRHP · HR/PA allowed 4.2% (league avg 2.9%) · barrel% allowed 12.1% (league avg 7.4%)
Pena at the plateHR/PA 4.3%barrel rate 6.5%hard-hit% 39.1%

Home Runs

90 games logged
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Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
HR/PA allowed4.2%3.3%
85th percentileleague avg 2.9%619 batters facedvs RHB · 66th pctseason 4.2% (85th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
fly-ball% allowed26.9%23.1%
54th percentileleague avg 26.7%619 batters facedvs RHB · 24th pctseason 26.9% (54th)173 batted ballsneutralsupports UNDER
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: home runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHRHR/BF
vs RHB ●23983.3%
vs LHB377184.8%
on the road ●352123.4%
at home264145.3%
season616264.2%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career0 home runs in 10 AB (.300), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664
Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
HR/PA4.3%4.9%
82nd percentileleague avg 3.0%393 PAvs RHP · 89th pctseason 4.3% (82nd)307 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel rate6.5%6.4%
43rd percentileleague avg 7.8%393 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 6.5% (43rd)219 batted ballsneutralneutral
hard-hit%39.1%37.4%
50th percentileleague avg 39.0%393 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 39.1% (50th)219 batted ballsneutralneutral
fly-ball%24.6%23.7%
35th percentileleague avg 26.7%393 PAvs RHP · 30th pctseason 24.6% (35th)219 batted ballssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
xSLG.426.411
74th percentileleague avg .386392 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason .426 (74th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.150.138
57th percentileleague avg .146392 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .150 (57th)284 at-batsneutralneutral
avg exit velo88.4 mph87.8 mph
51st percentileleague avg 88.0 mph393 PAvs RHP · 44th pctseason 88.4 mph (51st)219 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupJeremy Pena: Home Runs by split
GPAHRHR/PASLGover 0.5
vs RHP ●71307165.2%.51620% (14/71)
vs LHP198511.2%.3045% (1/19)
at home ●4017195.3%.54720% (8/40)
on the road5022183.6%.40814% (7/50)
season90392174.3%.46917% (15/90)

● tonight's split

The BatJeremy Pena: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAHR/PABBEbarrelxSLGxISOEV
vs RHP ●3064.9%2196.4%.411.13887.8
vs LHP862.3%577.0%.470.19390.5
at home ●1715.3%1228.2%.461.16989.8
on the road2213.6%1545.2%.394.13487.3
season3924.3%2766.5%.423.14988.4
0.5line
OVER+600ProphetXfair +587 · +1.9% vs fair

30% boost+780+28.5% vs market · +46.7% vs season50% boost+900+46% vs market · +66.7% vs season

UNDER-700bet365fair -589 · -2.3% vs fair

30% boost-538+1.4% vs market · -1.2% vs season50% boost-467+3.8% vs market · +1.2% vs season

Total Bases

90 games logged
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Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.260
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .270239 batters facedneutralneutral
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: total bases allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFTBTB/BFSLG
vs RHB ●239900.38.419
vs LHB3771670.44.512
on the road ●3521270.36.418
at home2641300.49.549
season6162570.42.475

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career3 total bases in 10 AB (.300), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664
Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
xSLG.426.411
74th percentileleague avg .386392 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason .426 (74th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.469.493
85th percentileleague avg .400392 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .469 (85th)306 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.275.273
90th percentileleague avg .240392 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .275 (90th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.278.284
86th percentileleague avg .244392 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .278 (86th)306 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.150.138
57th percentileleague avg .146392 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .150 (57th)284 at-batsneutralneutral
hard-hit%39.1%37.4%
50th percentileleague avg 39.0%393 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 39.1% (50th)219 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate6.5%6.4%
43rd percentileleague avg 7.8%393 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 6.5% (43rd)219 batted ballsneutralneutral
line-drive%23.5%24.7%
48th percentileleague avg 23.6%393 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason 23.5% (48th)219 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupJeremy Pena: Total Bases by split
GPATBTB/GSLGover 1.5
vs RHP ●713071452.04.51645% (32/71)
vs LHP1985241.26.30432% (6/19)
at home ●40171872.17.54750% (20/40)
on the road50221821.64.40836% (18/50)
season903921691.88.46942% (38/90)

● tonight's split

The BatJeremy Pena: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PATB/PABBExSLGxISObarrelEV
vs RHP ●30645.4%219.411.1386.4%87.8
vs LHP8634.9%57.470.1937.0%90.5
at home ●17150.9%122.461.1698.2%89.8
on the road22137.1%154.394.1345.2%87.3
season39243.1%276.423.1496.5%88.4
1.5line
OVER+127ProphetXfair +132 · -2% vs fair

30% boost+165+14.5% vs market · +11.9% vs season50% boost+191+25.5% vs market · +22.7% vs season

UNDER-140theScore Betfair -131 · -2.8% vs fair

30% boost-108+9.4% vs market · +11.4% vs season50% boost+107+17.5% vs market · +19.7% vs season

Hits

90 games logged
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Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG against.270.260
league avg .244+.026 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason .270239 batters facedneutralneutral
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%25.2%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 21.7% (22nd)445 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: hits allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHH/BFAVG
vs RHB ●2395623.4%.260
vs LHB3779023.9%.276
on the road ●3527822.2%.257
at home2646825.8%.287
season61614623.7%.270

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career3 hits in 10 AB (.300), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664
Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
xBA.275.273
90th percentileleague avg .240392 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .275 (90th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
AVG.278.284
86th percentileleague avg .244392 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .278 (86th)306 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%81.3%81.5%
28th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%392 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason 81.3% (28th)399 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%31.2%30.4%
83rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%392 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason 31.2% (83rd)626 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
K%21.9%21.2%
49th percentile for strikeout rateleague avg 22.5%392 PAvs RHP · 42nd pctseason 21.9% (49th)307 PAneutralneutral
line-drive%23.5%24.7%
48th percentileleague avg 23.6%393 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason 23.5% (48th)219 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
The MatchupJeremy Pena: Hits by split
GABHAVGover 0.5
vs RHP ●7128182.29277% (55/71)
vs LHP197918.22863% (12/19)
at home ●4015949.30875% (30/40)
on the road5020151.25474% (37/50)
season90360100.27874% (67/90)

● tonight's split

The BatJeremy Pena: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs RHP ●30626.1%219.27324.7%35.6%
vs LHP8623.3%57.27619.3%31.6%
at home ●17128.7%122.29127.1%36.1%
on the road22123.1%154.26020.8%33.8%
season39225.5%27623.6%34.8%
0.5line
OVER-230ProphetXfair -216 · -2% vs fair

30% boost-177+6.9% vs market · +16.5% vs season50% boost-153+12.8% vs market · +23% vs season

UNDER+213NoVigfair +210 · +0.9% vs fair

30% boost+277+21.4% vs market · -3.7% vs season50% boost+320+35.1% vs market · +7.2% vs season

H+R+RBI

90 games logged
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Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xERA6.94
no split for this stat
99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: h+r+rbi allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHTBOBP
vs RHB ●2395690.315
vs LHB37790167.368
on the road ●35278127.341
at home26468130.356
season616146257

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career3 hits + RBI (this source carries no runs) in 11 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664

H and RBI are highlighted; this career line carries no runs column, so the R in H+R+RBI is not shown here.

Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
H+R+RBI per game2.372.51
97th percentileleague avg 1.7590 gamesvs RHP · 100th pctseason 2.37 (97th)71 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.331
no split for this stat
75th percentileleague avg .310392 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.275.273
90th percentileleague avg .240392 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .275 (90th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
SLG.469.493
85th percentileleague avg .400392 PAvs RHP · 91st pctseason .469 (85th)306 PAsupports OVERsupports OVER
The MatchupJeremy Pena: H+R+RBI by split
GPAHRRBIH+R+RBI/Gover 1.5
vs RHP ●713078260362.5159% (42/71)
vs LHP1985187101.8437% (7/19)
at home ●401714932272.7060% (24/40)
on the road502215135192.1050% (25/50)
season9039210067462.3754% (49/90)

● tonight's split

The BatJeremy Pena: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAH/PABBExBAxSLGbarrelEV
vs RHP ●30626.1%219.273.4116.4%87.8
vs LHP8623.3%57.276.4707.0%90.5
at home ●17128.7%122.291.4618.2%89.8
on the road22123.1%154.260.3945.2%87.3
season39225.5%276.4236.5%88.4
1.5line
OVER-129ProphetXfair -122 · -2.4% vs fair

30% boost+101+10.4% vs market · +9.3% vs season50% boost+116+19% vs market · +17.8% vs season

UNDER+115BetMGMfair +120 · -2.3% vs fair

30% boost+150+13.3% vs market · +13.7% vs season50% boost+172+23.7% vs market · +24.1% vs season

RBIs

90 games logged
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Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94
no split for this stat
99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: rbis allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHHRSLG
vs RHB ●239568.419
vs LHB3779018.512
on the road ●3527812.418
at home2646814.549
season61614626.475

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career0 RBI in 11 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664
Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
RBI per game0.510.51
71st percentileleague avg 0.4590 gamesvs RHP · 71st pctseason 0.51 (71st)71 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xSLG.426.411
74th percentileleague avg .386392 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason .426 (74th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit%39.1%37.4%
50th percentileleague avg 39.0%393 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 39.1% (50th)219 batted ballsneutralneutral
barrel rate6.5%6.4%
43rd percentileleague avg 7.8%393 PAvs RHP · 41st pctseason 6.5% (43rd)219 batted ballsneutralneutral
The MatchupJeremy Pena: RBIs by split
GPARBIRBI/GSLGover 0.5
vs RHP ●71307360.51.51631% (22/71)
vs LHP1985100.53.30437% (7/19)
at home ●40171270.68.54738% (15/40)
on the road50221190.38.40828% (14/50)
season90392460.51.46932% (29/90)

● tonight's split

The BatJeremy Pena: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PARBI/PABBExSLGbarrelhard hitEV
vs RHP ●30612.1%219.4116.4%37.4%87.8
vs LHP8610.5%57.4707.0%45.6%90.5
at home ●17115.8%122.4618.2%44.3%89.8
on the road2218.6%154.3945.2%35.1%87.3
season392276.4236.5%39.1%88.4
0.5line
OVER+225ProphetXfair +227 · -0.5% vs fair

30% boost+292+20.1% vs market · +26.5% vs season50% boost+338+33.9% vs market · +41% vs season

UNDER-260bet365fair -230 · -3.5% vs fair

30% boost-200+4.6% vs market · +1.7% vs season50% boost-173+9.9% vs market · +6.9% vs season

Runs

90 games logged
line0.5

Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xERA6.94
no split for this stat
99th percentile for expected ERAleague avg 4.16616 batters facedno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
The ArmMerrill Kelly: runs allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFHBBOBP
vs RHB ●2395618.315
vs LHB3779046.368
on the road ●3527839.341
at home2646825.356
season61614664

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career11 PA across 3 seasons. This career line carries no runs column
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664

This career line carries no runs column, so nothing here speaks directly to a runs market.

Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
runs per game0.740.85
99th percentileleague avg 0.4690 gamesvs RHP · 100th pctseason 0.74 (99th)71 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xwOBA.331
no split for this stat
75th percentileleague avg .310392 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
sprint speed29.2
no split for this stat
92nd percentileleague avg 27.4392 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
xBA.275.273
90th percentileleague avg .240392 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .275 (90th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%5.9%5.5%
17th percentileleague avg 8.7%392 PAvs RHP · 15th pctseason 5.9% (17th)307 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJeremy Pena: Runs by split
GPARR/GOBPover 0.5
vs RHP ●71307600.85.35259% (42/71)
vs LHP198570.37.25926% (5/19)
at home ●40171320.80.35753% (21/40)
on the road50221350.70.31252% (26/50)
season90392670.74.33252% (47/90)

● tonight's split

The BatJeremy Pena: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PAR/PABBExBALD%SS%EV
vs RHP ●306219.27324.7%35.6%87.8
vs LHP8657.27619.3%31.6%90.5
at home ●17118.7%122.29127.1%36.1%89.8
on the road22115.8%154.26020.8%33.8%87.3
season39227623.6%34.8%88.4
0.5line
OVER-105bet365fair +104 · -4.5% vs fair

30% boost+124+9.4% vs market · +16.9% vs season50% boost+143+18.8% vs market · +26.8% vs season

UNDER-115theScore Betfair -105 · -4.2% vs fair

30% boost+113+9.1% vs market · +1.8% vs season50% boost+130+18% vs market · +10.1% vs season

Doubles

90 games logged
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Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xSLG against.536.460
99th percentileleague avg .386616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason .536 (99th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
hard-hit% allowed43.0%39.3%
82nd percentileleague avg 38.2%619 batters facedvs RHB · 59th pctseason 43.0% (82nd)173 batted ballssupports OVERneutral
barrel% allowed12.1%11.0%
97th percentileleague avg 7.4%619 batters facedvs RHB · 93rd pctseason 12.1% (97th)173 batted ballssupports OVERsupports OVER
line-drive% allowed26.1%
no comparison availableno split for this stat
616 batters facedno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
The ArmMerrill Kelly: doubles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BF2B2B/BFSLG
vs RHB ●23983.3%.419
vs LHB377174.5%.512
on the road ●352113.1%.418
at home264145.3%.549
season616254.1%.475

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career0 doubles in 10 AB (.300), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664
Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
2B/PA4.1%3.9%
50th percentileleague avg 4.1%393 PAvs RHP · 42nd pctseason 4.1% (50th)307 PAneutralneutral
xSLG.426.411
74th percentileleague avg .386392 PAvs RHP · 69th pctseason .426 (74th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
xISO.150.138
57th percentileleague avg .146392 PAvs RHP · 49th pctseason .150 (57th)284 at-batsneutralneutral
line-drive%23.5%24.7%
48th percentileleague avg 23.6%393 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason 23.5% (48th)219 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sweet-spot%34.8%35.6%
44th percentileleague avg 35.3%393 PAvs RHP · 54th pctseason 34.8% (44th)219 batted ballsneutralneutral
sprint speed29.2
no split for this stat
92nd percentileleague avg 27.4392 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupJeremy Pena: Doubles by split
GPA2B2B/PASLGover 0.5
vs RHP ●71307134.2%.51617% (12/71)
vs LHP198533.5%.30416% (3/19)
at home ●4017195.3%.54723% (9/40)
on the road5022173.2%.40812% (6/50)
season90392164.1%.46917% (15/90)

● tonight's split

The BatJeremy Pena: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PA2B/PABBExSLGLD%SS%
vs RHP ●3063.9%219.41124.7%35.6%
vs LHP864.7%57.47019.3%31.6%
at home ●1715.3%122.46127.1%36.1%
on the road2213.2%154.39420.8%33.8%
season3924.1%276.42323.6%34.8%
0.5line
OVER+400theScore Betfair +399 · +0.2% vs fair

30% boost+520+24% vs market · +3.3% vs season50% boost+600+40% vs market · +16.7% vs season

UNDER-564DraftKingsfair -408 · -5.5% vs fair

30% boost-434-1.2% vs market · +2.5% vs season50% boost-376+1.7% vs market · +5.5% vs season

Singles

90 games logged
line0.5

Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
xBA against.300.270
98th percentileleague avg .239616 batters facedvs RHB · 86th pctseason .300 (98th)220 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
K%15.4%19.5%
6th percentile for strikeoutsleague avg 22.7%616 batters facedvs RHB · 30th pctseason 15.4% (6th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports OVER
whiff%21.7%25.2%
22nd percentile for whiffs generatedleague avg 25.3%616 batters facedvs RHB · 52nd pctseason 21.7% (22nd)445 swingssupports OVERneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: singles allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BF1B1B/BF
vs RHB ●2393916.3%
vs LHB3775213.8%
on the road ●3525415.3%
at home2643714.0%
season6169114.8%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career3 singles in 10 AB (.300), across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664
Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
xBA.275.273
90th percentileleague avg .240392 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .275 (90th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
zone contact%81.3%81.5%
28th percentile for contact in the zoneleague avg 83.9%392 PAvs RHP · 29th pctseason 81.3% (28th)399 in-zone swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
whiff%31.2%30.4%
83rd percentile for swing-and-missleague avg 25.2%392 PAvs RHP · 78th pctseason 31.2% (83rd)626 swingssupports UNDERsupports UNDER
line-drive%23.5%24.7%
48th percentileleague avg 23.6%393 PAvs RHP · 63rd pctseason 23.5% (48th)219 batted ballsneutralsupports OVER
sprint speed29.2
no split for this stat
92nd percentileleague avg 27.4392 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
The MatchupJeremy Pena: Singles by split
GAB1BAVGover 0.5
vs RHP ●7128152.29256% (40/71)
vs LHP197914.22858% (11/19)
at home ●4015930.30858% (23/40)
on the road5020136.25456% (28/50)
season9036066.27857% (51/90)

● tonight's split

The BatJeremy Pena: contact quality by splitexpected outcomes and batted-ball shape, per split
PA1B/PABBExBALD%SS%
vs RHP ●30617.0%219.27324.7%35.6%
vs LHP8616.3%57.27619.3%31.6%
at home ●17117.5%122.29127.1%36.1%
on the road22116.3%154.26020.8%33.8%
season39217.1%27623.6%34.8%
0.5line
OVER-123ProphetXfair -111 · -4.7% vs fair

30% boost+106+8.2% vs market · +16.6% vs season50% boost+122+16.7% vs market · +25.8% vs season

UNDER+110bet365fair +110 · 0% vs fair

30% boost+143+15.7% vs market · +5.3% vs season50% boost+165+26.1% vs market · +14.8% vs season

Walks

90 games logged
line0.5

Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
BB%10.4%7.5%
78th percentile for walks allowedleague avg 8.6%616 batters facedvs RHB · 38th pctseason 10.4% (78th)241 batters facedsupports OVERsupports UNDER
first-pitch strike%61.2%66.8%
46th percentile for first-pitch strikesleague avg 61.9%616 batters facedvs RHB · 89th pctseason 61.2% (46th)241 first pitchesneutralsupports UNDER
BB/94.12.8
league avg 3.4+0.6 vs league25 startsvs RHBseason 4.1239 batters facedneutralneutral
The ArmMerrill Kelly: walks allowed by splitcounts, and those counts per batter faced
BFBBBB/BF
vs RHB ●239187.5%
vs LHB3774612.2%
on the road ●3523911.1%
at home264259.5%
season6166410.4%

● tonight's split · from MLB's own situational splits

Head to HeadJeremy Pena vs Merrill Kelly, career1 walks in 11 PA, across 3 seasons. Limited context, not decisive
seasonPAABH1B2BHRTBRBIBBKAVGOPS
20222200000000.000.000
20233200000010.000.333
20256633003002.5001.000
career111033003012.300.664
Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
BB%5.9%5.5%
17th percentileleague avg 8.7%392 PAvs RHP · 15th pctseason 5.9% (17th)307 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
chase rate38.1%38.2%
88th percentile for chasing out of the zoneleague avg 30.7%392 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason 38.1% (88th)595 pitches outside the zonesupports UNDERsupports UNDER
zone swing%75.0%75.0%
league avg 66.8%+8.2% vs league392 PAvs RHPseason 75.0%532 in-zone pitchesneutralneutral
The MatchupJeremy Pena: Walks by split
GPABBBB%OBPover 0.5
vs RHP ●71307206.5%.35220% (14/71)
vs LHP198533.5%.25916% (3/19)
at home ●40171105.8%.35718% (7/40)
on the road50221135.9%.31220% (10/50)
season90392235.9%.33219% (17/90)

● tonight's split

0.5line
OVER+280bet365fair +279 · +0.2% vs fair

30% boost+364+22.5% vs market · -12.4% vs season50% boost+420+37.3% vs market · -1.8% vs season

UNDER-350DraftKingsfair -285 · -4.8% vs fair

30% boost-269+1.5% vs market · +11.2% vs season50% boost-233+5.7% vs market · +15.9% vs season

Stolen Bases

90 games logged
line0.5

Merrill Kelly Breakdown · opposing pitcher data
SB rate allowed1.2%
no split for this stat
62nd percentile for steals allowed per chanceleague avg 1.0%9 of 763 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
runners test him1.7%
no split for this stat
71st percentile for runners going per chanceleague avg 1.3%13 of 763 opportunitiesno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB allowed9
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
runners caught4
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
pickoffs4
no split for this stat
season totalno handedness split for this statneutralseason only
Jeremy Pena Breakdown · batter data
sprint speed29.2
no split for this stat
92nd percentileleague avg 27.4392 PAno handedness split for this statsupports OVERseason only
SB per game0.100.11
75th percentileleague avg 0.0790 gamesvs RHP · 77th pctseason 0.10 (75th)71 gamessupports OVERsupports OVER
xBA.275.273
90th percentileleague avg .240392 PAvs RHP · 88th pctseason .275 (90th)284 at-batssupports OVERsupports OVER
BB%5.9%5.5%
17th percentileleague avg 8.7%392 PAvs RHP · 15th pctseason 5.9% (17th)307 PAsupports UNDERsupports UNDER
The MatchupJeremy Pena: Stolen Bases by split
GPASBSB/Gover 0.5
vs RHP ●7130780.118% (6/71)
vs LHP198510.055% (1/19)
at home ●4017120.055% (2/40)
on the road5022170.1410% (5/50)
season9039290.108% (7/90)

● tonight's split

0.5line
OVER+800bet365fair +800 · 0% vs fair

30% boost+1040+26.5% vs market · -11.3% vs season50% boost+1200+44.3% vs market · +1.1% vs season

UNDER-940DraftKingsfair -799 · -1.7% vs fair

30% boost-723+1.2% vs market · +5% vs season50% boost-627+3.1% vs market · +6.9% vs season

Hitters on the prop boardArizona Diamondbacks @ Houston Astrossorted by the focused market, not batting order

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