← Indianapolis Colts @ Washington Commanders

Base market snapshot from 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1. bet365 refreshed separately at 11:07 AM EDT. Check your book before acting on anything here.

Ben Sinnott

WSHIndianapolis Colts @ Washington CommandersSun 9:30 AM

Sinnott on the fieldred zone touches per game 0.12red zone targets per game 0.12receptions per game 1.38

Anytime TD

15 games logged

line0.5

IND · what this defence allows

TDs allowed to TEs0.30.30.7

39th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.417 games (2025) · 6 totalseason 0.3no per-play form for this stat66th percentile for most allowedleague avg 0.63 games (2026) · 2 totalsupports UNDERT-15/32 NFL defencessupports UNDERT-8/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

red zone targets allowed to TEs1.61.62.0

89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.217 games (2025) · 28 totalseason 1.6no per-play form for this stat89th percentile for most allowedleague avg 1.23 games (2026) · 6 totalsupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVERT-4/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

touchdowns allowed2.42.43.3

48th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.417 games (2025) · 40 totalseason 2.4no per-play form for this stat79th percentile for most allowedleague avg 2.53 games (2026) · 10 totalneutralT-16/32 NFL defencesseason onlyT-6/32 NFL defencessupports OVER

Ben Sinnott Breakdown · his own data

red zone touches per game0.120.00

SZN

14th percentile for mostleague avg 0.408 games (2025)vs last 5 · 3rd pctseason 0.12 (14th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER

red zone targets per game0.120.00

SZN

9th percentile for mostleague avg 0.598 games (2025)vs last 5 · 2nd pctseason 0.12 (9th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER

receptions per game1.381.40

SZN

27th percentile for mostleague avg 2.558 games (2025)vs last 5 · 27th pctseason 1.38 (27th)5 gamessupports UNDERsupports UNDER

0.5line

OVER+950Courtsideat 0.5

odds snapshot · pulled 10:03 AM EDT on Thu, Oct 1 · not live pricing